I’d put the chances that the Sox offer Lowe arbitration in the 0-10% range. I think he gets non-tendered and reaches free agency. Now, the Sox can still sign him at that point, but can do so for less than $10-12mill. And Lowe isnt going to have much of any appeal to the big spending teams like the Yankees, Mets, Dodgers, Cubs, so the bigger offers are not as likely to roll in. Even if Alonso walks, the Mets are NOT going to sell their fanbase on Nate Lowe as an acceptable replacement. Goldschmidt is likely done in the Bronx (and possibly all of MLB) after this year. But why bother with Lowe when you have Cody Bellinger? Bringing back Grisham and keeping Cody at 1b makes much, much more sense…