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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. Oh there stuff blows us away. It's not like they have not heard of Fangraphs. But baseball is probably the only sport where people like to play GM. No one tries to dream up NFL trade scenarios, because every trade involves salary for draft picks. Player-for-player trades are almost unheard of. And the NBA trading rules are so complex, it actually requires a PhD specializing in NBA Math (which is not an accredited program anywhere in the world) just to understand the rules alone, never mind about determining the actual players each team might want. And even then they get future draft picks with conditions attached. Even the most popular website (http://www.realgm.com) dedicated to determining if NBA trades follow the rules does not include all the rules. And no one watches hockey...
  2. I would suspect he is on the radar. These guys are all going to sign somewhere. So we shall see how many wind up in Boston...
  3. Matt Boyd (10.93 K/9, 2.64 BB/9) is a top my list of targets I would like to see Bloom acquire. For some reason, BTV gives him a very low trade value ($3.5mill), which I doubt agrees with Detroit's evaluations, but they might be gunshy about paying his final two arb years, too...
  4. This Sox team really needs someone who is a high K guy (preferably with low BB). Until we know who is at 2b and CF, the current defenvei alignment is not really geared towards run prevention. Keeping the ball out of play as much as possible can only help. Porcello is not much for high K. But he is absolutely up there for not walking people. In this market, Paxton (11.16K/9) is the leader among available free agents. But he is always hurt. Chris Archer (10.75) is second over the past 2 seasons. But Archer walks more people...
  5. True. I have accepted the specialized closer, but I think as more teams find starting pitching massively overpriced, we will see more committees in the bullpen and bigger overall bullpens that pitch more frequently. If nothing else, it will be done to keep salaries in check in small market clubs...
  6. Well, I think I have to when people think team stats are good for judging individual performance. And I am not the one who brought ERA into the mix as an evaluation. I only like it because it is relatable, but really, it doesn't mean as much as many people like to think it does. I think WHIP is better, because at least it removes the bullpen flaw...
  7. But does that mean they were better pitchers? The Rays rotation, fresh off a World Series appearance, has the same number of wins from their starters since the beginning of the 2019 season as the Rangers. (And fewer than the Red Sox.) "Wins" are a team stat. Sometimes pitchers get wins because the team around them is better...
  8. For all the years Porcello has pitched (12 years, 351 starts, 2096 IP), he just turned 32 this past week. The other 32yo pitchers on the market - Jose Quintana (9 years 1495 IP), Chris Archer (8 years 1235 IP), James Paxton (8 years 753 IP) and Masahiro Tanaka (7 years 1054 IP) - are all not only less durable, but have been that way despite all pitching fewer seasons...
  9. He's AAAA material. He won't get many more at bats for the Bombers than I will...
  10. No. Next question...
  11. Even the "opener" strategy requires SP. Just that they throw 3-5 innings starting at the 2nd or 3rd inning. The idea is that since the closer is the best (or one of the better) relievers, when you use him as an opener, you always get to face the best hitters in the opposing lineup, rather than waiting to see who is due up in the 9th. No baseball strategy seems dumber to me than holding the best relief pitch for the 9th only to see the 7-8-9 hitters come up...
  12. Even ERA depends on the defensive abilities of the players behind you. They make more plays, you get a lower ERA. Does that mean you were a better pitcher? ERA can also depend on the bullpen. Have a guy capable of stranding his inherited runners come in after you, you get a lower ERA. Does having a better bullpen make a pitcher better than someone who does not have one?
  13. I know nothng about this guy, so if the Sox don't get him I really don't care. Really after Bauer there is not much. I say strengthen that bullpen! Sign Brad Hand. Sign Archie Bradley. and get another reliever like Brad Peacock, Brandon workman or Ryne Stanek. Make the bullpen the strength of the staff. Get a starter via trade. There are a few uninspiring salary dumps available who might be able to hold down the fort for 5 innings before getting into the bullpen. (And yeah, being back Porcello.) And maybe get Matt Boyd. Live arm, getting too pricey for Detroit. And they need bats more than arms...
  14. Old School thinking also gave Bartolo Colon the Cy Young over Johan Santana in 2005 because Colon had more wins but pitched worse based on every other stat. Basically he got the award for being on a better team...
  15. The Yankees signed Socrates Brito to a minor league deal. My only real connection with Brito is a few years back in a 10-team NL-Only Fantasy League, Socrates was briefly part of my Ancient Greeks Squad, along with Pirates reliever Arquimedes Caminiero and Homer Bailey...
  16. And I think that is a fair statement, although I bet he winds up a bigger bargain than even that...
  17. I bet he has never played shuffleboard, which actually does look like less fun than negotiating to me..
  18. If he thinks contract negotiations are "fun", then he will be absolutely dazzled by shuffleboard...
  19. So then it is a bit moot for the Sox to have offered one. Which for all we know, they might have...
  20. Boras is pushing 70 and is worth millions. He might even retire any day now...
  21. Good for her...
  22. You're going off on this deferred money angle like it's a new discovery and teams have not been doing it for decades. The sport makes a big deal out of Bobby Bonilla Day every year when he still cashes a check, but ignores how much money that deal apparently saved the Mets and the flexibility it gave them. This is an old strategy and been used probably hundreds of time. So it is possible the Sox made such an offer and Betts still declined. Or it is possible Dombrowski is a moron and never thought to do so. (But I highly doubt the latter. I'm sure DD has done deferred money deals before, or at the very least prepared them.)
  23. As I have said before The biggest deal to date this off-season has gone to James McCann. The largest AAV to date has gone to Charlie Morton. These are not the names that should be in either sentence. In fact, I am struggling to believe they are correct myself. That can't still be right in January...
  24. Which means jacko has undoubtedly found some equivalent or better improvements on the Baltimore roster to keep them ahead of Boston. I am aquiver in anticipation to hear about them...
  25. I also think as presently constituted, it is still December, a month in which no games are played. If I check the standings, the Sox have the same record as the Yankees at 0-0, you know, as presently constituted...
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