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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    The Sox are not cruising, but they are far from flopping. The Tigers, on the other hand, are on the verge of the worst collapse in MLB history. At one point, they had a 15.5 game lead over Cleveland. Completely gone. This would be the largest deficit ever erased in MLB history, eclipsing the 15 game deficit the 1915 Boston Braves overcame to pass the Phillies…
  2. notin
    Offense. And FredLynn. Not sure he’s prepared to see the Sox in the postseason…
  3. notin
    The one game playoff was a lot of fun. More so watching Matt Holliday face plant the winning run than for watching Yaz meekly pop to third with the tying run on base. But expanded post seasons have eliminated it because MLB should do its best to keep games out of November as much as possible. I hate tiebreakers in any sport. But settling everything on the field can the postseason out too far…
  4. notin
    Are you asking me to eliminate them? I think that might be illegal. But maybe not in Kansas City?
  5. notin
    Gee. Who would have expected all this negativity?
  6. notin
    What would keep them out? Asteroid strike on the continental US that wiped out all life and cast a nuclear winter upon the remainder of the world? That and the Yankees going 0-6 while being passed by Boston, Houston and Cleveland while tying Detroit for the last WC (Detroit has the tiebreaker). You certainly that asteroid apocalypse thingy is 99.9% unlikely? And second question, are you For Imprint for certain?
  7. notin
    They had just battled back to 1 game over .500 when they traded Devers. Since then, they’re 48-35 (ish). Do you really think the thought process was “we’re not serious contenders” as opposed to “this is working”?
  8. notin
    … and they were…
  9. notin
    Is it? Is there any possible scenario in which the Yankees do not make the postseason?
  10. notin
    At the very least, winning tonight does not add any additional pressure. How’s that?
  11. notin
    Or let him face actual MLB pitching.. it’s not like the Sox other RF options are Mookie Betts or Dwight Evans…
  12. notin
    You should be rooting for Boston regardless. Yankees are only 2 back with 6 to play. (Really three back since TOR had the tiebreaker.)
  13. notin
    I know, right? Why would he want to jump start his Gold Glove outfielder who’s second on the team in home runs so he’s ready to play when he has other fascinating options like Romy, Refsnyder and Narvaez? I mean, he has a WHOLE WEEK of baseball left to get Abreu going… (This might be sarcasm)
  14. notin
    If the Sox sweep the Tigers and even the H2H record at 3-3, it will come down to how each team fared in the previous series. Sox are 30-19 in division games; Detroit is 29-20. So Boston needs to have won as many game as Detroit. If both teams end up 32-20 or 33-19 in division games, Detroit holds the tiebreaker for AL games, currently up by 6. No way Boston can rely on that tiebreaker. (If Detroit loses out, it won’t be necessary.)
  15. notin
    Then do not read this; 1. Head to head 2. Intradivisional record (regardless of whether or not both teams on in the same division) 3. Intraleague record 4. Intraleague record in the second half 5. Outcome of previous Intraleague game on schedule, counting back until tie is broken
  16. notin
    Rafaela ($37.2) plus Crawford ($6.7) for Mitch Keller ($12.6) is a massive overpay per BTV, and probably in real life as well Campbell ($29.7), Sandlin ($4.8), Paez ($2.9) and Hicks -$19.1) for Marte ($70.5) is an equally massive underpay on BTV. Not every team (re:probably none) uses BTV for trade evaluations, but they all probably do use something similar. Interestingly, these two deal can probably be re-arranangrd to work, but the Sox have to keep Hicks. Campbell, Rafaela and Paez for Marte. Crawford and Sandlin for Keller. If I’m the DBacks, I probably pass on the top deal, unless Marte is more of a PIA than I realize and just has to go. (Maybe he’s so bad they take Hicks?) If I’m the Pirates, I jump at the bottom deal…
  17. notin
    It’s no so easy to convince another team to take on multiple Rule 5 eligible players before the draft. But the Sox also don’t have many eligible players that other teams figure to target, either. Anyone below AA (Jedixson Paez, for example) is unlikely to be selected. The Rule 5 draft does have a huge downside for teams that make selections because they take a player who is going to lose a year if development in the minors and lose a year of control in the majors. I don’t think the Sox have to or will protect very many…
  18. notin
    Grissom is probably about 90% likely to be DFAd and released…
  19. notin
    He kind of stands out on the short list of Rule 5 eligible players worth protecting, which doesn’t say much. The only candidates IMO are him, Mullins and maybe (finally?) Noah Song…
  20. notin
    For Yoshida, either money or a prospect. For Hicks, nope. They save $20mill plus get the more useful player. Also, you’d package Sandlin over Uberstine? Uberstine strikes me as a fungible AAAA player every team has several of. Sandlin is no elite prospect but he appears to be the more useful of that pair. The Sox will protect Sandlin. Maybe Mullins. Not Uberstine…
  21. notin
    Wondering if it makes sense for the Sox to investigate a past target I’ve thrown out there (and they’ve not been connected to publicly) by moving either Yoshida (2 yr $37.2mill) or Hicks (2 yrs $25mill) to Atlanta for C Sean Murphy (3yrs $45mill). BTV gives Murphy a surplus value of minus $25mill, Yoshida a surplus value of minus $31.1mill and Hicks a surplus of minus $19mill. Drake Baldwin is likely NL ROY or NL ROY runner up. Atlanta will likely lose Marcell Ozuna to free agency. Murphy is an option to replace him, but he’s not close to the same hitter. And possibly less of one than Yoshida at this point. But if I’m GM of Atlanta, I’d still prefer Hicks. Bigger financial savings, lower AAV, and he does still throw really, really hard. And it might be as simple as keeping him out of the rotation to get him back to the reliever he used to be…
  22. notin
    No. In fact, fans who do not like a CBO excuse away any good move he makes as “lucky” or it “fell into his lap.” “Luck” is an excuse to justify further criticism…
  23. notin
    I like the attitude…
  24. notin
    From 2020 through 2023, the rhetoric was “you can’t count on Sale.” But once he got traded, it suddenly morphed into “they should have counted on Sale.” Not sure why anyone thinks it’s so painfully obvious Sale was going to be the first starting pitcher to accrue more WAR at age 35 than he did from ages 29 through 34 combined. But if Sale had stayed and flipped again, folks would have been all over Breslow for NOT trading him, just like they were when Bloom didn’t trade him to Texas in 2022. Sometimes it feels like people don’t want smart CBOs or crafty CBOs; they want psychics…
  25. notin
    A lot of people wanted Anthony called up earlier. You’re hardly alone on that list. The only issue was the Sox didn’t need OF/DH types. They did have issues at 1b and eventually at 2b. But Anthony solved none of these…
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