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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. It is odd, although half of that differential happened in two games (16-1 loss to the Padres and 15-1 loss to the Astros)...
  2. For all the talk and (very legitimate) worries about Barnes, his struggles only encompass 5.2 IP and 10 games. 5.2 IP is one bad start. He's 31 and only signed a two year extension. He might never be the pitcher he was for the first 4 months of 2021 again, but even of he returns to being the pitcher he was in 2019, it will still be a win...
  3. Well, teams that could spend at SS include the Yankees, Cubs, Astros, Angels, Phillies, Giants, Nationals and Cardinals. And there has been a long-standing rumor that the Rangers cleared out Andrus and temporarily installed IKF at SS in order to clear the way for Texas native Trevor Story....
  4. He's another excelllebt candidate. I like Simmons' defense better, but that's no slight to Iglesias. But then unless Bloom deals Bogaerts, I think we know who will be at SS...
  5. It’s not a gamble but the criteria Tomase used to judge some of his deals was crap. Holmes and Davis were essentially the same pitchers in Pittsburgh, and actually Davis was arguably better. That Holmes has pitched better since the deal is just hindsight…
  6. Would the Sox trade away a Cy Young winner with multiple years of control left to get a 21yo MLB-ready pitcher?
  7. Send a white horse to Worcester!!
  8. If I had to guess, I would think these types of deals are allowed to prevent players from stagnating in the minors while actual positions in MLB in other orgs are possible…
  9. The Astros gave up Abraham Toro, an MLB-ready infielder who can hit to get Graveman. Who was the Sox better offer? Ditto with Bryce Wilson. Austin Davis did have a uninspiring 5.11 ERA for Pitt, but suddenly pretending Clay Holmes and his 4.93 ERA for Pitt was the obvious choice is just hindsight. Chafin and Tepera were both having great seasons, and Tepera especially with his AL East experience and underrated career should not have been ignored. That he went for the White Sox 30th best prospect (pre-season Fangraphs ranking with 35+ FV) makes it more glaring…
  10. But he won’t sign anything until he sees what Correa gets…
  11. Love Simmons defensively. I told jacko all off-season that’s the guy Cashman should have been going after. But I think we all know who the Sox shortstop will be in 2021…
  12. One year of Bogaerts might be worth 6 years of Jeter Downs…
  13. And just where can we get one such wizard?
  14. Updating is a slow process on that site. Their first year, they were doing it monthly and I messaged the administrator and reminded him to go right to off-season values after August since no more trades were possible during the year anyway. With one season left, figure Bogaerts surplus value to be roughly $28mill . If he is projected for a 6 fWAR season, that’s worth $48mill and take away his $20 mill salary..,
  15. Or maybe the Sox deal Bogaerts for Marsh, whose basically a Jarren Duran clone except that he can hit and field, and then flip Duran for pitcher. Unlike Bogaerts, Duran will appeal to some small market teams due to his salary and control…
  16. The main reason to not worry about Bloom only knowing how to run small market teams is that patience is a fireable offense in the Sox organization. Bloom certainly knows this. He has to. Even I know it…
  17. Not sure how they handled it, but that kind of thing is rarely ignored by them…
  18. Per BTV, the starting pitchers with the closest trade value to Bogaerts (52.4) are Miami’s Sixto Sanchez (56.1), Miami’s Pablo Lopez (53.8), the Dodgers Julio Urias (51.1) and Tampa’s Shane McClanahan (51.0) and Dylan Cease of the White Sox (50.2). Using my (potentially incorrect) criteria, Lopez is the most likely pitcher to be available. I’m basing this on the Marlins’ depth, needs, and that he is eligible for arbitration. And that the Marlins aren’t very good. So if a third team was involved - say the Angels, who do need a shortstop themselves and seem to like big name players. Maybe a deal sending Bogie to LA and the Angels sending Brandon Marsh to the Marlins and then Lopez to Boston? With the couple low value supplementary pieces here and there? To me, this is not likely. If Marsh (plus?) was enough to pry Lopez out of Miami, the Angels take Lopez over Bogaerts and call it a day…
  19. Not if 5Gold becomes the GM. He’s been all in on Correa since February…
  20. If they deal X, they better be bringing in a top quality starter some how. I tend to think they would NOT get one for Bogaerts, as his appeal will largely be to teams hoping to contend and have a hole at SS. Teams hoping to contend rarely trade top quality starters, and the few teams that do things like that rarely take on $20 mill players. So a three-way trade (which is rare) or a separate deal for SP…
  21. And yet while Corbin Burnes was establishing himself as one of the best strike throwers in history, the team was only 2-7 in his starts prior to Adames. Obviously Adames isn’t the only reason, but the tendency among baseball fans is to rely heavily on noticeable stats and ignore the aspects of team play. We like big players who fill big roles, like ace starters and closers, but ignore that these players simply cannot make bad teams good on their own…
  22. I don’t know if anything has changed, but in the past Bogaerts has not been exactly wild about the prospects of changing position for whatever reason. If that’s the case, moving him off shortstop is basically asking him to exercise his opt out. So then the question becomes - would it make more sense to just deal him? In some ways, yes. There will be a lot of shortstop reshuffling this off-season that should create demand, and Bogaerts will still be the cheapest of the big names, at least financially. But if so, it has to work and work quickly. Bloom can’t deal Betts then Benentendi and then Bogaerts without producing a winning team immediately…
  23. I know. But that label seems to get attached to numerous other pitchers who fell off a cliff even later, like Barnes…
  24. But then the Brewers were under .500 and 4 games out until they traded for a major defensive upgrade at SS that could also hit. Corbin Burnes is having a monster season, but he was even more unhittable early on when he was off setting records for not walking people and racking up 10Ks a game in the process. But the Brewers have been a different team since they dealt for Willy Adames...
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