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Everything posted by notin
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Let's not overblow the need for pitching here. The Sox won 92 games with virtually nothing from Sale. Now, maybe this is Sale going forward, but maybe not. Either way, is there a free agent option available that is a definitive improvement over what we expect from Sale next season? If one of Houck or Whitlock move to the rotation, that leaves one spot remaining that might go to ERod (along with Sale, Eovaldi, and Pivetta). If ERod is not returning, that leaves one available rotation (re: expensive) slot to fill, before acquiring all the uninspiring but necessary depth arms. In the bullpen, I expect to see Houck/Whitlock, Barnes, Brasier, Taylor, Davis, Hernandez and Sawamura. So maybe one or two relievers, and probably some MiLB depth. I expect additions, but unless if ERod returns, it might not be so drastic. And depending what happens with Schwarber and/or 2B, the Sox do have adequate trade bait with Duran to make at least one pitching acquisition...
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If $7mill is too much for Vazquez in Boston, his trade value is nil. Either pick up the option and start him or decline it and let him find work on his own...
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His much more limited play does make his DRS numbers more impressive, but he would be very far from my first option. I fully expect Vazquez and Plawecki back next season for the Sox. I just don't expect a huge overhaul in the lineup of the American League runner-ups...
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I'd like to see Schwarber back, along with Bogaerts not traded (and even extended). At catcher, I assume they will bring Vazquez back. If they want to decline his option and upgrade the defense, 33yo Roberto Perez (35 DRS in the last 3 years as opposed to Vaz' 11) is one free agent option who presumably would cost less than $7mill. Hi backup in Cleveland is Austin Hedges, who has 32 DRS in the same timeframe, and might be available if the Guardians re-sign Perez. On the free agent market, 31yo Tucket Barnhart has 13 DRS - or just 2 more than Vazquez - in the same time frame, but in 450 fewer innings. Barnhart won't hit like Vaz, if that matters (and it has to at some point). And 34yo Manny Pina is one the best defensive catchers available, but those skills could start declining at any moment...
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If the Sox do go for shorter or cheaper free agents, there really still is no need to go get Marte or any potential starting outfielder, especially if they are still enamored with Schwarber. At some point, they can and maybe should either give Duran a try or move him somewhere to a team that will. He also fills the speed requirement, although I think the case for one was a bit overblown...
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His career OBP is .338, largely dragged down by his .298 in 2018. But over the last 3 years, it's .350...
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Belt is a far greater injury risk as the current MLB career leader in concussions...
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Instead of having MLB rename the bullpen, maybe PETA can campaign the zoological community to rename the bull and just call it a "boy cow". Problem solved...
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So .353 is acceptable but .338 is horrible? Over 600 PA, a .353 OBP means the hitter gets on base via hit or walk/hbp roughly 212 times, but at 338 OBP means he gets on base 203 times. Are those extra nine times on base over 162 games and 600 PA really such a big deal that the team needs to concentrate on them as the focal point of the off-season?
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Well, Clay Buchholz in 2007. He might be unpopular, but he was also more recent
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And the Sox don't get any in this one. Wow, you sure do like to complain about stuff you approve if...
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Semien hired Boras. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2021/10/marcus-semien-switches-agencies-hires-boras-corporation.html Next!
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Preferences aside, a swap of Bogaerts and Houck for Ramirez is certainly reasonable, right? It’s not a question of whether or not you would make that exact trade, but whether or not it’s actually a fair deal for a player you described as Mookie-like…
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If only those 2 games were played as a double header at 7 innings apiece...
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MLBTR mentioned the Sox in their article about looking for a trade partner. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2021/10/looking-for-a-match-in-a-willson-contreras-trade.html Per BTV, a deal of Gilberto Jimenez plus Josh Winckowski would be acceptable.. Of course, no idea how the Cubs' personnel feel about those players. Contreras made $6.6mill last year and has one year of arbitration left, which presumably will cost $9mill (Source: None. I made it up.)
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Speed is not measured in stolen bases. Speed helps with stolen bases, but there is a lot more at play there than just speed. SBs are their own skillset. And it does seem disingenuous to count Dave Roberts in 2004 but not Danny Santana in 2021. Despite leading the team in steals, Vazquez was the second slowest runner on the 2021 Red Sox, with a speed of 25.2 ft/sec, barely finishing ahead of Travis Shaw (25.1 ft/sec) and being somehow behind Kevin "The Human Glacier" Plawecki. The Sox did have some fast players, with the fastest being Jarren Duran by a lot (29.2 ft/sec), followed by Franchy Cordero, Jose Iglesias, Bobby Dalbec and Christian Arroyo to round out the top 5. Bogaeerts, Renfroe and Kike also all finished above league average, and Verdugo was almost right on the league average. Source: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/sprint_speed?year=2021&position=&team=BOS&min=10
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The Sox had 8 baserunners total in the last two playoff games with Houston. The problem wasn't leaving runners on base. It was getting them there in the first place...
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Well, one did. After he left the team...
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Actually, Bogaerts plus Houck does seem reasonable for Ramires (I mean, beyond the fact that Cleveland would not make the deal). Don't forget it's 2 years of Ramirez at $24mill (which makes him less than one half the cost of Betts at the time of his trade) for one year of a lesser but more expensive player in Bogaerts ($20mill) plus Houck. How does that seem so ridiculous to you? Would you have traded one year of Bogaerts plus Houck for Betts? You did compare the two...
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Has thee been any chatter that the Sox will not extend him? I now it is out there that he plans to opt out, which is not exactly surprising news. Chatter or not, he is opting out...
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But how many good defensive ones?
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OK. Makes more sense than my thinking you meant 36yo Carlos Santana, who is currently on the Royals. Obviously Ramirez would be a major coup. But with 2 years and $24mill left on his deal, Cleveland is in no rush to move him and when they do decide to, there will be no shortage of interested teams. The only way to get him might be to have no prospects that are off limits. BTV allows packages of Casas and Yorke or Mayer, Duran and Bello. Assuming Cleveland likes either package andgets no better offers. Also, small point, but there are no more "Guardians". The name is officially dead and we need to get used to calling them the Guardians...
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I don't think it's all that likely. If the Sox had Lester in 2015, I would be very surprised if Dombrowski still did not go out and get Price, whom he did acquire before. More likely, is he did not go after Sale, since that move came later...
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Would it make sense?
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What Santana are you talking about? There are more guys named Santana on the Red Sox than on the Guardians..
