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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. Ok I’m still lost. Can you briefly explain how anti-trust exemption complicates moving teams to more lucrative markets? And explain it like you were talking to a 4 year old…
  2. Ok you’re losing me. How would fans benefit if MLB did not have anti-trust exemption? Especially when you consider the longevity of those few leagues that challenged the NFL and NBA…
  3. There is one advantage for owners if they budge off the 6 year free agent rule - they get younger free agents, which means potential for fewer “bad investment” years at the end of contracts. Sure, some players might get longer deals, but even some really long ones now might look better. If I’m giving a player 7 years, I’d rather he be 28 than 29 or 30…
  4. Too often with defense the eye test turns into “I saw that guy make a couple errors.” What holds me back from thinking my eye test has much validity is the camera angles and TV practices. I can’t see if an outfielder gets a good jump or how much ground he can cover if no one shifts the active camera to him until the batted ball is still on its way…
  5. But in, say, 1990, what else was there for defensive stats? There was errors and fielding percentage. That’s pretty much it
  6. Of course this was a rare situation where RF/9 would have actually been useful. 100 identical groundballs just doesn’t happen often enough. Anyone using errors and old fashioned fielding percentage would have been able to make a really good argument for A…
  7. RF/9 favored B…
  8. Yeah the Ugh Factor is what sabermetrics dispelled…
  9. B gets more outs, but 25 years ago, if you looked at their stats and A had a 1.000 fldg pct and B had a .900 fldg pct, would we have reached the same conclusion?
  10. We’re ignoring the emotional aspects. That depends too much on the pitcher…
  11. The 2003 Marlins had a payroll in the 24-26 range, depending on your source. They’re a clear outlier in the spending vs winning, and really just exist to show that it’s possible if you draft right and trade for good prospects and they all come along and develop at once…
  12. The bases is an interesting point. Even if B commits 10 2-base errors and A allows 20 singles for his unreachables, each shortstop is responsible for 20 total bases. Assuming 10 bases = 1 run, both are responsible for 2 runs scored by the opposition…
  13. 1. The 2003 Marlins...
  14. That’s an interesting perspective. I might think of shortening the spending length to 5 or 6 years, but along the same line. And like you, I’m not going to do the research, but I agree with the principle…
  15. That’s the thing about w defensive stats - a lot of times they flew against what we thought we knew. For example, if you hit 100 identical groundballs to two shortstops with the following results: Shortstop A got to 80 out of 100 and made 0 errors. Shortstop B got to all 100 but made 10 errors. Who’s the better defender? Shortstop A and his 1.000 fielding pct.? Or Shortstop B, who made more outs and allowed fewer base runners?
  16. Exactly. Bad enough many key stats are already very questionable…
  17. Isn’t that also true of offensive stats? None of them differentiate between a hit that starts a rally from a two out single that ultimately leaves the runner stranded. But then no aspects of statistics in any sport or application is meant to handle each individual situation…
  18. Why not free agency? RP is the one position where 1-2 year deals are not only common, they’re practically the only option. With no over commitment, why not sign a RP or two?
  19. In the last 21 World Series: Top Ten Payrolls: 11 Middle Ten: 9 Bottom Ten: 1
  20. You almost got your wish with your whole “I don’t understand ‘partially negate’”thing…
  21. The reason many relievers have a reputation for being more volatile is teams carry a lot of them and the primary reason they have the job is most are not good enough to be starters. As the Sox look now, the rotation appears to be a bigger concern than the bullpen. And of course the lineup is incomplete, but that’s more on the lockout…
  22. The only teams in the past 20 years to have the highest payroll and win a World Series are the 2009 Yankees and 2018 Red Sox…
  23. I’m ok with Casas as number one. Proximity should matter…
  24. Possible, but I hope not. Just like you think the bullpen is not a place to save money, it’s also really not a place to keep starter depth. Let relievers be relievers…
  25. If the Sox keep Houck and Whitlock in the bullpen, they do have five good options anchoring it with those two, Taylor, Barnes and Brasier. Hopefully they add another arm or two back there, but it’s probably not the weakness on this current roster. Sawamura probably takes the sixth spot, but the last two relievers (Darwinzon Hernandez and Austin Davis) are prime to be upgraded. Hernandez is a viable trade candidate, due to his salary, years of control, and 102 mph fastball. Davis would be more in line for a DFA…
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