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Everything posted by notin
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Projecting PAs is just guesswork. I like how Steamer600 handles things. “Give a player 600 PAs and this is how he should do.”
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Part of this is also because we’re Sox fans. You probably haven’t thought about Ben Zobrist in years. Papi had some huge clutch hits as key walk offs, including TWO IN ONE DAY in the 2004 ALCS. But he wasn’t the 63rd best player in MLB even with that. But what he was was a Hall of Fame caliber player with a huge room-filling personality…
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It is important. There’s a big difference between getting 1.0 fWAR in 100 PAs and in 600 PAs…
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Totality the personality that separates him from the pack. Luis Gonzalez got the most clutch and most famous and most critical walk off hit in MLB history. Does he even get talked about anymore? Jim Thome is the all time MLB leader in walk off home runs. While he is in the HOF and deservedly so, did you even know he was the career leader?
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Based on how many PA? That’s a very important factor..
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I wouldn’t rank Ortiz anywhere near Yastrzemski on an All Time list. But both were certainly great players. I do think Ortiz does get helped a lot by his personality…
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Ok, first of all, in the WAPM system, it’s wWAR. But I understand the confusion. fWAR was the basis for the now defunct WAFL system.
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I believe the only One True Projection System is the WAPM. The rest are all posers. Especially PECOTA…
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But he wasn’t on the 1978 team, which the post was responding about…
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No. He’s all about the Book of Steamer…
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The 1978 team didn’t win anything, except 99 games, which was the most at the time for the Sox since 1946. The team also boasted 4 Hall of Famers (Rice, Yaz, Fisk, Eck’s) and a couple other very noteworthy candidates in Tiant and Evans…
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The Mariners have never even been to one, and I believe are the only team in MLB that hasn’t…
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And in another annual Rite of February, west coasters have started griping about East Coast bias…
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But how many of those minutes were spent facing each other?
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This post just screams “Rick Lancellotti”
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Wasn’t he one of the guys whose first hit was a grand slam? Or was that the highly memorable Creighton Gubanich?
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Easily the worst contracts in team history, and Lackey started off his Sox career like he intended to join that group. And obviously Rusney -despite my liking his defense - is another obvious addition. But as bad as these guys were (except maybe Crawford), the worst player is still different than the worst contract.
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And given how they ended, maybe that was the wrong choice…
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How about Steve Lomasney as a prospect flop?
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That’s ok. There’s a good chance he doesn’t remember you, either…
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I think that’s what makes Gutierrez a great candidate. He was awful but still the best choice. Although Hoffman was another who was high on my list. I’m actually also surprised no one has mentioned Edgar Renteria. I have some theories about his poor performance, but they’re totally unsubstantiated and he was still pretty ineffective regardless…
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Said it before but it’s still worth noting - from mid-June until the end of the season, Dalbec had the second highest OPS among AL first basemen, trailing only MVP runner up Vlad Jr. He had a very slow start, but he certainly did bounce back. I’d keep him for now over any pitcher I could get for him…
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Oh we’re all just guessing. The reality is there is probably a candidate or two for a starting job that’s either currently unemployed or employed by another team…
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As an ancillary piece, he’s possibly not even a consequential part of the deal. No team is going to agree to send Pitcher X for Nick Yorke and then back out if the Sox don’t include Dalbec…
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He was also a two time BA Top 100 prospect…
