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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    I am sure they view him as a big "addition," but I hope they decide we need another even better SP'er.
  2. moonslav59
    I don't think we had this sort of high prospect value, recently, and not the bottleneck situation we have, now. I also think the unspoken plan was to build for 5 years (starting with mid season 2019.) That 5 years is up. This is a new management team, but JH is the still here. I will no longer predict or expect him to spend heavily on a SP'er again. I think it's easier to envision him deciding to trade prospects for a lower cost TOTR pitcher, despite that not happening since Sale,
  3. moonslav59
    To be honest, I was actually surprised at how few batters had OPS over .700 or .800 with these selected low BB%s. Most of the successful high K players in MLB history, were able to walk at over a 7 or 8% rate. When I think of great batters known as "free-swingers," Vlad comes to mind, but he was not a big K guys and did walk over 8% of the time. It's weird that Bobby Dee's best season (2021) saw his lowest BB% at 6.2%, and his K rate of 34.4% was just below his career 36.8%. Middlebrooks had that awesome half season in 2012 with a 4.6 BB%, which was below his career 5.2%, and a K% of %24.5%, again just barely better than his career 26.3%. That being said, I don't see rafaela as that type of hitter. The low BB% of 3.3 is concerning. So is the 26% K rate, but I think he will be fine on O.
  4. moonslav59
    Dalbec is likely gone, granted. Westbrook might stick around, until the middle IF is settled, but no big loss, if we lose him. Gasper or Kavadas can be Jordan's back-up at 1B. I'm not sure we protect Guerrero, so he may be taken. Our prospects seem to be highly regarded by Rule 5 scavenger hunts. Even losing all these 4, the AAA teams looks about a strong as I've seen in years- maybe even decades. The wait has been a long one. Most of us knew the farm could not be rebuilt overnight, under the changed rules from years ago. The time is now. We already have a well-documented everyday 13 going into 2025, so it is soon to be time to use that depth to trade for pitching. If we can get JH to splurge on another one, we might just be a top 3-4 favorite in 2025.
  5. moonslav59
    I'd love to see us sign a big FA guy, like Burnes, but I've given up thinking it might happen. That is why I have been on my big trade a top prospect plus some mid tier ones for a solid SP'er with 3+ years of control. It seems like the most realistic way it might happen. We may swing and miss, no matter which road we take, and I won't be shocked if we add nobody more highly regarded than Gio was, last year. Sad but pretty likely, IMO.
  6. moonslav59
    These two teams are not push overs, but I’m glad the Astros have cooled off since going something like 50-33, not too long ago. One game at a time
  7. moonslav59
    Crappy loss, after it looked pretty bright for a while- mid game.
  8. moonslav59
    I would debate the "3 good seasons" comment, but signing Price was needed at the time and did help bring us a win and 3 division championships. Price had an ERA+ of 127 in the previous 5 seasons before the signing and 118 with BOS (ages 30-32.) That was very helpful but in one of those "3 years" he only started 11 games. Lackey did so-so year one (99 ERA+) and was at 117 in 2013 (ring year.) He was at 111 in 2014, when we traded him- not his fault. He started 28 or more games, every year with us, but 2012. He was still worth the money, which was much less than Price's. Either way, both signings pale against the trades for Sale, Beckett, Schilling and Pedro. Even the Nate and Peavy signings look better.
  9. moonslav59
    We should walk Whitt every AB, even if the bases are loaded.
  10. moonslav59
    Wow! POR scored 7 runs in the 8th! Anthony 4-5 (Marrero, too.) Campbell 2-4 w BB Teel 0-4 w SF Woo won 9-6 Westbrook 4-5 Gasper 2-4 w 2BB Casas 2-6 w 2 2Bs Grissom 1-5 w BB GRE scored 9 runs in the 10th! Jh Garcia 4-6 w 2B Castro 3-5 w BB- a homer short of the cycle! Turner 1-5 w BB & 3B SAL won 5-3 with a nice pitched start by Kirwin (4 IP, 1H, 0ER, 0BB, 5K) Encarnacion 2-4 w 4 rbi
  11. moonslav59
    Agreed. There is no excuse for not trying to find a few more Criswell types. Sure, we might end up with 1 Criswell and 5 Chase Andersons, but we signed just the two.
  12. moonslav59
    At least the others have been showing glimmers for 3-4 IP, here and there.
  13. moonslav59
    Seriously?
  14. moonslav59
    I was thinking the same thing. This KCR team is tough.
  15. moonslav59
    Crawford needs to be shut down- for how long, who knows? He is toast, right now.
  16. moonslav59
    They could work on improving in those areas at AAA, too. I will say, we may have one hell of a AAA club to start 2025: C: Teel, Gasper 1B: Jordan, Dalbec 2B: Valdez SS: Mayer 3B: Meidroth LF: Westbrook, Rosier (maybe Campbell mid season) CF: Anthony RF: Sogard, Sikes DH: Hickey/Valdez/Dalbec SP: Fitts, Priester, Penrod, Gambrell, Dobbins RP: I Campbell, Weissert, Horn, Mills, Guerrer
  17. moonslav59
    He is the kind of guy I expected Bloom to find 10 of.
  18. moonslav59
    How many middle infielders did we put out there before Romy, this year? Story & Grissom Short & Reyes Rafaela & Valdez DHam & Westbrook Sogard has played since the Romy call-up. (We even played Wong at 2B in 4 games.) Our bench has carried us.
  19. moonslav59
    Romy has been a beast! He hit two wicked hard shots, Monday.
  20. moonslav59
    Booser has been one of our most reliable pitchers, but the other options might have been Bernardino or Wink. OPS Against last 28 days (PAs) .508 Booser (36) .700 Paxton (44) .706 Wink (36) .742 Pivetta (113) .752 Weissert (35) AAA .754 Criswell (81) .793 Houck (103) .809 Bello (121) .916 Kelly (43) .917 Garcia (12) .925 Anderson (32) DFA .940 Jansen (38) .980 Bernardino (35) .990 Horn (28) AAA .991 Crawford (94) Whole Season (160+ PAs) .569 Slaten .607 Houck .611 Kelly .614 Jansen .615 Booser .678 Bernardino .713 Crawford .720 Criswell .727 Pivetta .740 Wink .797 Bello
  21. moonslav59
    I guess I'm not really "surprised," but I would also have not been surprised had all 3 been promoted after the trade deadline. Mayer got hurt, recently, so that might have held him back. Here is soxprospects.com ETAs: Early 2025: 2. Mayer 3. Teel 11. Meidroth Mid 2025: 1. Anthony 15. Fitts Late 2025: 5. Campbell 20. Dobbins, 22. Penrod We could see 5-6 significant additions during the 2025 season! 2026: 10. Sandlin 12. Castro 18. Romero 21. Wikelman, 24. Early, 25. Monegro 2027: 4. Montgomery 6. Bleis 13. Zanetello 14. Tolle 16. E Rod 19. Jh Garcia 2028: 8. Arias 9. Cespedes 17. Jo Garcia 23. Cason, 27. Valera
  22. moonslav59
    Here are the SP'er Rankings of SP'ers with 100+ IP since June 3rd of 2023. That was when Crawford joined the rotation. 141 SP'ers with 100+ IP SIERA 2.70 Crochet 2.86 Skubal 2.97 Glasnow 2.99 Sale 3.06 Pivetta 12. Imanaga 3.45 13. Flaherty 3.47 15. Cease 3.48 16. S Gray 3.48 17. Kikuchi 3.48 22. Garrett 3.55 23. G Cole 3.55 26. Eflin 3.60 33. Burnes 3.71 38. gausman 3.81 44. Houck 3.87 48. Luzardo 3.90 53. S Lugo 3.97 54. Eovaldi 3.97 55. Crawford 3.98 67. Bello 4.13 76. Giolito 4.21 81. Taillon 4.26 96. Wacha 4.40 103. Montgomery 4.53 118. Stroman 4.76 123. T Rogers 4.83 125. Paxton 4.87 133. Lorenzen 5.02 136. Flexen 5.15
  23. moonslav59
    Cubs beat MIN, today, and the Yanks won game one vs LAA. We need to take care of business, tonight, so we don't have to scoreboard watch- hoping other teams lose.
  24. moonslav59
    It is pretty hard to support a low BB like his. Here is a look at the lowest BB% of all Red Sox players since 1972 with 500+ PAs and their OPS w Sox: 3.1% Nunez .694 3.2% Andre Dawson .738 3.3% Hillenbrand .749 3.3% Rafaela .698 3.6% Gutierrez .572 3.7% Benjamin .661 3.9% Carl Crawford .711 Best of the lowest BB%? 4.8% Tony Armas .768 5.2% Victorino .756 5.2% Dante Bichette .801 6.2% A Beltre .919 6.3% R Jefferson .868 6.4% Nomar .923 All of MLB: 3.2 Shawon Dunston .712 (lowest BB rate over .700 w 2,000+ career PAs) 3.5% Ricky Jordan .732 3.7% Hillenbrand .760 3.8% Sa Perez .763 4.5% Adam Jones .771 (Nobody is over .771 w a lower BB %) You have to go up to 5% to find a player over .778 (Steve Garvey at .779) .798 Ivan Rodriguez 5% .835 Dante Bichette 5.2%
  25. moonslav59
    Yes, but teams face a RH SP'er about 30% of the games, so it is still important to have batters than can hit all pitching or capable platoon players: we have both. What I like most is that we have no real "black holes." Sure, we've had slumping players, like DHam is now, but most seem to bounce back just as we start to notice. The team has hit .842 since May 31st. That's a 55 game sample size The team has hit .862 since the start of July. 29 games and 178 runs (6.1 runs per game) 48 HRs 87 2B+3B 30 SBs Since May 31 (75+ PAs): 1.042 Devers .973 Valdez (sent to AAA) .963 Duran .957 O'Neill .865 Abreu .858 Romy .849 Refsnyder .835 Smith .814 Rafaela .789 Wong (Jansen is at 1.083 in 12 PAs) .771 Yoshida .692 DHam (Sogard is at .701 in 18 PAs) 11 batters over .770!
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