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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    On the farm early results (15+ PAs) OPS 1.196 Romy G 1.117 Kavadas 1.059 Rosario .952 Hickey .937 Joh. Garcia .868 Jho. Garcia Notables: .885 Anthony (13 PAs) .839 Mayer (12 PAs) .743 Bleis .708 Teel (9 PAs) .554 Meidroth .538 Yorke OPS Against(5+ IP) .000 Brand .229 Bastardo .246 Benitez .261 Z Kelly .335 Alexander .367 Fogell .599 Criswell .653 Hagenman .767 Gambrell .776 Uwasawa Notables with 3.0 to 4.2 IP: .091 Guerrero .167 Dean .220 Early .282 Adams .498 Booser .511 Rogers .652 I Coffey .714 Fitts
  2. moonslav59
    If we wait until Crawford and Houck have great seasons, the extension cost will rise sharply. I'd like to see us extend Pivetta, but the injury might make that too iffy.
  3. moonslav59
    Oh, OK. I thought the talk was about Rafaela improving on his start to 2024. I guess his 74 wRC+ in 2023 needed improvement, as well, so I get your point, now. I think we all expect the rotation to come back down to earth, but we have differing opinions on it being better or worse than 2023's. It certainly has upside potential.
  4. moonslav59
    You think the rotation can improve?
  5. moonslav59
    Grissom and Rafaela have not done much.
  6. moonslav59
    A while ago, I mentioned how our farm has really missed the boat on finding and or developing fine pitchers, especially starters, but that the few we have graduated, recently have been better than the previous 6-7 years, combined. Maybe go back to 2010 and include Workman + Barnes (2010-2016) While the 2024 sample size is still very small, things do look brighter. Crawford Bello IFA '17) Houck (drafted in '17) Whitlock Winckowski Possibles: Slaten Sandlin Fitts Gambrell Some RP'ers like Guerrero The list of pitchers doing well in MLB from the Sox system, after Lester, Buch, Barnes ('11), Masterson, Workman ('10) & Papelbon is not as good as this list: Aro '11 Bautista & DHern '13 Espinoza, Beeks & Kopech '14 Lakins & Poyner '15 Shawaryn '16 Am I missing anyone good from 2010-2016? Can I go back more than 7 years and still find this last 7 year crop still better?
  7. moonslav59
    Time will tell. I still like both. Extending Casas, Crawford and Houck might be nice.
  8. moonslav59
    A full year from Duran and O'Neill might make a dent.
  9. moonslav59
    Yes, we effectively replaced Turner with Rafaela/Abreu, as Yoshida's OF was filled by them. That's a huge drop. Grissom> 2023 2B, an increase from our catchers and O'Neill over Duvall/Verdugo probably can't make up the difference. I was hoping for monster years by Devers and Casas, and an uptick at SS with Story, but that is not looking good after 2 weeks.
  10. moonslav59
    I'm not sure it was luck. When you lead the league in grounders, you get a lot of IF hits.
  11. moonslav59
    It looks that way, now. I expect Devers & Casas to step it up, but I doubt O'Neill keeps this up. Grissom is a big question mark, but he should be an upgrade from the .663 OPS at 2B, last year. O'Neill may do better than Duvall/Verdugo, but Rafaela/Abreu look scary on O, right now. I expect better O from our catchers.
  12. moonslav59
    The Sox were 28 runs from 800 in 2023. I doubt they hit 800, but they might come close to 772.
  13. moonslav59
    True, but .830 through 112 games is good. You can break it up many ways. .557 7/31 to 8/21 .734 8/22 to 9/9 This makes saying all of August sucked look not so true. He really had 3 bad stretches: First 13 games 18 games from 7/31 to 8/21 Last 15 games He had a 79 game hot streak at .905 (4/20 to 7/30) He had a meh streak from 8/22 to 9/9 at .734. I'm sure someone could split this into 6 or 7 "streaks," and show something different.
  14. moonslav59
    ...and apparently the selling not buying aspect of trades not made.
  15. moonslav59
    He hits the ball so weakly, I'm not sure loft would help.
  16. moonslav59
    He had a 112 game stretch at .830. That was an 80% of season, continuous "stretch." 112/140
  17. moonslav59
    It's interesting to note that our LHBs have a higher OPS vs LHPs than RHPs (.714 to .655) , so far, and our RHBs have a much better OPS vs RHP (.771 to .655.)
  18. moonslav59
    I'm just looking at improvements (or not) from 2023- even if just slight.
  19. moonslav59
    Knew it was bound to happen.
  20. moonslav59
    Thanks for the insights- always welcome. Do you watch their games?
  21. moonslav59
    You make "that stretch" sound like it was a month long, or something. He was still at .901 on June 4th, 2023. From April 20 to Sept 9th, he hit .830 (112 games and 469 PAs out of his 580 total.) His two bad stretches were: .560 to start the year (13 games- sound familiar?) .591 last 15 games of the season. It seems more accurate to say his 2023 season was marred by two 2-week stretches than to say he was carried by pretty strong 5 month "stretch." That being said, I am losing confidence, very quickly, here, despite the fact that he started off slowly, last year, too.
  22. moonslav59
    He will turn 28, after the season is over. Many players have career bests at 28 or older. He's had 2-3 great seasons, batting, and can do better with the same approach Vlad Guerrero rode to greatness. I'm not saying a change can't help, nor am I predicting a .950+ season, but there is a significant chance he hits .950+ in the next few years.
  23. moonslav59
    Devers certainly can still have a bust out year that blows 2019 or 2021 away. He's only 27. I don't expect his defense to improve.
  24. moonslav59
    I'm thinking maybe one gets a Sept call-up- 2 at most. Instead, we'll see guys like Abreu and Rafaela playing FT (assume O'Neill traded.) We'll see McGuire traded and maybe Teel called up, but my guess is someone else gets a look-see- maybe even Hickey, who could DH some, if we squeeze Yoshida out. (Heineman?) I think Romy, Valdez and DHam might get longer looks, assuming they haven't already shown they suck by the deadline. Maybe Meidroth and or Sogard gets a look. No need to talk about great prospect pitchers knocking loudly on the door.
  25. moonslav59
    Exactly! Recent grads: 2023: Casas, Grissom, Bernardino, Valdez, Murphy, Kelly 2022: Bello, Duran, Crawford, Wink, Wong 2021: Houck & Whitlock Rafaela, Slaten, Abreu, DHam and others will graduate this year, most likely. Plus, Devers is younger than Houck, Crawford, Whitlock and Wong! We have a pretty solid base of young and controlled players on the 26, already. Lord knows, we still have holes- some very big, but add a few more from the big 3 and beyond, and that core should get even better.
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