moonslav59

xFIP Leaders on the Farm (80+ IP) 2.53 Tolle 2.80 Anderson 2.96 Early 3.23 Holobetz 3.34 E Rivera 3.45 Mullins 3.52 Rogers 3.55 Sansone 3.59 Sprague 3.61 Aita 3.97 Sandlin 4.13 Stock 4.16 Uberstine ______________ 40-79 IP 2.33 McShane 2.53 Wu-Yelland 3.01 M Medina 3.15 Fajardo 3.15 C Adams 3.16 Travieso 3.34 Brand 3.37 Ruiz

The talk of the downturn in everyday talent on the farm after players like Anthony, Narvaez, Mayer and Campbell graduated is supported by the data. Here is a look at the top farm OPS in 2025 (200+ PAs) : .814 Jh Garcia AA-AAA .796 Ehrhard A+/AA .765 G Rodriguez FCL-A- .759 Romero AA-AAA .753 Castro AA .753 Gonzales 3 teams .752 Fermin FCL-A- .749 Rosier AA-AAA .737 Hickey AAA .737 Encarnacion A-/A+ .724 Yuten A .723 Arias 3 teams (most PAs on the farm) .704 Taylor A+ ________________ 100-350 PAs 1.102 J Brito DSL 1.003 Danville DSL .975 Andujar DSL .895 Primera DSL .863 Welch DSL .860 Ogando DSL .853 Alvarado DSL .831 Kolozsvary AA-AAA .827 H Ramos .793 Hidalgo DSL .790 Soto DSL .777 Rivas DSL .758 A Lugo A+ .752 Maximus A-/A+ ______________ Notables under 100 PAs .950 Godbout (55 PAs) .836 Mambel (53) .827 Winnay (61) .768 J Rodriguez (92) Who are the sleepers on this list?

Maybe his search ends with Cora. The next question would be, who do Cora & Brez hire as the next Manager?

I have no issues with Duran. He's been one of our most consistent hitters, all year, despite getting worse vs LHPs over the last 2-3 years. (BTW, his OPS vs LHPs was the same overall OPS as Casas in 2025.) 2025: .865/.581 2024: .910/.665 2023: .841/.749 Duran has stayed healthy, all year, and for this team, that's a big plus. That is also part of the reason he leads the team in some cumulative stats. Lets look at these stats per PA: TB .472 Romy .465 Anthony (IL) .446 Refsnyder .433 Abreu (IL) .415 Bregman .410 Story & Devers (traded) .392 Duran .380 Rafaela (I'm surprised he's so close.) This is not intended to slight Duran in any way. He plays everyday. We need that, as we can see, now.

Casas had an OPS over .800 for a pretty large sample size, before the tiny sample size in 2024 you keep using to define him. He was at .580 after 29 games. Story, the guy you are praising and the poster boy for players missing time due to injury was at .581 after 54 games, THIS YEAR! I think you need to cut Casas some slack or stop praising Story. (I's choose the former.) The Casas injury also forced the whole Devers blow up. It was a major injury to this team. I'm not sure why you assume Casas would be at .580 after 500 PAs, had he stayed healthy. The same as not assuming Story would stay at .581 all year.

fWAR per IP .045 Chapman .029 Crochet .028 Whitlock .026 Wilson .016 Dobbins (IL) .014 Bello & Giolito

Current Sox fWAR Leaders: 5.4 Crochet 3.4 Duran 3.2 Bregman (was on IL for a while) 3.1 Story (leader since June) 2.9 Rafaela 2.8 Narvaez 2.7 Anthony (IL) 2.7 Abreu (IL) 2.5 Chapman 2.1 Bello 2.0 Devers (Traded) 1.9 Giolito 1.8 Whitlock 1.5 Romy (290 PAs) 1.2 Wilson 1.1 Ref (184 PAs) 1.0 Dobbins (IL in 64 IP) fWAR per PA .0089 Anthony (IL) .0073 Bregman .0069 Narvaez .0068 Abreu (IL) .0060 Devers (as a DH- traded) .0060 Refsnyder .0055 Rafaela .0053 Duran .0052 Story .0052 Romy We are missing 3 of our top 5 on this list.

Why assume TEX is going to keep winning? They play the next 5 on the road at NYM and then HOU. If they sweep HOU, we'll stay ahead of HOU for the WC slot. Don't look now, but the real "choke" is HOU, and we're already ahead of them. They are... 5-8 in their last 13 games (We are 6-7) 20-25 in their last 45 (We are 27-18) 28-34 since July 3rd (We are 38-22.) SEA is 13-15 in their last 28 but have played better more recently.

It's "stopper" time, for sure!

You've stuck with this all year, and maybe you do end up being right, but all year we have bounced back from these 2-3 game losing streaks. It does hurt to see Eaton, DHam and Yoshida sandwiched between slumping players. I take issue with the Duran comment. While he's been worse than 2024, he's at .773, now. He was at .774 8/30. He was at .784 8/15. He was at .767 7/28 He was at .756 7/9 He was between .708 and .753 all June. He was between .715 and .762 from 5/18 to .5/31. Before that the sample sizes were smaller and more volatile as he ranged from the .500's to mid .700's. He's been one of our most steady hitters all year. He's at .550 in the last 7 games. He, as well as most hitters have streaks like that, several times a year. He's at .752 the last 16 games and .875 since June 29th. The O has gone into a fink, since Anthony's injury. The loss of Abreu did not help. The line-up has lost 4 of their best batters, this year (Casas, Devers, Anthony and Abreu.) We also basically replaced out FT catcher from 2024, who was a decent bat, last year. Call it a choke all you want, and keep predicting doom & gloom, as you have all year- game by game, week by week. It's been working real well, right? The Sox have the 4th best record in the AL- just 4,5 GB the best AL record. While it's true that we are also 4.5 GA of being the 8th ranked team (bottom tier,) we have one of the best records in MLB since the end of June. Some choke! June 30> 43-21 MIL 40-23 BOS (63 games is a significant sample size.) 40-24 TOR 39-25 PHI 37-27 TEX 37-28 SEA 36-29 CLE Okay, looking at the worst stretches I can find, we are... 6-7 since AUG 29th... epic choke!!! Or is it the 0-2 run we are on?

It seems like the loss of Anthony was ten times worse than losing Devers. On paper, it's likely not true, but it feels that way, now. I will say, this team has gotten us feeling this way several times, this year, then BAM! They reel off 3 in a row or 4 of 6. Now, would be a good time for that.

It looks like hopes of winning the ALE are fading away, unless we go 5-0 vs NYY & TOR and keep winning vs others (unlikely.) SEA is still playing. TEX is hot. We are 1.5 behind NYY and 1.5 ahead of SEA pending their result. One of HOU (80-68) /SEA (79-68) /TEX (78-70) will win the ALW. One will almost certainly be a WC winner, while the other could catch the Sox. 14 games to go.

He hasn't played yet at WOO, so I'm not all that hopeful. Maybe he gives us 7-10 games.

Losing 2 in a row is now a "choke." Okay, 5 of 8 is a "choke," LMAO. Oh, maybe going 6-7 in the last 13 is a choke. I'm cherry-picking the worst of the recent sample sizes I can find, and none look like chokes to me. This team should be commended for hanging tough, despite all that has happened. Now, I'll cherry-pick some good recent sample sizes: Won... 3 of last 5 (60%) 6 of 11 10 of 17 (59%) 13 of 21 (62%) 24 of 40 (60%) 39 of 62 (63%) Best winning % in AL? 58% TOR 57% DET I think the unnoticing is on your behalf.

22-15 since the fireable offense at the deadline, despite losing Anthony and Abreu, is a "choke," but we don't see it. Okay. Got it.

You said he did nothing to improve the team. I guess you meant at the deadline. Oh, and by the way: post deadline, the Sox are 22-15. 28-32 APR-MAY 31-19 JUN-JUL 22-15 AUG-SEP You see a team getting worse: I see a team overcoming crippling injuries to stay in the race for not only the playoffs, but just a handful of wins away from being near the best team in the AL. Ease up, dude!

Thanks, harmony. I knew it seemed like a lot. and of course other teams have missed top players a lot, too. I don't blame Bloom for not having more depth. Our depth has helped keep us in this thing. Our weakness seems to be the lack of star power and relying too much on balance and depth with no real stand out masher. We have 9 SP'ers with 5 or more starts and Tolle+ Early+ Criswell with another 5. Only Crochet has stayed off the IL, among our top 12 SP;ers. We've been going without our 3rd best RP'er (Slaten) who was viewed as our top 2 pen arm, last winter. The Casas injury hurt and then blew up the Devers situation. Losing Anthony and Mayer took a lot of youthful energy away. Abreu was our HR leader and may not return this year.

Brez should have known we needed 7 good OF'ers at the deadline. He did trade Devers, but losing 3 more big lefty bats has just been too hard for this offense to overcome. (Anthony, Abreu & Casas.) Couple that with just about every SP'er we have, except Crochet missing time, and I'm thinking we did well getting as far as we have. I still like our chances this weekend. Crochet & Bello.

They may have run their course, no doubt, but our depth and balance have carried us most of the year. We are the only team in MLB with 7 players at 2.7 fWAR or more. Our bottom of the order ranks higher than just about everyone else, this year. Tonight, everyone sucked.

Crochet made us worse: check. Chapman made us worse: check. Narvaez sucks: check. Bregman sucks: check. Slaten & Gio are bums: check.

You lost all cred. "Made 'em worse." Did you just become a baseball fan? Did you watch us play last year? 2023? 2022?

Oh, some other teams saw their 26th man get hurt more often. It's not just about max days on the IL, it's about who is on the IL. The Yanks lost Cole for the whole season, That was huge. The Dodgers lost more than the Sox. The Astros always have 3-5 top SP'ers on the IL. We lost 4 of our top 7-8 SP'ers, 2 for the full season and 2 for more than 2/3rd of it: Houck (our ace last year) Crawford (our IP leader last year) Sandoval (all year) and Dobbins (2/3.) We also saw some missed games by Bello & Gio. Criswell pitched a gem and then has been out. That's not even going into Fitts (our 8th or 9th best) and Perales (our best minor league arm last DEC.) We lost Slaten for much of 2025 and Wink for all of it. Casas went down early, Bregman for a while and then our best player, Anthony. Our best infield depth, Mayer, missed a big chunk. Now, Abreu is out. We are certainly top 10, and maybe top 5-6.

Woo hit like BOS, tonight. They got 3 hit. Their loss put them at 71-70. POR is tied 4-4 late. Nothing much to report on from the farm, tonight.

Wrong on injuries. Maybe right on deadline help.

Time for the Lowe down!