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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. Here is a good trivia question: what Red Sox player had the highest fWAR season at SS for the Sox since 1970? SINGLE SEASON best season at SS.
  2. It would be crushing, but the way this team has bounced back, time and time again from similar down times over this season, I will not count them out. We could really use Abreu's bat, ASAP!!!
  3. This has to be the most meaningful game since the 2021 playoff games vs HOU. Let's hope we do better than that last game of those playoffs. We may need a CG shutout from Crochet with the way our offense is looking. GO SOX!!!
  4. The combination of more than our share of big scoring games and park factors make our offense look better than it is. It's been this way for years, right? WRONG! Here are our Home vs Away Rankings, this year... H/A Runs: 7th/6th OPS: 9th/9th wRC+: 14th/10th
  5. I was surprised he wasn't traded over this season. Maybe nobody wanted him (likely): maybe Brez set a price too high for anyone who was interested (less likely.) I think we'd keep DHam over Grissom due to his PR value and his better 2B defense. Both could easily be gone by opening day, with DHam the more likely trade candidate and Grissom the DFA'd or non tendered guy. Hey, what's the difference between non tendered and DFA'd?
  6. All teams do this to some extent, but the Sox seem to corner the market on it, every season. The Yanks have won 27 games by 5+ runs and 24 by 6 or more runs. They even scored 7 or more runs and lost 5 times. Yankee big wins: 12 (15-3, 13-1) 11 (20-9, 11-0) 10 (12-2, 13-3) 9 (11-2, 9-0, 12-3, 12-3, 11-2) 8 (10-2, 10-2, 9-1, 10-2) 7 (12-5, 10-3) 6 (10-4, 11-5, 8-2, 7-1, 10-4, 7-1, 9-3) In the Yankees 17 biggest blow-outs (7 or more runs, they outscored their opps by 157 runs! Wins by 6 or more runs 29% Yankees: 24 of 83 wins 23% Red Sox 19 of 81 wins
  7. Sox OPS+ Leaders 149 Devers (traded) 138 Anthony (IL) 136 Refsnyder (short side platoon ONLY) 130 Romy (moving from short side platoon to near FT play) 130 Bregman (missed a chunk of games) 121 Abreu (IL) 114 Duran 108 Eaton (tryin to give us a boost) 103 Story and Narvaez (both big reasons we are still in the race.) 98 Lowe (dropping fast) 90 Rafaela (Hey, he's walking more! LOL) These were the big drags: 284 PAs (10th on team) Toro at .659 263 PAs (11th) Campbell at .664 181 PAs (13th) DHam at .568 175 PAs (14th) Wong at .525 154 PAs (15th) Yoshida at .605
  8. Imagine placing a parlay on Story leading the team in HRs and RBIs, this year? Can you say, "Buy me a mansion!?" Now, add SBs (28-23 over Duran and NO CS!) The only bummer part of his 2025 portfolio is the .306 OBP. His D is not what it used to be, but it's still a plus, to me.
  9. I also think the Sox will count on Mayer to have a FT role, next year: 3B, if Bregman bolts. 2B, if Bregman stays. SS, if they think it's time to move Story to 2B or 3B. I hope we have someone better as his back-up. We also can't count on Story being Cal Jr., either. My guess is their Plan A is Bregman at 3B, Story at SS, Mayer at 2B and Casas (Lowe?) at 1B. Romy offers the depth at 1B & 2B and extended depth on the left side defense, but we need to add a depth piece there, I think Romy's right side depth means we trade DHam and or Grissom ro create a roster slot.
  10. We started this year with 11-12 SP'ers on the 40, and hardly any worked from the pen- due to injuries and the choice not to use them from the MLB pen. (We also tried to alleviate the problem by trading one for prospects: Priester.) I hope they don't view Rafaela as a 2B option. It's one thing having a GG type CF'er hit .675-.725, but it's another having a so-so defensive 2B (at best) hit .690. I think it is a near lock we trade an OF'er for a pitcher, 2Bman or 1Bman (3B, if Bregman bolts.) We are not going to fill 3-4 slots (well enough) via free agency. JH will not spend that much, after all these extensions are kicking in, next season. LF: Duran/Anthony, Garcia (Yoshida/Refsnyder?) CF: Rafaela/Duran/Anthony (Garcia) RF: Anthony/Abreu (Garcia/Refsnyder?) If you think Garcia is legit, we have 5 OF'ers, not counting Yoshida in LF or Refsnyder at COF. Since we seem to hate signing the best SP'ers on the market for more than 2 years, I think the big trade is for a pitcher: Joe Ryan, Pablo Lopez (Healthy?) Luis Castillo, Mitch Keller or _____. We spend the money on Bregman or another big bat at ... 3B/1B: Suarez(not good on D) Fallback is Mayer 1B: Alonso (Fallbacks: Bellinger, Hoskins, Naylor or just go with Casas/Lowe) 2B: Torres (not a big bat) or Arraez (declining but can play 1B, too.) SS: Bichette (move Story to 3B or 2B?) DH: Schwarber, Ozuna I do not see us getting serious with Cease, Gallen, King, Flaherty, R Suarez, Sale. Valdez or Bassitt might be the only guys, because age might keep the length of the deal shorter than others, but I doubt we go there, either. (How about Zach Eflin, Jordan Montgomery or just bring Gio back?) Who is the SP'er coming back from injury, we might sign to a 2 year deal?
  11. That was a horrible game. Too many unforced errors. Way too many.
  12. Actually, run differential should be the closest indicator of wins vs losses, and once again, the Yanks show why they are ahead of us, but we should be ahead of TOR and DET. +131 NYY +102 BOS +97 TEX +93 DET +77 TOR +50 TBR +40 SEA +21 HOU
  13. All but Valantine won a ring. (Roenike doesn't count, right?)
  14. What a difference 3 games can make. 83-65 NYY 81-68 BOS -2.5 80-68 SEA & HOU (ALW & WC) 79-70 TEX -1.5 (-2.0 from BOS)
  15. Perales pitched an inning today! (0H, 1BB, 0K) Holobetz pitched 6 (3H, 1ER, 1BB, 7K) He has a 2.39 ERA. POR lost 2-1. Arias had 2 hits (.702.)
  16. I fully expect us to not add a 1Bman. I'm not even sure we bring Lowe back. We may run with just Casas, Campbell & Romy. I think we bring Bregman back or make a deal for someone like Marte. If we trade for Marte, we may sign a SP'er. If we sign Bregman, I think we trade for Joe Ryan. Not someone like Joe Ryan, but Joe himself. I think they will view the return of Anthony, Mayer and all those SP'ers will be enough- along with subbing Ryan for Buehler.
  17. Narvaez has hit .854 since August 12th. I think losing Anthony was the last straw. Abreu just drove home the dagger. When you look at the team to start the season, it looked like our top 4 batters were going to be Devers, Bregman, Abreu and Duran. Casas was maybe 5th or 6th. Anthony, Campbell and Mayer offered big hopes, if given a shot. We lost Devers for all but 2 months, Bregman for over a month, and Abreu for about a month. We lost Casas for all but a month, and when Anthony showed us he was for real and a top 1-2 batter on the team, we lost him, too. This coupled with so many SP'ers lost seems to be to much to overcome. I still think we can make the playoffs, and that is a testament to the depth and no give up attitude, but it will be hard to overcome losing Devers, Anthony. Mayer, Casas, Abreu, Houck, Crawford, Dobbins, Sandoval and others for all or most of the season. Yes, other teams had big injuries and or many of them. I thought we had better depth than most teams, but it may not be enough.
  18. The last time we lost 3 in a row (less than a week ago) we won 3 in a row, afterwards (all on the road.) We lost 3 in a row in mid August, then won 3 in a row and 7 of 8. We lost 3 in a row in early AUG, then won 3 of 4. We lost 4 of 5 in mid July, then won 10 of 13. We lost 6 in a row near the end of June, then won 13 of 15. We lost 3 of 4 in early June, then won 8 of 9. The last time we had a losing streak and did not follow it up with something good was late May. We lost 5 in a row, then 4 of 7. In April we lost 3 in a row and then won 3 in a row. We lost 4 in a row after our opening day win, then won 5 in a row, then lost 3 in a row, followed by winning 6 of 9. Maybe this trend ends with this losing streak, but I'm not sure why some seem to have given up on any chance of a turn around. Turn arounds has been our strength, this year.
  19. We needed Bello to step it up. The 10 hits was a nice sign for the offense, but two solo homers didn't help like they could have with men on. Kinda like a broken record. Now, it's up to Crochet to stop the bleeding. Glad it's him, tomorrow.
  20. Romy has earned the FT role. He is hitting RHPs pretty well, and better than many LHBs on the team. We really need Abreu back, and ASAP. We also need better from these guys: Lowe: .991 in first 14 games w Sox/.258 last 6 gms. Rafaela: .899 in previous 55 games/.487 last 35 gms/.403 last 12 gms (But hey, he has 3 BB and 6 Ks in his last 15 PAs! Are we glad he's made "adjustments?") DHam: .778 in previous 6 gms/.369 last 10 gms Duran: .949 in previous 9 gms/.550 last 7 gms Bregman: .858 after return from injury to 16 games ago /.452 last 15 gms Last 14 Days: 1.045 Narvaez (.833 last 7 days) 1.010 Ref (platoon) 1.500 last 7 days .988 Romy (near FT) 1.167 last 7 .967 Eaton (1.049 lasy 7) .945 Story (.925 last 7) .748 Wong .742 Duran Sogard .769 last 7 days
  21. Well, Devers never took questionable "days off" from work, twice in his career. He kept playing and producing through all the drama. He played while injured several times in his career, which brought down his career numbers. That being said, Marte does not have the salary Devers has, and he can play defense better than Devers can even dream of playing. We might get him for Harrison, Hicks (partial salary offset) J Bello plus Campbell and Clarke.
  22. Why do you assume an .830 batter over 840 PAs in his career was going to stay at .580, all year? He has a s***** month, as did Story over almost 2 months. All the times you cite how someone has been doing over a short and recent sample size, only to be surprised they did not continue as before should help you realize players have ups and downs. Casas was coming back from an injury and played just 29 games, this year. Maybe the injury was career altering, but I still think the guy is an .800 hitter, and we could certainly use one. We have 1 .800 batter with 400+ PAs. We have 3 more between 300 and 399 PAs. We have 2 between 180 and 290 PAs. Our 1B OPS by PAs: .647 in 2010 PAs Toro .843 in 165 PAs Romy (mostly as a platoon) .624 in 55 PAs Lowe .563 in 37 PAs Sogard The loss of Casas was very significant, unless you convince yourself he had morphed into a .580-.640 batter.
  23. xFIP Leaders on the Farm (80+ IP) 2.53 Tolle 2.80 Anderson 2.96 Early 3.23 Holobetz 3.34 E Rivera 3.45 Mullins 3.52 Rogers 3.55 Sansone 3.59 Sprague 3.61 Aita 3.97 Sandlin 4.13 Stock 4.16 Uberstine ______________ 40-79 IP 2.33 McShane 2.53 Wu-Yelland 3.01 M Medina 3.15 Fajardo 3.15 C Adams 3.16 Travieso 3.34 Brand 3.37 Ruiz
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