moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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HRam batted 4th and 5th all year. How is that "playing himself into a back-up role last season?" I'm hopeful the surgery helps. Not having to play 1B vs RHPs should help him stay healthier, but that vesting option would have had a better chance of not happening had we made HRam play 1B FT- sink or swim. If we trade HRam to save $5-7M and sign JD, it makes sense. Otherwise, I don't get the reasoning.
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1) I never meant to imply that we have a power issue on this team. Of course, we would hit more HRs, if we had more powerful players. 2) My point was that Fenway is no longer an HR park. The numbers show we hit more away HRs even when we had big and powerful hitters from 2003-2008. 3) I know you didn't say this, but I have never said I do not like DD. I give his overall job a plus rating, so far. I agree with you on that, and I know you are a big fan. 4) Clearly, our team looked over-rated last year by stats, but we still won the same as 2016. I'm hoping many batters come back to their 2016 numbers or better.
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Then, you can trade Garner and free up more cash.
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Yes, that made a significant difference, but even before that, it was not a great HR park.
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How about Torres, Frazier, Ellsbury & cash for McCutcheon & Cole
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While I do agree the hype on Frazier was likely overblown, I think Cole is much better than some think he is. Not wanting to give up Cole for just Frazier does not mean Frazier does not have high trade value.... just not high enough.
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It wasn't an HR park even with Papi and Manny. Our pitchers also let up more HRs on the road. Offense and pitching both show HRs are hit more away than at Fenway. Weak and strong teams alike.
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We hit way more in 2003 & 2004.
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How about our pitchers and the HR ball Home and Away? 2012-2017 HRs allowed: Home: 508 (17th best) Away: 541 (22nd best) 2003-2011: Home: 661 (9th best) Away: 769 (16th best) Fenway is clearly not an HR park.
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Stanton's HRs are high fly ball types, for the most part. Plus, those away HRs are nice, too.
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Actually, look at the Theo years: 2003-2011 HRs Home: 858 (9th in MLB) Away: 958 (1st in MLB) How about just the "bash years?" 2003-2008 Home: 555 (10th in MLB) Away: 635 (1st) FYI: the Ben & DD show 2012-2017 Home: 475 (23rd) Away: 528 (10th)
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What baffled me the most was that once I heard we signed HRam, I thought, "okay, we found our 3Bman." Then, shortly afterwards I heard of the Pablo signing and thought, "How awful and confusing." I never boought into the LF conversion thing, but the "half his games in Fenway" mantra was heard often.
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Not from me, but I did hear a lot of talk about how great Pablo was in the clutch and how Papi taking him under his wing could bring us something special. However, that was on that "other" website full of dummies and pretenders.
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Yes! And several HRs are turned into doubles and at times, singles. The occasional lofting flyball that finds the screen is not common enough to outweigh the height of the wall turning HRs into 2Bs. The Pesky Poll does not outweigh the deep RF and R-CF. The tall wall in left-center field takes away HRs as well- both line drive and high fly balls.
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I think it was more like... "We can spend this amount of money to improve our team..." (Not many FA signings worked out well that year. Certainly Scherzer would have been better. Who else was there? Nelson Cruz with all his "baggage"? They decided to upgrade the offense and wait to upgrade the pitching the following year, when so many starters were going to be available, including the guy we signed- Price. I hated the Pablo signing from the first minute. I was okay with the HRam signing at the time. I did think both signings would boost the offense more than it did. I did hope that maybe Papi's leadership skills would have an affect on Pablito. What a disaster that winter was!
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Fenway is not the HR park it used to be. It's a common misconception. The team hit 95 away this year and just 73 at home. The players you listed hit 50% more HRs on the road (30 to 20). Yearly Team HRs '17 90H-73A '16 102-104 '15 80-81 '14 49-74 '13 83-95 Change over '12 88H-77A '11 91H-112A '10 98-113 Change over '09 114H-98A '08 79H-94A '07 79-87 '06 83-109 '05 92-107 '04 111-111 '03 111-127 1986: 55 Home & 89 Away 1978: 94H & 78A 1975: 74H & 60A
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They have us both with 91 wins and a 105 run differential with the Yanks having a slightly better offense and us having a slightly better pitching staff/defense. Astros and Guardians ahead of us, so basically, we're tied for 3rd best in the AL. That's before we make any major signing or addition.
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Agree. He may not even get a $124M/5 offer, if he opts out.
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Selling tickets plays into the choice-making. It would be one thing to find out Ben was insisting on signing Scherzer instead of HRam & Pablo. It's another to find out he didn't want to spend big on any FA that winter, but he was told, he had to.
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Does that outweigh tens of millions of dollars? To me, that's the "deciding factor".
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By cherry-picking the best dates to make Moreland look better, he had an OPS of... .877 on June 13 (61 game sample size) .853 on June 27th (after 71 games) He was at .799 after 81 games. His lowest point was .726 on July 29th. What worries me about the toe thing is this, after he got better, he got back up to .793 on August 30th, but then fell back down to .751 before settling at .769 for the season. I was hoping for more than even .848 from our 1Bman next year, but maybe I'm in the minority. Expecting better than .800 from Moreland is, to me, wishful thinking. Sure, he can do it, but what are the odds?
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Certainly, there is hope he can put together a full season of how he was doing before the toe injury. Certainly, Moreland is a bargain when compared to Hosmer and even Santana, Alonso and likely Morrison. If we still end up signing JD Martinez, I'm more than fine with the signing, especially, if we don't trade JBJ, so JD can play LF. I still would have preferred to have JD at DH and start the season with HRam (with Swihart or Travis as the back-up) and see if the old HRam can return. If not, finding a decent 1Bman anytime during the season is one of the easiest things to do.
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We needed more than a guy who makes great connections just 22-24 times a year. The 1B position is THE POWER POSITION. We needed to add power. We had an opening at THE power position. We chose status quo. 2017 ISO (32 1Bmen with 450+ PAs) 4. Lucas Duda .279 6. Logan Morrison .270 11. Jose Abreu .248 13. Yondeer Alonso .235 17. Mark Reynolds .219 21. Mitch Moreland .197 22. Carlos Santana .196 27. Hosmer .179 (If you look at just the bottom 3, we got a steal, but clearly better power hitters were out there.) 2014-2017 ISO (32 with 1500+ PAs) 4. Duda .242 9. Abreu .224 17. Santana .199 18. Morrison .196 21. Reynolds .191 22. HRam .189 23. Moreland .187 29 Hosmer .160 30. Alonso .153
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Well, if you count the 2014 deadline, I'd say the ERod trade was a plus. Doubront for Marco Hernandez and Ranaudo for Robbie Ross were okay. Every GM has a bad stretch of signings and trades. Ben's strength was clearly in building up the farm. Only the Uehara deal was a standout in other areas. I think Theo is the best MLB GM of alltime.Look at the signings and trades starting after the Nomar trade in 2004 all the way to his last day. That's a super long period of "meh". in that area only, plus the farm was not top 10 when he left either. (Note: I'm not trying to disparage the greatest of all time, but I think judging Ben so harshly on 3 signings that may or may not have been his ideas is going too far. Yes, all 3 were horrible, but that was not all he did for the team.
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I seriously doubt Price opts out, unless he has a Cy Young type year, and even then the odds are still probably less than 50% with the elbow issue scaring away GMs.
