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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. Maybe because there's less time working with them? Seriously though, our pen has over performed for just about 2 years in a row from what they look like on paper. I'd argue Leon & Vaz have gotten the best possible out of most RP'ers, too.
  2. I doubt that was Leon's strategy.
  3. Our pen could get some big boosts from SP'ers being moved to the pen for the playoffs. I'm hopeful ERod and Wright can get sharp before October. That would allow us to move 2-3 starters to the pen.
  4. I was saying that last winter (see my sign Moose rants), but I was okay with giving him time to try and prove he can improve at 3B. I haven't seen improvement, so far. This winter might be a good time to shop for a 3Bman and move Devers to 1B, assuming he begins to hit well again.
  5. Me, too. His throwing accuracy seems to be worse, or at best, the same. His range seems good and probably even a plus. He still has a long way to go, and it is worrisome that he has to learn in a super pressure packed season like this one. That being said, I still think he's a better option than Holt or Nunez. Neither of them can field 3B very well either.
  6. I totally agree with #1, but think JD probably helped them improve even more than they would have without him. I'm not big on the "protection" argument, but I do think hot hitting is often contagious or rubs off on other players.
  7. Almost exactly like my list. My #4 was a batter who hits lefty, and 1B makes the most sense to find that guy. Moreland has played hurt two years in a row now, and we need to start planning on that happening next year, too. I'm thinking a one year solution might be best in hopes that Dalbec, Chavis or Ockimey prove they belong (maybe).
  8. Just because the margin or error may be 17% does not mean anyone with 17% of another is the same. If WAR has a player listed as 0.4 and another at 0.5, my guess is the second one is having a better season (or career) than the first one in a pretty significant majority of the time. The 17% margin you speak of works better when you compare a 6.1 player to a 6.3 player, since both fall within the 17% range, but a 0.4 and 0.5 player are not within 17% of each other, even though they are closer to each other in terms of raw number differential. The 0.4 player is 20% worse than the 0.5 player.
  9. To me, that's really where WAR is most serviceable. I don't watch more than a handful of games a year that the Sox are not one of the teams playing. That means I never watch some teams play. I only watch some teams for 3 games and others for 6. It's hard to know anything about other players except through stats, and WAR gives one number that tries to capture just about all aspects of what gives a player value: hitting, power, defense and base running. It saves me from having to look at ech player's BA, OBP, SLG, UZR/150, DRS, Running indexes and more and then compare 12 stats to dozens of other players to try and figure out if the guy I never see play is average, above average or worse than others. It's not perfect, but it turns a complicated task into an easier one, for me, even though I don't take WAR as the gospel.
  10. Well put. I will add that had we not signed JD, I'm pretty sure DD would have signed someone else. many of the other choices have been duds, but had he signed someone else that is doing well, maybe the loss of JD might not have been as bad as some think it might have been. I'm sure glad we signed him, and I loved the signing at the time. I do believe he has helped others do better this year than had he not been here. I'm not sure by how much, but I am pretty certain he has helped.
  11. So, how would you rank our off season priorities?
  12. If you threw your best pitch everytime there was two strikes, the batter would know what's coming and gain the advantage. Mixing it up is needed to keep batters off balance and hopefully, guessing wrongly.
  13. No stats came close to capturing everything, so yes, all stats were and still are bad, in the sense that none are very close to being perfect. WAR is an attempt to do better than what we had before. It's not perfect. It's not close to perfect, but in my opinion, it's closer to perfect than it is to the next closest single stat- for what that is worth.
  14. Exactly. Probably just about everyone (except Vaz) would have been doing better without JD, but he surely has helped some (maybe most) do better than if he wasn't here.
  15. GG quality RF'ers who play Fenway like they were born there are very hard to find. Why mess with a great thing? To me, it's harder to find a top RF'er than 2Bman.
  16. There's more of the season to go, but if you had to list our highest priority this coming winter, what positions would they be? Free Agents to be: Kimbrel Kelly Eovaldi Pearce Kinsler Pomeranz The list above indicated the pen is priority number one, particularly a closer. I'd probably go something like this: 1. Closer 2. Set-up man 3. 2B 4. Bat vs LHP 5. Starter depth 6. 3B defense 7. Catcher offense 8. OF depth
  17. Ockimey K/AB: 33% 2014 Rookie 39% 2015 A (short) 32% 2016 A 32% 2017 A+/AA 36% 2018 AA/AAA He's going in the wrong direction this year.
  18. Ks would be okay, if he could keep up the .350+ OBP, but it usually doesn't work out that way with these high K prospects. Here's a position by position look at how long are starters are under team control and the in-house prospects that could possibly become an in-house solution to the possible departures. After... 2018 2B- Kinsler --- (Pedey/Holt/Nunez/Hernandez/Quiroz) 1B/DH- Pearce --- (Chavis/Dalbec/Ockimey/Travis) 2019 DH- JD Martinez (opt out) --- (Chavis/Dalbec/Ockimey/Travis) SS- Bogaerts --- (Holt/Chatham) 1B- Moreland --- (Chavis/Dalbec/Ockimey/Travis/Casas) Utility- Holt & Utility- Nunez --- (Hernandez, Quiroz/Chatham) 2020 RF- Betts ---(Decker/Duran/Brannen) CF- JBJ --- (Decker/Duran/Brannen) C- Leon --- (Swihart) 2021 2B- Pedroia (may retire before this) ---Utility- Nunez C- Vazquez (option for 2022) --- (Swihart)
  19. Holt actually hits LHPs better than RHPs. I'd have put Bogey up 2nd, despite him not doing all that great recently. (Watch Holt bust out, now!) GO SOX!!!!
  20. Yes. Perhaps Marco Hernandez or Quiroz can surprise us and keep us from having to use precious resources to acquire a quality 2Bman from outside the system.
  21. I might be a little over excited about Kinsler, but his defense alone makes him an upgrade over anything we have right now.
  22. Sounds about right, assuming no emergency situations develop before then.
  23. Agreed, but with Pedey, Nunez and Holt all under control next year and maybe Marco Hernandez finally getting healthy, I could see DD spending our limited funds elsewhere. We also have Quiroz, Lin and maybe Kinsler is invited back.
  24. I hope we keep him this winter, too.
  25. Agreed. I always thought last year was a fluke, with so many players dipping from 2016. I expected a bounce back from everyone but Vaz. I do think JD has helped some of our players do better than otherwise, but I think they'd have improved on their own.
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