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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. It's not just about high leverage PAs against, and I mentioned high leverage is Kimbrel's favor. It's not like Porcello's 671 non high leverage PAs against are meaningless. Some of Kimbrel's high leverage PAs were a result of Porcello getting us to Kimbrel for the save. 542 more tot al PAs against has to be woth a hell of a lot more than 6 more high leverage PAs from Kimbrel. (Note: I actually thought Kimbrel would have a bigger lead than 6 PAs.)
  2. The Astros did have plenty of of key players out hurt, but I'm not sure all of them have returned to last year's form. The addition of Kinsler made a big difference to our IF defense, and Nunez seems to be doing better on D at 3B. Eovaldi was a big pick-up and adding Brasier to the ML roster has been huge. Pearce has slowed a little, but he was a great get, especially in light of Moreland's slump. Getting Sale and Wright back should also help us look better than we did a month or so ago.
  3. I'm not. I never use any stat or metric as the be-all-end-all, and I don['t think anyone else does, except for maybe harmony.
  4. Agreed, but also look at these numbers: PAs against 801 Porcello 699 Price 595 Sale 534 ERod 420 Johnson 361 Velazquez 331 Pomeranz 278 Kelly 255 Barnes 252 Hembree 239 Kimbrel Yes, I do think the PAs Kimbrel pitched to were mostly high leverage and "more important" than many of the PAs other pitchers faced, but not to the point where Kimbrel's 239 PAs against is worth the $20M Porcello gets for going 801. I get that one could argue Porcello is overpaid, but Kimbrel will end up with less than a third of the PAs against as a starter who goes 33 starts and 5+ IP each start on average.
  5. True, but my points still stands. The Pythagorean differential between Cora and Tito is a whopping 12 games! (Yet, if you go to the game threads, I bet more than half the posters would gladly take Tito back and replace the bumbling Cora).
  6. It should and does, but it's not everything either. Poyner has just 35 PAs against in the whole second half. Cuevas has 68, and most of them came in one game.
  7. The Guardians are apparently supposed to be 94-63 but are 88-69.
  8. Yes, which the Sox have done by 6 games, but Cleveland is 6 under theirs.
  9. Would you consider starting Eovaldi game 3 in NY, so he could be used in relief in game 5, if needed? (Would he be better in relief than Porcello?)
  10. My 14 everyday players... Locks (12): Betts, JD, Bogey, Beni, JBJ, Devers, Nunez, Kinsler, Holt, Moreland, Pearce, Leon Near Locks (1): Vaz Plus 1 (My order): 1. Swihart 2. Lin or go with 12 pitchers (below line have no chance) 3. Phillips 4. Travis My 11 pitchers would be ... Starters: Sale Price Porcello Eovaldi Long Relief/Middle men: ERod Wright Set-Up: Brasier Barnes Workman Closer: Kimbrel Plus 1: (My order) 1. Poyner 2. Velazquez 3. Johnson 4. Hembree 5. Kelly (above line still have a shot) 6. Scott 7. Cuevas 8. Thornburg 9. Pom
  11. They certainly have some great numbers in certain areas. They have all 10 of their top IP pitchers with an ERA under 3.95. One could argue starter depth is not as important in a 5 game series, but I agree, their pitching looks better, on paper. I'm not so sure the Sox staff is far away from the Astros as many might think it is. ERA- 1. HOU 77 2. BOS 83 3. CLE 85 4. NYY 87 5. LAD, TBR, AZ 88 You didn't mention defense: UZR/150 1. Cubs 7.5 2. BOS 7.1 3. CLE 6.6 7. OAK 4.0 10. NYY 2.9 19. COL -1.5 Offense: OPS 1. BOS .787 2. NYY .775 4. CLE .764 5. OAK .764 6. HOU .760 (The worst OPS of any AL playoff team.) Runs 1. BOS 833 2. NYY 802 3. CLE 783 4. OAK 782 5. HOU 781 (The least runs scored of any AL playoff team.) Maybe the Astros have the best at some areas, they also seem to be the worst at others. We are more balanced.
  12. Well said. Keeping the killer B's should be top priority.
  13. Nice job, oldtimer. Nice job.
  14. If Tito was managing the Sox right now, he'd have been roasted alive for our Pythagorean record differential.
  15. Yes, and they are the best Sox team in decades.
  16. I hope Cora leaves Kelly off the roster. I'm not sure he will.
  17. We have better 1B offense and defense. We have better Catcher defense, when the whole picture is considered. Our 2B offense is about even, and Kinsler has solidified our 2B defense.
  18. I think it is wrong to abandon what got us to the best record ever out of fear over a weak spot or two in our lineup. Other teams have more weak links in their line-up. Weakest OPS by position by AL playoff teams: .542 BOS C .660 BOS 2B .698 BOS 3B (We have no other position below .785.) .677 HOU C .701 HOU SS .708 HOU CF .711 HOU LF .693 NYY C .716 NYY LF .732 NYY 1B .736 NYY 2B .650 CLE CF .666 CLE 2B .672 CLE C .722 CLE 1B .725 CLE RF .611 OAK C .698 OAK SS .711 OAK CF .754 OAK LF Note: No AL playoff team has a catcher OPS above .693. We aren't losing a ton of ground to other AL playoff teams at catcher offense.
  19. Good point. Also, with 5 days off before the first PO game, I'm not sure what anybody did over the last week or two matters that much. And, I don't even value 2 week sample sizes much at all anyways.
  20. Many voters still value RBIs. It's not even close on that stat.
  21. That tastes really good with guacamole.
  22. He's been light years ahead of everyone else those years. JD & Ramirez have some great numbers this year, and Trout missed some time. The voters don't just look at WAR.
  23. Nice game. Eovaldi & ERod looking real good. Betts warming it up. Bogey & Beni with 2 hits each.
  24. Pretty convincing.
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