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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. I'll take 1.80 with the Cy Young Award he deserves. He's caught more great IP than any SP'er in MLB history.
  2. I assume you mean Velazquez not Vazquez, and Wright has to be in our top 4 RP'ers and not Velazquez. While I agree our pen is not weak compared to the rest of the league, and I'll take Kimbrel against any other closer in MLB, our next 3 are clearly inferior to other playoffs teams. ERA/WHIP BOS 2.70/1.24 Wright 3.34/1.20 Barnes 1.74/0.80 Brasier (31 IP) NYY 2.93/0.98 Robertson 2.69/1.04 Betances 2.64/1.06 Green plus 3.27/1.14 Britton 3.02/1.01 Holder HOU 2.12/0.91 McHugh 2.86/0.86 J Smith 3.13/1.21 Peacock plus 2.00/1.11 Sipp 3.64/1.10 Harris (+Giles & Devenski) CLE 0.90/0.63 O Perez 3.38/1.29 Miller 2.13/1.07 B Hand (+Otero, McAllister, Ramirez& Olsen)
  3. ...but also replaceable with the 3 other outfielders we have. There's no need to buy high here. You're assuming JD does not opt out. He has 2 chances to do so.
  4. I don't think JBJ takes $8.5M x 4. He'll get more than $8.5 in next year's arb and probably more for 2020.
  5. So my question is, why are you so confident that this year is different and that Sale and Price and Porcello are going to be lights out in the first three games this year? We can't know for sure, but we really don't have much hope without our starters giving us better than recent playoff years. We can try to mitigate the risk by stocking our pen with long men and keeping Hembree and Kelly off the ALDS roster, but nothing is guaranteed. Nobody's plan is fool proof.
  6. I said start Wright 3 times, which would keep him from relieving. We could use Wright for 2 IP in game 1, 3 & 5 or maybe 3-4 IP in 2 games (game 1 or 2 and game 4 or 5). This would save us from having to use our iffy set-up guys too often.
  7. I agree. I'd tke Poyner over Kelly, as well. I'm also thinking we may try to bypass most of our weak set-up men by having ERod or Eovaldi give us 2-3 IP twice in 5 games and Wright give us 2-4 IP twice. We could also carry Johnson and/or Velazquez to do the same, if needed. Since i really think carrying 11 pitchers for the first series makes the most sense, having multiple guys that can long innings makes the most sense, especially if we hit extra innings at some point. Sale Price Porcello Eovaldi ERod Wright Johnson and/or Velazquez Workman, Poyner, Hembree or Velazquez Barnes Braiser Kimbrel I know it looks scary carrying just 3 eighth to ninth inning RP'ers, but guys like Hembree, Kelly and Pom scare me too much to trust them over one of our long men.
  8. Will you change your mind, if we keep scoring 7+ runs to end the season?
  9. It also shows just how how great our bench has been, pretty much all year. Except for Beeks, our 6-9 SP'er have been extremely successful, in terms of pitching well enough for our team to win. Holt & Nunez have done well replacing Pedey (and Devers). When Betts and others went on the DL, we barely missed a beat. Moreland started the season on the bench. Pearce and Kinsler were both great pick-ups, despite what Buttrey is doing. Even Phillips won a game for us. Now, Lin & Travis are showing life. This team is tight... top to bottom.
  10. I don't even have Barnes listed. My chart was for optimal results. Of course, nothing ever works as planned, and that is where Barnes could eat an inning here or there, of we could use ERod (or Eovaldi if ERod starts game 4) for 2-3 innings. Something like this... Game 1: Sale 6, Wright 2-3, Kimbrel 0-1 Game 2: Price 6, ERod 2-3 (Brasier/Barnes 1), Kimbrel 1 Day Off Game 3: Porcello 6, Barnes 1, Brasier 1, Kimbrel 1 Game 4: Eovaldi 5, Wright 3-4, Kimbrel 0-1 Game Off Game 5: Sale 6, ERod 2-3, Barnes/Brasier 1, Kimbrel 1 This covers more bad contingencies. On longer IP by our starters in the ALDS, I look at it this way, Cora has pulled our starters early during the regular season, because he wanted to keep them fresh and healthy. Once you reach the playoffs, the "long strategy" pretty much goes out the window. Plus, we will have 5 days off before our first playoff game. Everybody will be on extended rest mode by game 1 or 2 and even game 3 and 4 for our SP'ers. I'm hopeful we can get 7 IP much more than the 6 out of 19 rate you cited.
  11. Once again, I'll say it: it sure sucks how the rest of the league has learned how to pitch to the Sox. This time, there's no excuse for bad managers and RP'ers. We beat Beiber, who has been a very capable pitcher all year. This team can hit and always could. All teams slump at times, and the thing is, we still won, even when we slumped. I'm hopeful we will hit well in the playoffs, but who knows?
  12. Nice to see Barnes back and looking, more or less, okay.
  13. Further evidence that managers and GM don't put as much weight on the most recent tiny sample sizes many here seem to value so highly.
  14. I like any idea that uses Wright more, but I would never try the Rays model at this point in the season or in the playoffs. I'd try to use him in middle relief to lessen the amount of set-up men we need to use. Bridge us to Kimbrel and cut out the (other) middle men. Game 1: Sale 6, Wright 2-3, Kimbrel 0-1 Game 2: Price 7, Brasier 1, Kimbrel 1 Day Off Game 3: Porcello 7, Brasier 1, Kimbrel 1 Game 4: Eovaldi 5, Wright 3-4, Kimbrel 0-1 Game Off Game 5: Sale 7, Brasier 1, Kimbrel 1
  15. Well, our pitchers never had to face our hitters, so maybe their WAR would be worse, if they did. I like our top 3-4 starters as much as anyone else's. I like our line-up more than anyone else's. I like our defense more than any other AL playoff team's. We are second in SBs. I like our chances more than anyone else's to win it all, but those chances are still well below 50%.
  16. Here's a look at the AL Playoff SP'ers (fWAR used): (Ranked among only 5 playoff team pitchers. In theory, 5 teams x 5 SP'er makes the sample size 25 pitchers) BOS 1. Sale 6.2 12. Price 2.9 15. Porcello 2.6 17. ERod 2.2 22. Eovaldi 1.6 HOU 2. Verlander 6.0 4. G Cole 5.7 9. Keuchel 3.5 11. Morton 2.9 16.. McCullers 2.3 (to the pen) CLE 3. Bauer 6.0 (Injured) 6. Kluber 4.9 7. Carrasco 4.9 8. Clevinger 4.3 14. Bieber 2.6 NYY 5. Severino 5.5 10. Happ 3.0 13. Tanaka 2.7 18. Lynn 2.5 19. Sabathia 2.1 23. Gray 1.6 OAK 20. Cahil 1.9 21. Manaea 1.8(injured) 24. Anderson 1.0 25. Montas 0.9 26. Jackson 0.8
  17. I wasn't think of pee. I guess just young guys (and Trump) do that.
  18. I don't want to trade him: I hope we extend him, but yes, after 2019 might be the best time to trade him, especially if we know we won't keep him.
  19. I wouldn't be surprised, if he has further prolonged slumps, but I'm hopeful he will stay more consistently between. 700 and .850. I do think his extremely poor start to 2018 will keep his arb cost down a bit.
  20. He was one of the few top everyday Sox prospects to not pan out.
  21. Then, you woke up (all wet).
  22. I hope so. I think some long rest will help.
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