moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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So, we are about $5M away from the $40M penatly tax line. We need at least one more solid RP'er and maybe some cash for summer acquisitions. Looks like we are going over the max line in 2019. No biggie.
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Johnson yes, he could probably put up somewhere between a 4.2 and 4.7 ERA over 170+ innings right now, and that's good enough to be on a lot of teams' rotations. Yes, he "could" put up numbers like these, and if he did, yes, he would be good enough to make some teams' rotations, but you have to remember, those teams have pitchers similar to Johnson (and Velazquez) who they feel "could" give them a 4.70 ERA over 170 IP. Johnson has the potential to do even better than 4.20, but so do many SP'ers who won't put up 4.70 or better next year. BTW, I like Wright as our 6th starter, until he proves otherwise.
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We will likely experience some injuries. Hopefully, none will be major or to key players, but we do have an opportunity to get more out of these players who were not with us all last year, either due to injury, trade or being in the minors: Pedroia (played 3 games) Devers (played 121 games) Pearce (played just 50 games with the Sox) Vazquez (played 80 games) Moreland (played 124 games) Betts, JD, Beni, JBJ and Bogey all played less than 150 games Eovaldi (Only with us for 2 months and 11 starts) Sale (Only started 5 games after July 28th) ERod (missed significant time- had just 23 starts) Braiser (didn't join us until after 3 months of the season went by) Wright (only started 4 games) Poyner (just 22 IP) Thornburg (just 24 IP) Walden, Scott, Workman and others missed some time. There's a lot of reasons we could be better next year, assuming we replace Kimbrel & Kelly in kind. Here's what we stand to lose: PA- Player - OPS 195 HRam .708 143 Kinsler .604 27 Phillips .520 IP- Player -ERA 74 Pomeranz 6.08 66 Joe Kelly 4.39 62 Kimbrel 2.74 14 CSmith 3.77
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LOL! Thanks for being an eagle eye.
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Here's an updated look at our 2019 budget in Tax dollars and arb estimates: 31M Price 22M JD 20.6 Porcello 19.5 M Betts 17.0 Eovaldi 15.0 Sale 13.8 Pedey 11.3 Bogey 8.9 JBJ 6.5 Moreland 6.3 Pearce 5.0 Nunez 4.5 Vaz 4.3 ERod 3.5 Holt 3.3 Barnes 3.0 Leon 3.0 Wright 1.8 Thornburg 1.3 Hembree 1.0 Workman 1.0 Swihart $203.6 Sub Total +$18.5 Pablo +$4.4M Others on 40 man roster +$14.5M Player benefits $241M Total That's $35M over the limit. Cots has us at $240M.
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So sad.
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You weren't against the contract day one, were you? I did not like the deal, but I thought it was necessary and sided on the side of being for it. I thought Price was the best choice due to being the most likely to be very good for a longer time than other choices that year or the previous year.
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I fixed the tense, TY.
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I hope so!
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To all the posters who bashed Price or the Price signing, I have two questions: Do you think it was worth it to sign him? Are you happy with the rest of his deal or did you hope he had opted out this winter?
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I'm thinking Ottavino or Familia. I could see us going Kelly & Cody Allen.
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I don't think the decline after 32 is all that steep. Anyways, half the years are uo to 32,
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I'm sure they thought long and hard about Eovaldi's contractual effect on 2020, 2021 and 2022. I'm not being critical. I trust they know what they are doing, but I also think there is a re-set plan somewhere in the next 3 years. (They could end up trading Eovaldi at the point we re-set, if they so choose.)
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One year deals are easy, when the reset is obviously not going to be next year. The sweating starts after 2019 and 2020 and 2021.
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I'm still not sure we went over the $40M mark this year. It seems strange to go over by less than a million.
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I wonder what Wright, Johsnon & Velazquez's values are in trade. Add Swihart and maybe Chavis, Ockimey or even Hembree and see what kind of RP'er(s) we can get. I'm not advocating trading them just for the sake of it, I'd want a decent return.
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Well, then they might have been able to keep both, if they did not sign Eovaldi.
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Yes, but when I here someone say we got Eovaldi to cover for losing Porcello, I think maybe getting Eovaldi means we chose him over Porcello and not to cover for him, in case we lose him. Losing Porcello will likely be because of Eovaldi. I'm fine with getting Eovaldi. I'm fine with us maybe being a little worse down the line, because we have to let Porcello (or Sale) go.
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I have said re-setting after 2019 might make more sense, especially the way so many big contracts all end after next season, but it also won't take a whole lot to keep a strong enough team together for one more year... maybe no Sale, Moreland and Pearce, and we go with Wright, Johnson, Chavis and Dalbec.
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I totally agree, but the talk here is about how we may take up some slack, if we don't replace Kimbrel & Kelly in kind. Instead of trading for a better hitting catcher, we could just hope Vaz does 100-150 points better, Pearce's full year vs less this year and maybe something from Pedey or an uptick from Nunez.
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I do think Vaz could hit like 2017 again, but more likely he might hit .683, which is 150 points higher than our catcher OPS this year! Hell, .633 is a 100 point upgrade!
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I'm thrilled. I think some people seem to think I fret about our future every minute of the day. I don't. I love how DD has run the team. I love where we are for the next 2 years. We've had 3 good years and a ring with 2 more great chances for another ring. That's a tremendously long window DD built, with some help from Ben's farm, I might add. I'm perfectly okay with a year or two rebuild starting 3 years from now. I'm not down at all. Merry Christmas & a Happy TWO Years!
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He being here may mean someone else isn't.
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Other metrics show JBJ is still very strong on defense: UZR/150 0.2 in 2015 8.1 in 2016 3.5 in 2017 8.8 in 2018 DRS shows another story 8 in 2015 11 in 2016 10 in 2017 0 in 2018 (hard to imagine for a GG winner) Inside Edge Career vs 2018 Remote 16%/33% in 2018 Unlikely 41%/29% Even 68%/75% Likely 92%/91% Routine 99.7%/100%
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They could also go for depth by signing two from Happ, A Sanchez or Morton plus one or two from Britton, Ottavino or Familia, it might work out better. Trade Gray for a useful piece.
