moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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I doubt we'd have kept Kimbrel, even if we had $20M more "cap space."
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The Yanks and Astros will likely make a major move or two at the deadline, and Sox fans will panic and call DD a do-nothing goof ball GM. We should not be sucked into a reactionary deal. Just make a move or two for a solid pen arm(s) and call it a day.
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The Andrew Benintendi Performance Thread
moonslav59 replied to YastrzemskI's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Trading any pre-arb or first arb year players makes little sense, unless we obtain a team controlled, low cost player in return. To me, the most likely regular to be traded now or next winter is JBJ. He can be replaced with a low cost, defensive FA. Keep ERod. Keep Devers, Beni, Barnes & Vaz. -
Every team has areas of weakness. Some have more than one area. Yes, the trend seems to show that pens are more and more important, but almost every WS winner creates a new mold that fans next think is essential to winning. We won last year with many feeling our pen was weak beyond Kimbrel, yet we won it all with Kimbrel pitching poorly for much of the playoffs.' Sure, I'd love to have a much better pen, but I think a modest improvement is about all we can expect, and it just might be enough.
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Agreed. We do have one ring as a WC team, and our rotation still has the ability to round into a top 3 force. Anytime you have a top 3 rotation that is 3 or 4 deep, you increase your odds of winning a ring. Add to that a top offense with decent defense and base running, and we may have a good shot as a WC entry. I'd like to see us trade for the best RP'er we can get for 2-3 low level prospects and maybe make a deal for a second decent RP'er for A-level prospects. If someone wants Shawaryn, Velazquez or Johnson, I may offer them with a single A prospect, but I would not trade a top 10 prospect for pen help, especially if it is just a rental arm.
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I don't see going all in for Diaz as being a good move. He won't make us a top favorite to win a ring or even increase the odds enough to be worth trading away even more of our future. I also think there is a good deal out there that does not involve Dalbec, Casas, Mata, DHern, Duran, Chatham or a regular.
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We need a RP'er much more than a SP'er. We have limited prospects to trade and little budget space. I don't get all the talk of trading for a SP'er at this point in the season. If it's about 2020 and beyond, maybe, but I still see Eovaldi returning to the rotation next year.
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We need to keep as many near ML prospects as possible, especially ones that can play P, 1B and 2B in 2020 and OF in 2021.
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Now that Chavis is no longer considered a prospect, soxprospects.com has these rankings (+/- from last rankings): 1. Casas +2 2. Dalbec +2 3. Duran +11 4. Mata +6 5. DHern -3 6. Chatham +2 7. Groome -1 8. Jimenez +8 9. Houck -4 10. Flores -3 11. Lugo NR 12. Cannon NR 13. Song NR 14. Howlett -3 15. Decker -3 16. Feltman -9 17. D Diaz -3 18. Northcut -1 19. Shawaryn -4 20. Ward +18
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I agree. We will trade a couple no names, like the Cashner deal, for a decent RP'er and call it a day.
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I don't think the sample size of Chavis is big enough. Marco's is fraction of MC's. Chavis is at .702 since May 6th. That's 281 out of his 344 PAs this season. Chavis & Marco still have a lot to prove. Look, I've said all along I'm for not signing any right side IF'ers this winter. Let's save some money and go with Chavis, Marco, Dalbec, Chatham and Lin. Maybe bring back Holt, if he does not cost too much. If we end up competing next year and need to upgrade, we can deal with that at the 2020 deadline. My point is that we should not count on either of them as sure bet ML'ers, let alone pluses this early in their career. Chavis's offense would be a plus at 2B, but he has to improve to be a plus at 2B. Marco has to prove he can stay healthy AND hit well enough. He's doing well at AAA, now, so there is hope, but he is far from proven.
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He should have a chance to prove he deserves a shot at winning the 2B job next year, and has all next year to produce. His last arb year is 2022, so he has 2.3 years left. He needs to stay healthy. He needs to show he can play steady D. He needs to over.750, unless he can play plus D.
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I was Marco's biggest supporter for 3 plus years, but I am not sold on his being counted on for anything more than a utility role. He has to prove 2 major things, to me: 1) Durability 2) Performance level over a valid sample size.
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You are right, because he will never play 2B. Dalbec did win Defensive Player of the Year, so he can't be all that bad.
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Exactly. As of right now, he has the 1B/2B job (2019 & 2020), and it needs to be taken away by someone better or he has to prove he doesn't deserve it. I'll give him the benefit of the doubt, but a 69 game more recent sample size vs his first 14 game sample size should be very worrisome to any Sox or Chavis fan. The guy has power. The guy has had some huge hits. The guy has had some mammoth HRs. There are a few high K hitters that can stick around. Most walk a lot, too, which is something Chavis has never really done. High K, high power and decent OBP is usually the formula for his type surviving. You rarely see his type improve on the K rate by all that much. Here is his history: 2019 .331 OBP (which is decent, but it is .302 over his last 68 games) 33.1% K rate 4.7% HR rate (which is 30 HRs per 650 PAs) AAA .329 OBP (82 PAs) 25.6 K rate 7.3% HR AA .337 OBP (413 PAs) 22.0 K 4.8% HR
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Yes. Sale will not be traded and should not be traded. Sale will not be moved to the pen and should not be. We will be patient as he re-invents himself into a different type of ace. I'm hopeful he will be in top form by October.
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I think sarcasm. I agree with your Marco assessment in your previous post.
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Devers never had the K rate Chavis has always had. I'm not sure Sox management sees Chavis as our 2Bman for 2020. I think he may play there some, but he and Dalbec will be our 1Bmen in 2020 with Marco, Chatham and Lin fighting over 2B. Don't get me wrong, I'm happy with what Chavis has done, but he is still a huge question mark, and I get the sense some are thinking he is a slam dunk legit ML'er. In today's game, .240 with 25-30 HR players are a dime a dozen. I'm hopeful he gets better, but his last 69 games point to a more somber future.
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Marco has not proven jack. I would not trade Chavis, since we need all our low cost, young players that are ML ready. I'd only make Andrew Cushner type deals for pen help.
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We can out bid anyone, because nobody will overpay by as much as we don't have.
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Agreed. Our 6th hitters have an .857 OPS, this year, which is higher than our 1 and 5 slots. Our 7-9 hitters are better than recent seasons: .700 in 2019 .660 in 2018 .698 in 2017
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Team OPS since June 13: .904 BOS .874 NYY .846 HOU .846 CLE .813 MIN .806 LAD XBHs 181 BOS 156 NYY 153 SFG 151 CLE 149 LAD
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My bet would be that Chavis ends up more like Middlebrooks than Devers. I realize the gap is huge, but with his high K rate all the way through the system and his 69 game sample size vs the 14 to start the season, I am very concerned about his value going forward. I realize I could be wrong. I realize the value of .245 hitters who crank 25+ HRs a season is something many disagree on, but the Rays basically cut a guy who hit .253 with 30 HRs, last year (CJ Cron). Chavis 162 game average (671 PAs): .260 31 107 Chavis minus the first 14 games of 2019: .243 10 42 Projected at 671 PAs: .243 23 96 (100 Ks in 263 ABs or 38%) That high K rate is something very few good to great hitters ever overcome.
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...and if pitchers start throwing only breaking balls to JD, he will adjust and then murder them.
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Are you concerned that Chavis's numbers are largely driven by just his first 15 games? First 15 games: .333 6 13 (.460 OBP/1.186 OPS) Last 68 games (281 PAs): .246 10 42 (.302 OBP/.702 OPS) I'd trade Chavis in a heartbeat, if we got a better player under team control for several year.
