1) With better health from Sale, ERod and a full season from Eovaldi, our rotation should pitch more innings than last year.
2) While small sample sizes are not great indicators of future performance, it does not mean they are worthless or can't hint at what is possible.
3) Hembree's ERA and BB/9 spiked last year. Maybe he goes back to who he was before or even gets better.
4) You never mentioned Barnes, who has seen his numbers improve for 3 straight years.
5) Thornburg was pretty damn good before the injury. Players have come back from injuries.
I think, if you look at each of our RP'ers in isolation, maybe it looks pretty bad. I get that, but many have significant chances of doing well or decent enough to not drag down the team. We may only need 4-5 pitchers from the long list to do well enough to carry us to the deadline.
I remember, last March, myself and others saying our pen was our weakest area, and yet they carried us, at times, and ended up around top 10 or 12 in MLB, when all was said aqnd done.
It's not blind homerism to see a full year from Eovaldi, Pearce, Brasier and maybe Pedey could easily make up for losing Kimbrel.