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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    ...and a .471 OPS (1.59 ERA) against after August 5th. It was .499 (1.64 ERA) before 8/5/18.
  2. moonslav59
    He must be bummed out by his 8.2 playoff IP'd. 1.35 WHIP & 5.2 BB/9 The 1.04 ERA apparently doesn't count. His last 8 IP of the regular season don't count either: 1.13 ERA .254 OPS against Last 22.2 IP of 2018 Regular Season 1.59 ERA .471 OPS against
  3. moonslav59
    I don't expect they'd get half of this, but that's what they should start with. The vast majority of the money goes just a few players. Doubling min wage while keeping the luxury tax would even the money more, which most players would like. Shortening years of team control is fine, but owners would want a lot to give that up.
  4. moonslav59
    What road map? Word was we were trying to trade for Beltran, so we wouldn't have to play Swihart. He's had plenty of chances while healthy and only did real well back in 2014 while in AA. Maybe Leon goes, but I hope not. We'll see how much the staff ERA suffers, if Swihart gets significant time behind the plate.
  5. moonslav59
    One question or study that might show me more about the state of MLB would be to show home much the lowest salary teams are increasing or decreasing their salary budgets. Here are some team's year ending 40 man payrolls over the last 3 years: 2016>2017>2018 in $millions Red= Franchise Record Salary Budget CWS: 132>101>83 (30th) TBR: 81>100> 96 (29th) OAK: 101>90>96 (28th) PIT: 110>109>103 (27th) MIA: 124>155>108 (26th) CIN: 101>108>112 (25th) PHI: 89>100>95 (24th) Franchise Record-178 in 2014 MIL: 72>79>121 (23rd) ASD: 107>99>130 (22nd) SDP: 107>99>130 (21st) KCR: 177>185>132 (20th) DET: 212>207>135 (19th) MN: 122> 124> 144 (18th)
  6. moonslav59
    It's hard for any fan, even one who watches every game played in the minors to determine when a prospect is ML ready or not. Even hindsight judgement may be flawed. That being said, which of these prospects are currently Major League Ready or may be by August or September? Here's my opinion: ML Ready now 1 Chavis 11 Shawaryn 15 Lakins (if he's good enough) 22 Lin 23 Travis 27 Poyner 28 Brewer 29 JTaylor 56 Shepherd ** M Walden ** G Hernandez Maybe ML Ready by August/September 4. D Hernandez 5. Dalbec 9. Chatham 10. Feltman 24 DReyes
  7. moonslav59
    True, because if you get called up that quickly, you have already shown your stuff is ML ready. Some do not do well, but you are right. It is rare. I trust DD & company to know when the right time is.
  8. moonslav59
    Yes, it's very rare when someone jumps that quickly. We may not even see him in September.
  9. moonslav59
    I'd go... vs RHPs 1 Beni 2 Betts 3 Bogey 4 JD 5 Devers 6 Moreland 7 Pedey (maybe flip with Moreland, if he proves he's back) 8 JBJ 9 Vaz-Leon vs LHPs 1 Bogey 2 Betts 3 Pearce 4 JD 5 Beni 6 Pedey 7 Devers 8 Vaz-Leon 9 JBJ
  10. moonslav59
    Option 1 would not help the players much, if that was all they got. It's more important for the players to ask for these things... 1. double the minimum wage 2. player control is for 5 years 3. abs years begin after year 2 4. expand roster to 27 players (29 in September with non more than 15 pitchers) 5. expand 40 man roster to 44 6. create a min total salary threshold for teams with penalties for not reaching it at double the amount. 7. keep luxury tax
  11. moonslav59
    7th...maybe 6th.
  12. moonslav59
    Here's some interesting numbers on Lin: vs RHPs .797 career in MLB (115 PAs) (.401 vs LHPs in 24 PAs) AAA .805 vs RHPs (209) in 2018
  13. moonslav59
    There certainly is a good chance Swihart can and will outhit Leon and/or Vaz, but there is very little evidence to support that idea, except the career OPS based on 597 PAs by Swihart. There's a good chance Vaz out hits them all and a lesser but still significant chance Leon can hit like he did a few years back. Career numbers: .678 Swihart .632 Vaz .626 Leon Last 2 years: .650 Vaz .615 Swihart .579 Leon Last 3 years: .664 Leon .641 Swihart .635 Vaz Best year in last 4 seasons: .845 Leon in 2016 (283 PAs) .735 Vaz in 2017 (345 PAs) .712 Swihart 2015 (309 PAs) AAA .720 Leon (498) .712 Vaz (457) .615 Swihart AA .843 Swihart (387) .731 Vaz (484) .614 Leon (510) Minors .734 Vaz (2208) .726 Swihart (1719) .654 Leon (2319)
  14. moonslav59
    If you want to assume Henry will continue to spend and spend, that's up to you. I'm not suggesting we will go "poor". By going just under the luxury line for one year, we would still be a top 4-5 spending team. Then, as I suggested might happen, we might go back to spending significantly over the line. That's not "poor" either. It seems obvious to me, Henry cares about what we spend, but maybe I'm missing something. It wouldn't be the first time I read a trend the wrong way.
  15. moonslav59
    Wright will pitch for someone this year and beyond.
  16. moonslav59
    I agree. Say what you want about his character, or lack there of, but he was far from ineffective, when he pitched.
  17. moonslav59
    Personally, I do. I hope DD does, as well.
  18. moonslav59
    LOL. If you think they are equal, at this point, you need to revisit the history.
  19. moonslav59
    I don't see all that much evidence he can hit, except for 387 PA sample size in AA way back in 2014. That's a long time to rest on short AA laurels. I'm fine with giving him another chance, but once again, unless someone gets hurt, he won't get 200 PAs this year... again.
  20. moonslav59
    He's got 99 career playoff PAs. I'm not worried about that one bit. Plus, that HR he robbed was worth 100 points on his OPS by itself.
  21. moonslav59
    He went from AA to AAA in 2014, and then to MLB in 2015. Being called up to AAA at age 22 is not really a big rush. It was a short stint, for sure. The call up to MLB at age 23 was a big rush, but his numbers before the "big rush" were not all that great in their totality (up to April 2015). His AAA numbers look bad, but in all fairness, they have been scattered. (He had about 200 during ages 22-23.)
  22. moonslav59
    I can see a reset and then an immediate bounce back to being the top spender. The amount of taxes saved would be enormous-- enough to overpay for someone like Betts & Sale. Assuming Betts makes $34M and Sale makes $32M, the difference between 50% and 0% tax is $33M year 1. Then 20% vs 50%= $20M saved year 2. Then 30% vs 50% in year 3 is $13M saved. In total, the savings could be $66M. Believe me, Henry cares about $66M, and if it just means a 1 year reset and "cliff" or down year, my guess is he chooses to reset.
  23. moonslav59
    I think about it. I think there is no player I have ever seen as good as Betts, except maybe Clemente. He's got two more years to go, but I'd sign him to $335M/10 based on what I know now.
  24. moonslav59
    That's always been his dilemma. Since he's out of options, he never has gotten a chance to play a lot. Even his highly touted 2015 season, when he was called up before he was ready, he only hit .712. There just isn't much in his record that screams out he can hit. Just being a good athlete who can catch doesn't promise anything. .490 RK (44 PAs) .702 A (378) .794 A+ (422) .843 AA (387) .615 AAA (485) .678 MLB (597 scattered after 309 in 2015) Only his AA numbers look promising. Add to this the impression that he's not all that good behind the plate, despite his arm and throw-release time, and I just can't get myself too excited about his future. I've not given up. He turns 27 soon, so there is still a chance he improves. V-Tek wasn't really all that great until after 27, especially on defense.
  25. moonslav59
    I could see the Yanks offering him $350M/10, but him taking $335M/10 from the Sox, of something like that.
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