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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Nobody was ever going to pay $420M, covid or not. It was his first counter. We'll never know,now, but the speculation will go on for years.
  2. moonslav59
    I always thought a Florida team should move to Buffalo (or NC) and then the other should play half their home games at each city.
  3. moonslav59
    Under these new economic times, I'm not sure that $310M offer was still on the table, or would have been this winter, had Betts not signed. I agree, that offer was "serious" and maybe just a starting point, but times were different, then. My guess is, he'd have gotten more from the Dodgers had Covid not hit.
  4. moonslav59
    It shouldn't have been a cliff, but man, it felt like one.
  5. moonslav59
    I agree, but part of me thinks that our pitching is so bad, the season is hopeless, and in a way, our line-up is wasted. Sure, it will make watching the Sox way more fun, but in terms of our future, one can argue it's wasted by keeping players that will not be here in 1-2 years.
  6. moonslav59
    It's hard to know, but one thing is for sure. He wasn't set on going to free agency, as he stated he was. Now, maybe this whole covid uncertainty changed his mind, but you are probably right. LA might be more to his liking. I hate to see him go. I'm on record as saying I'd have offered more than he just signed for, and who knows if the Dodgers would have countered or if Betts would have still signed with LA, but to me, he's worth $31M x 12. In terms of revenue generating value, he's probably worth over $50M a year for several years. If his skill level drops more quickly than I expect, he'll likely still be a draw to fans with that smile and style. If his value ends up being something like this, he's worth it: By year $50, 50, 45, 45 ($190 the first 4 yrs) $40, 35, 30, 25 ($130 the middle 4 yrs) $20, 20, 10, 10 ($60M the last 4 yrs)
  7. moonslav59
    I'm sure he's better than 5 guys on our 40 man roster, and I never heard of him. LOL.
  8. moonslav59
    I admit, I've been out of touch with baseball, and I'm not really all that pumped up about 60 games with no fans and a likely under .500 team. I've actually been following basketball news more. (I'm a Bucks fan, so there is hope of a ring somewhere else, for me.)
  9. moonslav59
    I've been in the basement with Joe, no actually in my garage staining some outdoor wooden furniture we just bought for much of the afternoon. I missed the news of the signing, until now. WOW! I'm glad he's in the NL, but I sure wish he played his prime in Boston.
  10. moonslav59
    I'd have paid more than what the Dodgers paid, but who knows if he'd have taken $385M/13. Yes, the back end might hurt, but to me, he may be worth $50M a year for a few years, and if we front loaded the deal, trading him later would be made easier. $30M a year on the luxury tax is a lot for 13 years, but to me, he's the one guy worth it. I was clinging to slim hopes he may come back, but it was never meant to be. I hope we spend that $30M wisely x 13.
  11. moonslav59
    Exactly... Right after the cliff of 2019-2020 (hopefully not 2021).
  12. moonslav59
    That's assuming we even have a basket.
  13. moonslav59
    Front load the contract, so trading him, if he declines earlier than expected will not be that hard to do. Plus, in this economy, I'm not sure he's going to get the numbers we were throwing around, last winter. I'm not for paying him some absurd amount, but the guy is likely worth $50M a year (in 2019 dollars) for 2-4 years. Let's say he's worth $200M for the first 5 years, do you think paying him $120M for the last 7 years is going to cripple us? (This assuming $320M/12.)
  14. moonslav59
    Of course, any big contract restricts future spending, but Betts is the real deal. I hate seeing the team's best all around player ever, not finish up here in Boston.
  15. moonslav59
    I'm on record for wanting to pay Betts large and long. I still am. If someone goes absurdly high, then fine, but I'd go all out. He's that good!
  16. moonslav59
    Yes, I hesitated to include Epstein's regime, but by the end of it, we'd lost the magic of finding and developing pitchers. Plus, Pedro and Schilling were from out of the system. Point well taken, though.
  17. moonslav59
    It's been super frustrating. 4+ GMs and not one of them could get the right people in the right places.
  18. moonslav59
    We have one of the weakest bottom of the 40 man roster I've seen in recent Sox history. I wouldn't even blink if we had to DFA anyone of these players, but if we can trade one or two for something useful or for a promising player not needing to be on the 40 man roster, then go for it. (Not in any particular order) Phillips Valdez Matt Hall Jeffrey Springs Austin Brice Chris Mazza Kyle Hart Yoan Aybar Mike Shawaryn Josh Osich (Or return Jose Arauz) Trading Lin, Hembree, Brasier or Brewer would not bother me, either. Selling "high" on Walden & Chavis might work, too.
  19. moonslav59
    Any data to support "consistency in the line-up?" I get the whole "the line-up makes little difference" position, but if putting your best hitter second is shown to help a little, I can't see why figuring their splits into the equation wouldn't matter, also, especially with the massive split differentials between Devers and JD. I've never seen any studies done on players in a consistent batting slot vs being moved around. Most players have been moved around their whole baseball lives- just less and less as they advance to the majors. Even once in the majors, all but the very best players get jacked all over the place, and even many of the best of the best move between 2-3 slots over a season. Prove me wrong.
  20. moonslav59
    Well, some guys and some organizations have a much better track record with young pitchers. You'd think it has something to do with the people in the organization, but maybe it's all just a crap shoot, and we keep getting crap shot at us.
  21. moonslav59
    We lose 60-70% of the games is my guess.
  22. moonslav59
    I disagree. If batting your best player 2nd matters, and you seem to imply it does, then why wouldn't these numbers matter, even if just a little? Career OPS vs RHP .871 Devers (.996 in 2019) .861 JD M (.793 in 2019) Career OPS vs LHP .995 JD M (1.381 in 2019) .750 Devers (.744 in 2019) The 2019 differentials are huge! The differential vs LHPs is monumental. Numbers when a righty or lefty starts: Career: Devers: .871/.737 JDM: .873/.948 2019: Devers: 1.004/.728 JD M .853/1.116 I understand those who feel players get "comfortable" batting in just one slot, but I've never agreed with that.
  23. moonslav59
    Why hasn't the organization gone out and outbid for the best pitching scouting and developing people in the business? It can't cost more than a low or mid level FA.
  24. moonslav59
    We have a solid base to work with going forward. Spend wisely, draft well, sign well. See you in '21.
  25. moonslav59
    We won't have to tank to suck.
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