moonslav59

It shouldn't matter how many are aclled up. They only get ML pay for the amount of days they are on the ML squad. It shouldn't matter if 2 guys get ML pay or 20 guys sharing the same 2 slots.

I've run the numbers myself and find cots is usually spot on. Spotrac has been wrong before.

At the time of the Nomar trade he was toast. Betts is not. To me, losing enough of JBJ's & Price's salary to get us under with some room to sign 1-3 low level FAs makes more sense. In July, we decide on trading Betts and others.

I trust cots: $18.6M over.

I'm chilled. It's you who needs a chill pill. Bloom is hard at work trying to find the best of all the possible crappy deals out there that will get us under the Lux Line. He's not lazy. He's been given an impossible task: cut over $20M from the budget without losing viewership, attendance and competitiveness. This is no task to rush into.

My guess is one of these two things happen: 1) Betts & Price to LAD for Pollock and _______ (Maybe with Kelly, if they want to lessen the financial hit.) 2) Price for Myers with maybe other pieces involved.

Of course not. If we need to cut $18M, we just have to find someone to play him $54M/3, or less, if we also trade JBJ.

Is this trade possible? Eovaldi, Chavis & Duran for Brandon Belt, Yaz, Dubon & Aramis Garcia With Yaz on the team, we can look to trade JBJ (or Betts). We fill the 1B and 2B holes, too. We cut some lux tax salary.

The "easiest deal" to get us under might be to trade Price and not demand prospects in return.

Shedding $8M will not put us under the line. Minimum, we need to trade JBJ this winter and someone with a big contract at the deadline.

Mildly competitive with an outside chance of putting it all together. Myabe we just need to take the best deal we can get to get us under the limit and look to 2021.

The answer is obvious: $19.9M vs $500K in taxes for a team likely to not make the playoffs. That's $59.8M total ($39.9+ !9.9). I still think we reset.

First, I have to say, I hate Ohio State, but they got ripped off by that call. The guy clearly caught the ball, took 3 steps and fumbled. They called a fumble on the play, but the play was overruled. Horrible call. Second, this Clemson organization deserves plenty of Kudos. LSU looks unstoppable. My Domers had a nice bowl win. Memphis gave Penn State a scare but blew it near the end with a bad interception. Kudos to LA Tech for upsetting and shutting out Miami. Stillsome nice games to go: ALA-MICH ORE-WIS BAY-GA MN-AUB LSU-CLEM

It makes too much sense, to me, to deal Price for a salary dump from another team that counts way less on the luxury tax than actual dollars owed. We discussed most of these already, but here are some that might fill a current void on our roster while saving us more lux tax money than actual money: SDP Myers $68.5M/3 ($13.8M x 3 LUX) LAD Pollock $51M/3 ($12M x 3 LUX) TX Odor $34M/3 ($8.2M x 3 LUX) PHI O Herrera $20.2M/2 ($6.1M x 2 LUX) SFG Posey $47.3/2 ($18.6M x 2 LUX) Belt $34.4M/2 ($14.6M x 2 LUX) Longoria $59M/3 ($11.2M x 3 LUX) Move Devers to 1B? LAA J Upton $74M/3 ($21.2M x 3 LUX) Mets: maybe with Dominic Smith (arbs)+ Lowrie $1.5M less on LUX or Familia $1.6M less on LUX to balance the money? I don't see this working out well: SDP Hosmer $99M/6($18M x 6 LUX)

Yes, they can. 15% is not impossible.

Makes me think we must not have any firm deals lined up to dump salary.

That's the thing, it won't take great seasons from Sale, Price and Eovaldi to be a significant improvement over 2019. It will to improve or equal 2018, but it's not impossible, especially since Eovaldi was not here for all of 2018. Sale, Price & Eovaldi: 2019 312.1 IP 168 ER 4.84 ERA 304 H 104 BB 1.31 WHIP 2018: 388.0 IP (76 IP more than 2019, even with no Eovaldi for 3+ months)) 127 ER 2.95 ERA (almost 2 full runs below 2019) 310 H 96 BB 1.05 WHIP (0.26 better than 2019) Massive differences.

MLBTR Jose Peraza was almost a full win worse than replacement in 2019 (-0.9 bWAR, -0.6 fWAR), but the Red Sox signed him to a one-year, $3MM deal anyhow. The reason being the Red Sox see a speedy player who can play five positions who proved his competence against left-handed pitching even in a down year, per Alex Speier of the Boston Globe. His .269 xBA in 2019 also points to some bad luck (he finished with an actual batting average of just .239). Overlaying his spray chart over the Fenway Park map also suggests Peraza might benefit from the dimensions in Boston. All in all, the Red Sox don’t have the financial freedom this offseason to add a sure-thing superstar, and in Peraza they see a player coming off a down year capable of reaching another gear with a fresh start in Boston. Now, with a couple days left to lock in our new year’s resolutions, let’s check in elsewhere in the American League…

I get that, but there's 3 years left on his contract, and he didn't have any new injury, last year. There is reason to hope he's fine going forward. Price and Sale aggravated injuries and might be bigger question marks for 2020 than Eovaldi. (Personally, I like Sale bouncing back more than Eovaldi & Price, but that's not based on anything medical.)

True, but when looking forward, I think the hope is better for a pitcher with the types of procedures Eovaldi had recently than someone with new or continuing structural damage.

With Eovaldi, it's been more about missing time than not pitching well. One also has to factor in the rehab time coming back from injuries at the ML level. His numbers since 2013 are pretty close to average: 39-38 4.16 (3.74 FIP) 1.32 WHIP & 96 ERA+ Most of the hope attached to Eovaldi comes from just the from 2013 to 2015 and 2018: 2013-2015: 460 IP 4.09 ERA 2018 111 IP 3.81 ERA/1.13 WHIP- by far his best career number

The answer to the question, "Are we a title contender?" is not no. It is "probably not." The team needs healthy returns of 3-4 key players, and expecting that might not be likely, but it is not a super long shot. The second question is hard to objectify. Surely we haven't added any "WOW" players, yet, and on the surface it looks like losing Porcello & Moreland makes us worse (after losing Kimbrel & Kelly last winter), but along with the good players lost since our championship win less than 14 months ago, we've lost some pretty bad players. One could view their losses as "addition by subtraction," and even Porcello, Moreland, Kimbrel and Kelly were not outstanding in 2018 or 2019. (Kimbrel was for most of 2018, until he neatly blew up in November.) We also lost Pom, Holt, Pearce and others. Players no longer on the team from 2018 (Listed by most PAs and IP in 2018) PAs Player OPS 2018/2019 OPS (PA) 502 Nunez .677/.548 (177) 459 Moreland .758/.835 (335) 367 Holt .774/.771 (295) 288 Leon .511/.548 (191) 207 Swihart .613/.695 (29) 195 HRam .708/na 165 Pearce .901/.503 (99) 143 Kinsler .604/na 27 B Phillips .520/na IP Pitcher ERA 191 Porcello 4.28/ 5.52 (174) 74 Pomeranz 6.08/na 66 Kelly 4.39/na 62 Kimbrel 2.74/na 54 Wright 2.68/8.53 (6) 24 Thornburg 5.63/7.71 (19) 17 Cuevas 7.41/na Not here in 2018 or 2020: 54 Cashner 6.20 No or little role in 2018 but will in 2020: Chavis Workman Walden Taylor DHern Perez Peraza Players with a better outlook now than 2018: EDevers Rod Vaz It's not all doom and gloom, but certainly we need a bunch of this to go right for us to be strong contenders, and besides, the winter is not over, so question 2 is still open.

I think the chance Sale comes back is better than 50-50, but Price and Eovaldi are maybe under 50-50. In a sense, "likely" is saying you will flip heads 3 times in a row. That's less than 15%. Now, my projected chances of coming back could be wrong, but if all were at 60% comeback status, the odds all 3 come back is about 21%. To have better than a 50% chance all 3 comeback, you have to view each individual as having about an 80% comeback chance (.8 x.8 x.8= 51%). That doesn't figure in the chanced ERod might get hurt or have a bad year. I'm trying to stay optimistic, but these 3 starters make it hard to do so.

Not too "amusing" there, either.

No ties: 81.5.