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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    To me, this deal might set us up nicely: Betts, Price (+$6M) & Workman (Both Betts & Workman can be brought back as FAs after 2020) for Pollock (CF), Gonsolin (SP) & Cartaya (C prospect) The LUX money... To LA: $31M x 3 Price, $27M x 1 Betts & $3.5M x 1 Workman $61.5M TOTAL in 2020 $31M in 2021 $31M in 2022 To BOS: $12M x 4 years We pay $2M a year x 3 years for Price We save $47M in 2020, $17M in 2021, $17M in 2022 but pay $12M more in 2023.
  2. moonslav59
    Yates might be the deal-breaker for SD. The downside for us is the 1 year of team control Yes, if Myers does not play well, we have Dalbec. Margot may end up better than JBJ overall, and is a plus defender in CF. I would not count him as a 4th OF'er despite his sub .700 OPS the last 2 seasons. The real plus is on the budget. Myers is owed $$68.5M/3, but the LUX number is just $13.8M x 3. Yates is owed $7.1M x 1 (same on LUX) Margot is at $2.5M with 2 more arbs Sox Totals/LUX Totals: 2020: $32.5M/ $23.4M 2021: $26.5M/ $17.3M (assuming $1M arb raise for Margot) 2022: $27.5M/ $18.3M (assuming $1M raise) SD Totals: (Chavis & Walden are pre-arb- count as $1M) 2020: $33M/ $32M 2021: $33M/ $32M 2022: $33M/ $32M Sox LUX savings: 2020: $8.6M 2021: $14.7M 2022: $13.7M If we could trade JBJ, we'd reset, this year.
  3. moonslav59
    He might not waive it either.
  4. moonslav59
    He did have 9 seasons over .800 and 11 over .780, so I'd say he was better than "slightly above average" for the longevity part of his numbers to be a bit more valid. He's basically Pedey who didn't have a career ending injury.
  5. moonslav59
    I can agree with that.
  6. moonslav59
    Yes, Joy, but not great.
  7. moonslav59
    I disagree. Too many slightly better than mediocre players get too hyped up (some in HOF) juyst because their 22 seasons placed them in the top 10 in some category.
  8. moonslav59
    These trades were "accepted:" Betts & Eovaldi to STL for Fowler, Liberatore & Z Thompson Betts, Price & JBJ for Fowler, Carpenter, bader & Thompson Betts & Price +$5M for Fowler, Thompson, L Thomas, J Oviedo & M Nunez (not mine) to LAD Betts, Barnes & Eovaldi for Pollock, Ruiz, Gonsolin, Stripling & Beaty Betts, Price & $6M for Pollock, Gonsolin & Cartaya To NYM Eovaldi, JBJ & Walden for Familia, Lowrie, Marisnik & D Smith To SDP Price, Chavis & Walden for Yates, Margot & Myers Price, Chavis & JBJ for Margot, Quantrill & Myers Price & JBJ +$4M for Myers & Margot
  9. moonslav59
    Yes. The Bonds and Clemens issue is different, IMO. Making cheaters wait may not be a bad idea.
  10. moonslav59
    I'm not saying I like the tradition, but once so many players had to wait, it almost seems like it makes Jeter look better than those who did wait. I know it's dumb, but it's the way it is.
  11. moonslav59
    I guess I didn't put much thought into it. He should be a yes, agreed.
  12. moonslav59
    Agreed. Pedey needed longevity to make it, which to me, shows just why longevity is over-rated.
  13. moonslav59
    On the trade simulator, his value it 50 (77-27).
  14. moonslav59
    Because, in theory, his value is $77M - $27M salary.
  15. moonslav59
    True, but consider this: 2008 Stat 2009-2011 combined .326 BA .299 .376 OBP .377 .493 SLG .467 123 OPS+ 122 Not bad from 2012-2016 .296/.359/.425/.784 (112 OPS+) When you factor in the defense, he gave us a lot of great years. 2009-2016 2B WAR Leaders: 43.2 Cano 40.5 Zobrist 36.1 Pedey 34.8 Kinsler 29.7 Utley 22.6 Phillips 2007-2016 48.0 Can0 46.2 Pedey 45.6 Utley 42.1 Kinsler 40.9 Zobrist 2007-2016 UZR/150 9.7 Pedey 9.0 M Ellis 8.4 Utley 8.0 Phillips 4.3 Sanchez (big drop after #4) His prime was from ages 23 to 27 (2007-2011) WAR 33.3 Utley 25.9 Pedey 22.6 Kinsler 20.1 Cano
  16. moonslav59
    It's an obvious example of just how personalities matter. It's one reason I usually stay away from these conversations, especially the GG award (Palmeiro won 1B while a DH) and MVP (no Pedro on some ballots).
  17. moonslav59
    It's more about the whole "make em wait a few ballots" that has become tradition.
  18. moonslav59
    If we are out of it in July, there will be a fire sale to get us under. We could even trade players in June or early July to increase the savings. Cost saved, if traded at the halfway point (LUX tax $): 15.5 Price 13.5 Betts 12.8 Sale 11.0 JD 10.0 Bogey (NOT) 8.5 Eovaldi 5.5 JBJ Cost saved at the 2/3 point: 10.3 Price 9.0 Betts 8.5 Sale 7.3 JD 5.7 Eovaldi 3.7 JBJ According to cots, we are about $17.7M over (projected). Lots of combinations to get under.
  19. moonslav59
    If we traded Price with Mookie, we could call up Castillo, and give him a shot without paying any taxes. Isn't this his last year?
  20. moonslav59
    Trading Mookie & Price would get us under. Trading JBJ now and Mookie at the deadline would, too. Trading JBJ & Eovaldi now. (We could even play some.)
  21. moonslav59
    Yes, but replacing what Kimbrel did in 2018 is the point.
  22. moonslav59
    This season Boston returns the same basic group of talented regulars and starting pitchers that set that franchise record for wins just two years ago. This is just plain false. Yes, some additions by subtractions listed below, but look at who we replaced these guys with... Missing from the 2018 roster are (listed by most PAs or IP in 2018): PA 6. Nunez 502 8. Moreland 459 9. Holt 367 10. Leon 288 12. Swihart 207 13. HRam 195 14. Pearce 165 (very important in playoffs) 15. Kinsler 143 IP 1. Porcello 191 5. Johnson 99 (still in system- not on 40 man roster) 7. Pomeranz 74 8. Kelly 66 9. Kimbrel 62 (most high leverage) 13 Wright 54 16 Thornburg 24 8 out of the top 15 PA guys gone. 6 of the top 13 IP guys gone. This is NOT the 2018 team, and neither was the 2019 team.
  23. moonslav59
    I don't disagree, but I seem to be getting mixed messages from you on what you think the Sox should have done. I'm all for your position of signing cheap guys to add depth, but are you for resetting or going for one last hurrah? I think we both agree playing the middle ground is the worst choice. (Not that we will end up doing this all year.)
  24. moonslav59
    If anybody can pay Betts $400M, it's Henry and a small few other owners willing to take that plunge. My guess is he gets $350M/10 or 11. Certainly resetting makes it more doable, but even if someone outbids us, that money can be used (with much lower taxes) to sign multiple players to get us back to the top. 50% of $35M is $17.5M. 20% is $7M. That $10M in year one can get us a decent player or two.
  25. moonslav59
    Clemens Bonds Schill (maybe on last ballot, but I'm leaning no.) Rolen (not sure) Wagner (nope) Helton (nope) Manny (YES!) Andruw Jones (maybe) 2021 Buehrle (Not likely, but maybe last ballot) 2022 ARod (make him wait) Ortiz (YES) Teixeira (Nope) 2024 Beltre Maybe)
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