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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Papelbon by IP- career (some not with the Sox) 1.61 Extra innings (.525) 67 IP 2.26 8th inning (.564 OPS against) 52 IP 2.50 9th inning (.589) 584 IP) All, spectacular numbers. I do think some pitchers have a comfort level that greatly affects their performance when taken out of it. Other hardly ever get a chance to try the 9th inning closer role. Maybe there were way more Koji's out there than anyone knew or will ever know they had. No other inning had a sample size above 5.
  2. moonslav59
    If you had to guess, how many starts will our top 6 starters get combined? 25 ERod 25 Perez 20 Eovaldi 20 Richards 18 Houck 12 Sale That's 120. Are you thinking 100? 90? Last year, these guys started 26 games for us, and 12 were from Perez. Are we "better" or "way better" than 2020? Be honest. Even 90 starts from these guys would make us way better.
  3. moonslav59
    Better depth and better top 5-6, too. BY FAR! Yes, I get that we were the worst, so it's easy to improve, but just saying we are "better" as Jax said, does not tell the full story. Even if ERod gives us only 100 IP at 80% of his norm, Eovalid 80, Richards 70, Sale 60, Perez 140, Houck 130 and Pivetta 130, we should still be way better. I also have more faith in Andriese, Whitlock, Seabold, Mata and others than I ever had in Mazza, Weber, Godley and the scrubs that came after them.
  4. moonslav59
    If you count each pitching slot on the roster as a separate position one would expect about an even number of pitchers and non-pitchers being traded at any given time, since about half of everyon'es 26 man roster are pitchers. Does anyone have a breakdown of the percent traded for each group? (I would expect more than 50% of players traded were pitchers, but maybe not by a lot.)
  5. moonslav59
    If you go by GS'd, 12 starts was 1/5 of 60 games. Here is how you could break up our rotation for 2020 by 12 starts each: 12 Perez (the "ace" by default) 9 Eovaldi (could have been called "the ace.") + 3 Houck 7 Godley + 5 Weber 6 Mazza + 4 Brewer + 2 Pivetta 5 Brewer+ 3 Hart, 2 Kickham, 2 Triggs, 1 Brasier, 1 Brice, 1 Osich, 1 Hall, 1 Lever 2019's 34 ERod 32 Porcello 25 Sale + 6 Cahsner 22 Price + 8 Velazquez 12 Eovaldi +7 Johnson, 5 Chacin, 3 Weber, 3 Lakins and 5 from scrubs
  6. moonslav59
    CC Sabathia was a physical specimen. Starting ERod at 50-70 pitches and keeping it low for a while makes sense and would still be a vast improvement over everybody we threw out there, last year. We don't need 190 IP from ERod. 140 would be a huge boost. A little more from Eovaldi (140+). Something significant from Richards (120+). Anything from Sale (80+). More from Pivetta (120+) and Houck (100+). The same from Perez (140+). Put all of that together, or even 80% of what I listed, and this rotation is light years better than 2020 and could easily outperform the numbers put up by our 2019 rotation that started out looking pretty good on paper. 2019 GS/IP Starter ERA as SP'er 34/203 ERod 3.81 32/174 Porcello 5.52 25/147 Sale 4.40 22/107 Price 4.28 12/54 Eovaldi 6.13 6/30 Cashner 8.01 7/23 Johnson 5.09 More or less Openers: 8/22 Velazquez 6.95 5/14 Chacin 7.90 3/11 Weber 7.94 2/7 Smith 9.82 3/6 Lakins 0.00 1/6 DHern/Poyner/Taylor 4.50
  7. moonslav59
    It's not just "better" than last year's "expansion rotation:" it is vastly better. While it's easy to improve on "rock bottom," I can't see any MLB team that improved their rotation by more projected value than the Sox. We basically replaced 3 of 5 starters with... ERod Sale Richards Pivetta Houck Seabold, Mata and others that look better than all the scrubs from 2020.
  8. moonslav59
    My guess is that sons of MLB players will also be given a longer look and attention by coaches and get access to better training early on in life right through their teens and early 20's- that coupled with a higher chance for better genes gives them a rather significant edge over non-player children.
  9. moonslav59
    So, this might be the rotational depth chart? 1. Sale (60 day IL) 2. ERod 3. Eovaldi 4. Richards 5. Pivetta 6. Houck 7. Andriese 8. Whitlock 9. Seabold 10. Mata 11. Gossett, Hart, Kent, Reyez, German, Winckowski, Ward Possible openers: Brewer, Weber, Payamps, Gonsalves
  10. moonslav59
    True, but he started walking again long before yesterday.
  11. moonslav59
    No DH on the NL is second.
  12. moonslav59
    Maybe, they asked JBJ, if he wanted to be traded to a contender, and he said no.
  13. moonslav59
    Wonder what the best offer was.
  14. moonslav59
    They were tough on him, at times, as well. Early on, the hype was very high.
  15. moonslav59
    Maybe his mindset is influenced by the fact that we paid him $11M, last year when we didn't have to. Going from $11M/1 to $6M x 2 seems steep, but I agree, The market is what sets the price- not the player or agent. He's not going to sit out 2021, so what's the top offer, right now? If it's $6M/1 or $10M/2, I'd be on the fence. (I never expected it would come close to this, especially after seeing what Pillar got ($5M).
  16. moonslav59
    Agreed. Maybe Mathers' statements will help force that much needed change.
  17. moonslav59
    I'm surprised by this "turn."
  18. moonslav59
    Yes, but might Andriese be more of an opener than a starter, if it comes to that?
  19. moonslav59
    Next step= up offer?
  20. moonslav59
    I've never been impressed with Chavis, but I do think he needs one more look. If he fails, this year, trade or DFA him and add Munoz to the 40 man roster.
  21. moonslav59
    So, Whitlock will only be used in the pen? No chance of even being an "opener?" I agree, many are ahead of him, but will be on the 26 man roster, all year- unlike many others.
  22. moonslav59
    Interesting. You think Whitlock may get some starts?
  23. moonslav59
    Maybe 98%. Over 99.99% our non player's sons never sniff the bigs.
  24. moonslav59
    Ottavino is a FA after this year, too. Marwin, as well. I'd look at the FAs after 2022 class and maybe trade someone who does not look to be part of the longer term (no interest in extending or who looks to be declining). FAs after 2022 JD Eovaldi Richards (2022 option) Vaz (2022 option) EHern Perez (2022 option) I'm not saying "firesale," but maybe just enough to get under the tax line and set the reset clock ahead another year.
  25. moonslav59
    Chavis deserves one last look, but I agree.
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