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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Well, this end the debate. To me, the fact that he got that much, makes it easier to accept his loss.
  2. moonslav59
    .330 vs .360 seems like a big difference, but putting EHern up first does improve almost every slot afterwards. (LOL)
  3. moonslav59
    Our offense should be top 5- maybe top 3. Our SP'ers are so hard to project, since health is main concern for 4 of our top 7 (Sale, ERod, Richards and Eovaldi). One could argue 4 of our top 4. Our defense might be bottom 5. To me, the pen is always hard to project. Even the best pens,on paper, often disappoint. We had some real clowns, last year,so it's also hard to quantify how much getting better is needed to be respectable. We added Ottavino, Andriese and Sawamura. We should get a lot more IP over the 2020 pro-rated innings of DHern & Taylor. Barnes and Brasier may be solid- maybe not. Guys like Whitlock and Bazardo, and a SP'er or two who is squeezed from the rotation, as well, assuming we get 6-7 healthy, at once, should help, too. I'm hopeful the pen is near average, but I can see having a high level of concern. If we end up in the race by the deadline, we may add a pen arm or two.
  4. moonslav59
    Yes, and as strange as it seems, he's more of a power guy than an on base guys.
  5. moonslav59
    I doubt it, but I've done so many on BTV, he probably was in on one or two. I've been high on Dalbec for a while. To me, OBP is huge, yet this guy gives a big SLG% with it. I've never been big on K rates, unless they guy sucks. On the flip side, I'm not a big believer in FIP, because it values K pitchers, too much.
  6. moonslav59
    So, you've brought up the Pablito comp 3 dozen times to counter that one post hardly anyone read or agreed with? Let the rains begin.
  7. moonslav59
    Until I just half-heartedly projected ROY for Dalbec, who has been projecting greatness? I'm not sure a countering view was needed, but let the rains begin.
  8. moonslav59
    Insanely small sample sizes, but here are some of the ST'ing OPS: 2.675 Kiki 2.181 Dalbec 2.000 Yorke 2.000 Rei 1.556 Munoz 1.500 Duran 1.262 Downs 1.250 Arauz 1.125 JD 1.089 Chavis .900 Wong .875 Devers .804 Renfroe .500 Vaz (Not all players listed.)
  9. moonslav59
    While he led the league in K's 4 times, he also led the league in walks twice and had over 100 BBs 8 times in his career. (He only qualified in PAs, eleven years.) He had a .385 OBP from 2004 to 2009. If Dalbec can do anywhere near this... POW! Even at the end of his career, he managed a decent .329 OBP from 2010-2014.
  10. moonslav59
    How about... "Ball- Deck?"
  11. moonslav59
    Can't really argue, but I still have the CC dump at #3. I loved the OCab deal, but it was for just 3 months. (maybe #7) Beckett & Lowell helped bring us the 2007 ring, but we gave up a lot (Maybe #6). The Schill trade was very nice, but DLR did put up a 107 ERA+ in his first 4 years w COL. (111 year 2-4). Schill's playoff heroics will never be forgotten. (#4 or 5) Chris Freakin' Sale! What can I say? We gave up a lot, but the jury is still out on them. (#4- maybe 5, but I'd say ahead of Schill.)
  12. moonslav59
    Yes. Dunn's career OBP was .364. He was under-rated due to the high K rate. (His D did not help, but Dalbec is not bad on D.)
  13. moonslav59
    This kid is for real. Forget the K's. His OBP cancels that out, and his HRs make him a big plus. ROY, baby! (Sarcasm alert, perhaps.)
  14. moonslav59
    1. Pedro 2. VTek & Lowe 3. Dodger Dump
  15. moonslav59
    You keep bringing him up as about the worst case scenario possible. Yes, much can happen, but your mentioning Pablito so often seems to indicate you see this as Raphael's path. Or not.
  16. moonslav59
    That's what makes the trade so fascinating. I rank it as a top 3 Sox trade of all time.
  17. moonslav59
    I've said this all along.
  18. moonslav59
    Agreed. Chavis and Arroyo will get every chance to win a more permanent spot of the roster. If either fails, give Munoz a second look-see.
  19. moonslav59
    Yes. Will it be 2021? IDK
  20. moonslav59
    Plus, that trade, IMO, just happened to be one of the best trades the Sox have ever made, so there is that component to the deal.
  21. moonslav59
    His highest OPS by team was with the Sox at ages 29-30. .895 BOS .888 SDP (ages 24-28) .793 LAD (ages 31-35) .673 TEX (ages 22-23) .672 NYM (age 36) He followed the bell curve pretty closely (kinda flat at the top): 862>849>871>958>904>957>806>803>817>830>784>642>
  22. moonslav59
    I never said career 1.050. I'm talking a season or two at around 1.050 when he reaches peak prime. A hitter has hit over 1.050 forty-six times since 2000. A hitter has hit over 1.030 nearly seventy times since 2000, including JD Martinez, Ozuna, Jim Edmonds, Brian Giles and Carlos Pena. I don't think it's a stretch to think Devers has a season around 1.050 in the next 1-4 years. I'm not big on comparing Devers to Big Papi, and Papi was somewhat of a "late bloomer." He actually had his 4th best OPS year in his final season at age 40! Papi did follow, almost perfectly, a blee curve from ages 24 to 33, then saw a second bell curve from 33-38 or 39. 24-33 810> 799>839>961>983>1001>1049>1066>877>794 33-40 794>899>953>1026>959>873>913>1021
  23. moonslav59
    I realize I could be wrong. I once projected 50 HRs from AGon. Devers is a pure hitter. He's played at every level at the youngest age. He's still 1-3 years from peak prime. I'm just expecting a bell curve.
  24. moonslav59
    I added Chavis: Cordero 573 vs LHP/ Arroyo is 597 vs LHP/ Gonzalez is 724 vs LHP/ Chavis .699 vs LHP Renfroe 717 vs RHP/ Arroyo is 678 vs RHP/ Gonzalez is 732 vs RHP/ Chavis .740 vs RHPs (reverse split for Arroyo & Chavis)
  25. moonslav59
    My math skills are going downhill, fast!
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