moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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Who Should the Sox Have Play 2B in 2020?
moonslav59 replied to mvp 78's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Since we need a CF'er (or back up CF'er) and a 2Bman, I think Hernandez on a 2-3 year deal is a great fit for us. If Downs moves up quicker than expected, he still can have a key role on the team. If we fill an OF slot somehow, he can still have a key role. If he becomes the next Brock Holt, that's important, too, especially on a team that fills one roster spot with a DH only player like JD. -
Who Should the Sox Have Play 2B in 2020?
moonslav59 replied to mvp 78's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Thinking about not thinking is an interesting concept. -
Let's say we get none of the top 2-3. Maybe the next best scenario would be to get two of the best 2nd tier RP'ers. If we don't get Hand, Rosenthal or Yates, what are the best 2 left?
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I was thinking Yates, but if he's hurt, I amend my statement to top 2.
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If we only get one, it better be one of the top 2-3 on your list. If Hand signs with the Mets, I go to DEFCOM 3.
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We need to regain a foothold in the IFA market. We used to get some of our best talent, this way. It's been too long, now.
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So, does that mean Chavis or Duran is our 4th OF'er? Is Renfroe really who we want in RF- full time? Maybe, it means we trade for 1 or 2.
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Mine went from 1 to 2. There are still plenty of talented players available (FA & by trade). Maybe Bloom likes someone else more than A. Bradley.
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Jacko has him below average.
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$6M/1 This is the first significant deal I've seen where I wish Bloom had paid a little more to get him (if possible).
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His 2013 season was as good as his 2008 and 2009 seasons with the Angels. Maybe not quite ace or even really close, but I still thought of him as an ace who had been pitching hurt. I'm not saying I was sure he'd pitch like an ace, just like I wasn't sure Schilling would due to his age.
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Okay, I'll start saying Almora. Pillar will cost more than either- maybe as much as a decent RP'er would cost.
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He was labelled an ace or solid #2, until he got hurt. He still had "the ace" in him, it just didn't come out, again, until 2013 and beyond. It's not like 2013 was a career best season. He led the league in ERA in 2007 and had 5 straight seasons with an ERA+ of between 115 and 150 before joining the team. If I had called Buchholz an ace for going 12-1 1.75, you'd be right saying "after-the-fact."
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Good point, but we sure signed him to be close to an ace. Yes, we had to wait a few years to see him put up numbers like one, but the guy did have a history of pitching like an ace or solid #2. Some feel he was pitching hurt his first season with BOS, and missing a season with injury certainly takes away from "the ace" label, but to me, he was near an ace. One could say a healthy ERod is, too, and to me, we'd need both him and Sale pitching like aces to win in 2022. Eovaldi does not have long enough stretches of greatness to have any hope he becomes and ace in 2022. We aren't winning a ring, IMO, with a staff headed by Eovaldi & ERod. We need Sale, and that was my point.
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If we get Odorizzi, I'd be okay. I'd like to see us get both.
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So, we both agree on Marisnik? (See how I turned that on you?)
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I'm a firm believer that having 2 aces vastly improves your odds at winning a ring. Having only one, like us with Sale, means it is nearly impossible to win a ring with him doing well or without new additions. Of course, we need more than Sale. Had he been 100% healthy and on top of his game, last year, we'd still miss the playoffs, IMO. Every year the Sox won a ring, we had 2 aces or 1 ace and another very close to one: Pedro & Schill Schill & Beckett Lester & Lackey Sale & Price I don't see Eovaldi & ERod making that list for 2021 or 2022.
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Excellent!
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Yes, just signing Ozuna and trading Beni would leave a hole at 4th OF'er. Both would be better, and Marisnik may cost just a hair above min wage.
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Cheap, so more money for pitching. Defense, defense, defense. That's 4 reasons. There are others that fit his mold. I don't know why I always say him. Do you like Billy Hamilton better?
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Me, too. Certainly for Lindor. It's absurd to think otherwise on Lindor.
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Not at all. In fact, that's his worst area, and it is just one component of what makes a SS average, above or below. UZR/150 in not about just range. Here is a breakdown of the 3 components fangraphs uses and his ranking in each (out of 27 SSs with 2500 innings at SS since 2016). Range 25th at -12.6 (almost last) ErrR 4th at +13.8 (he makes the plays hit to him with very few unforced errors- like I said. DPR 23rd at -1.7 (not good with DPs) If "dependable" means he makes very few unforced errors, fine. He does make plays other SS make due to comparative poor range. He turns less DPs than his peers. No, he does NOT have average range.
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I'll never agree he's even average. He makes plays hit right to him. If that makes him "dependable," then good for him. His offense is so plus, I can look the other way. What upsets me the most about his D, is that early in his career, it looked like he started to improve, then he leveled off and maybe even got worse. He's had a negative B-R dWar for 5 straight seasons. He has a -0.1 UZR/150 since 2016 (the year after he looked like he was getting better). He is last in DRS since 2016 at -55. (the next guy is at -35.) I'm not sure how anyone can call that average. When you use the word average, it calls into play all the other SSs who play enough innings at SS. He's been pretty close to average in UZR/150 (17 out of 31 SSs with 2000+ innings since 2016 and 21 out of 41 SSs with 1500 innings since 2016). If that's all you go by, and the fact that he is dependable with balls hit right to him, maybe you can stretch to call him average, but I will always disagree on this one.
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Okay, 23 HRs in 493 MLB ABs. (23-24 years old)
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Certainly possible. Most players adjust, then maybe need to adjust again after a new "book is written." Arroyo is at .643 career (SSS), but he has shown he can hit for average in the minors. I'm just not one to put much stock in selected sample sizes, even if recent. I'm not saying I ignore them, and certainly the high K rate is worrisome and makes it more likely he may never "adjust" enough. I'd still start Chavis, "tomorrow," but he'd be on a short leash, and if Arroyo seems to be looking sharp at the plate, sure. Again, it's a close call, and I know there's nothing better to talk about, but this choice is not going to make much of a difference one way or the other, even if it has to be made for real by opening day.
