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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. I kinda thought the $30M/3 was low for a top closer, but yes, it looks like the best FAs are not signing at discount rates. Even the tier 2 FAs seem to be doing well, so far. What might happen when all the "spenders" have signed all they are going to sign? Will we see a big drop off in AVV and years?
  2. Even worse, the contract comp: Per year... Scherzer ($30M)+ Cruz ($14.5M)= $44.5M HRam ($22M) + Pablo ($19M)= $41MM Only $3.5M per year more! Now, the total contracts: Scherzer (7 yrs) + Cruz (4 yrs)= $268M Pablo (5 yrs) + HRam (4 yrs)= $183M Okay, there's a big difference, here, but Scherzer has stayed strong through the first 6 yrs. Pablo & HRam gave us 1.5 years of decent play,combined.
  3. Would you call him the "franchise player?"
  4. It seems like none of the higher level players saw their values adjusted.
  5. Jon Gray is a huge question mark, too. I'd rather trade for Kiermaier and Fairbanks, and my Chavis-Chatham offer, although counted as a massive overpay, was tongue and cheek. I'd give Duran or Beni & Groome.
  6. I hope they set a minimum bar and penalize or withhold money from teams that fail to spend a certain amount. I'm fine with the Lux Tax at about where it is, now.
  7. And, after the Betts trade...
  8. Good point. There may not even be a Lux tax anymore.
  9. We really don't lose much after 2021: Pedey & Barnes. Rising Arb costs might eat all those savings up.
  10. I'm thinking going forward. By your criteria, Pedey is the man.
  11. If we don't go over, the clock does not start, again, and if no deal are longer than 3 years, it can't get too bad. (many are 1 to 2 years.)
  12. BTV has Kiermaier at -9.7 and Fairbanks at +9.4. I'd give Chavis (7.5) and Chatham (1.9) straight up for the both, but if we could get TB to pay a little cash, it would be nice. That's 9.4 for -0.3.
  13. To me, it's Devers & Sale, but Bogey is close.
  14. Well... Sale missed year 1 of his extension. Price gave us a lot of innings year 1, but he had his worst career ERA+ in 2016. Eovaldi sucked his first year after signing. Lackey sucked year 1 and then missed year 2. OK: Buchholz pitched more innings in 2012 than ever, but his 4.56 ERA was not all that great for year 1. His year 2 was great (237 ERA+ is one of MLB's all time best, but it was only for 108 IP). Good: Porcello won the Cy Young, year one of his deal. Lester did well all 3 years of that deal. Beckett, too. It was the next deal that... Clement retired before his deal ended- sad case. Foulke fell off a cliff.
  15. The BTV site updated some Sox players' values: The prior values are what I recall: Duran 12.0>14.0 Jimenez 8.5>10.8 Houck 5.0>6.0 Ward 4.5>5.3 Groome 3.7>4.5 Arroyo 2.0>3.6 Pivetta 3.0>3.3 Bello 1.0>1.6 Barnes 0.0> 1.2 Wong 4.0> 3.1 Brasier 4.7> 2.9 Chatham 4.7> 1.9 Taylor 1.6>1.3
  16. I meant about the injury to HRam- not that he might have gotten hurt at 3B, too.
  17. With the economy as such, maybe Bogey might bite.
  18. Good question, especially 2 years early.
  19. right out of the gate! HRam was decent year 2. We should have traded him after that season.
  20. Ideally, we'd have Monday morning'd Scherzer, Porcello, Cruz & Headley Then the next year... Greinke and maybe Cespedes
  21. B-I-N-G-O! Plus, pushing HRam to the OF ended up getting him hurt (talk about Monday morning QB'ing!)
  22. What if you had $55M?
  23. I figured since you had Pillar. I like your choices.
  24. Was the problem the plan or the players they chose? (Try not being a Monday morning QB on this answer.) Had we signed: SP: Porcello 3B: HRam or Headley OF: Nelson Cruz or even Melky Cabrera ...we might have not felt the plan was so bad. Then, go for the ace the next year (Price or Greinke).
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