moonslav59

I've never been high on Chavis, but I hate letting guys like him stick around on the 40 man roster always wondering "Is he for real?" In our current situation, I'd like to see him get a somewhat long look, this year, so we can decide once and for all to DFA or keep him. My guess is, he will be gone after a long look, but why not give him one more extended look? Is Arroyo or Gonzalez players you just have to play everyday?

2015: 126 games (524 PAs) minors 2016: 137 games (602 PAs) minors 2017: 123 games (528) FgW, minors & majors 2018: 97 games (396) FgW, minors & majors 2019: 40 games (296) FgW, minors & majors 2020: 43 games (157) FgW & majors (60 game MLB season) Certainly not great, but not as bad as I thought after hearing all the banter.

Without any more additions, this could be our 4 player bench: Plawecki Arroyo Gonzalez Chavis Our CF options are still lacking. EHern is probably the best defensively, but Gonzalez is not great at 2B, so I'm kinda scratching my head. I still think we have one more addition to make, and Chavis starts in AAA. Best defense at 4 positions: 2B: Arroyo LF: Cordero/Renfroe CF: EHern RF: Verdugo 2nd Best? 2B: EHern LF: Cordero/Gonzalez CF: Verdugo RF: Renfroe/Gonzalez

Opening Day Roster 1. Cordero LF 2. Bogaerts SS 3. Devers 3B 4. Verdugo CF 5. JD DH 6. Renfroe RF 7. Dalbec 1B 8. Vazquez C 9. Hernandez 2B Bench: Plawecki, Arroyo, M Gonzalez, [Chavis or sign CF or 2Bman] SP1 ERod SP2 Eovaldi SP3 Richards SP4 Perez SP5 Pivetta RP1 Ottavino RP2 Barnes RP3 Brasier RP4 Hernandez RP6 Sawamura RP7 Andriese RP8 Brice/Whitlock IL: Sale AAA: Chavis, Arauz, Duran, Munoz, Downs, Gettys, Puello, Ockimey Houck, Mata, Seabold, Mazza, Weber, Gossett, Hart Taylor, Valdez, Brewer, Bazardo, Walden, Gonsalves, Springs, Feltman

$3M/1 with $1M in incentives. Seems a little high. I think I might have rather had Marisnick at half that cost or Schoop at $4.5M. That being said, here are Marwin's career innings at each position: 2252 SS 1601 OF (mostly LF- only 3 in CF) 1481 1B 1037 3B 846 2B UZR/150 by position +0.5 1B -2.5 RF -2.7 3B -4.5 2B -6.8 SS +13.2 LF +8.4 OF We still don't have a CF'er better than EHern. Is Marwin going to see the most time at 2B? BTW, Marwin's splits are nearly equal .732 v RHP (better OBP) .724 v LHP (barely better SLG)

Maybe our biggest hope for a blue chip is with our next draft.

He was likely to get more PAs than Beni for us, in 2021. You know, the "FT'er" we just traded away.

Well, a cliff involves a bit of surrender.

He certainly could be a flame out like Willie Mo, and it's not like Bloom had a spotless record with trades and signings with the Rays. I'm cutting the guy some slack. 1. We don't know the pool of players he has to choose from with those 3 PTBNLs. 2. Winckowski sure looks like a throw-in, but he's ranked right behind Whitlock- a guy many here got a little excited about. 3. It's not like anyone here was sure Beni was going to bounce back. I keep hearing the term "sell low," and I used it myself a few times, but "sell low" means he's sucked, recently. Yes, we know Beni can be good: he showed us a few years back. 4. Franchy Tuscadero has had some success in the minors, as have many flame-outs, but he seems to have the tools to put up numbers as good or better than Beni. The high K rate is very concerning, but he's got speed and raw talent. I'm holding off judgement, but I know that's a cop out, so if I had to call it right now, before we know who the 3 other players are, I think this is an okay move designed to give us some hope for the near future (3 years of Franchy vs 2 of Beni at a higher cost) and the longer term with the other 4 players.

When compared to all utility players, I'd call EHern one of the best. Beni was not slated to be a FT LF'er for us, in 2021, so it's a little deceptive to say we traded a FT'er. Nobody got too excited when we got Big Papi at age 27- not that Franchy Tuscadero will come close to what Papi became. As for Sawamuro, who knows when signing guys like him. At $2.4M/2, it's hardly worth mentioning over the Renfroe signing and Ottavino trade. This is what a cliff and rebuild looks like.

Well, #31 has a locker there, now.

...or 2Bman and move EHern to CF where he is clealrly better.

John Winckowski placed #32 on the top sox prospect list at soxprospects.com- right behind Garrett Whitlock. https://soxprospects.com/players/winckowski-josh.htm

EHern UZR/150 (last season with 100+ innings at position) 2B -6.2 (-26.9 in 2020) SS +10.4 (+0.4 in 2018) CF +8.4 (+49.3 in 2019) LF +18.0 (+24.8 in 2016) RF +11.9 (-5.8 in 2017) Total OF:+ 12.0 in 2055 innings Career DRS by position (innings) +18 2B (1263) +14 LF (603) +4 CF (1109) +3 SS (536) +3 RF (343) -1 3B (155) -2 1B (89) +21 OF (2055) +18 IF (2044)

I can understand not wanting Cordero as the FT CF'er, but I doubt we add an aging CF'er, even if he accepts 2 years. I doubt we're even talking to him, now. Another trade may be in the works, as well as announcing the Sawamuro signing. https://www.masslive.com/redsox/2021/02/boston-red-sox-hirokazu-sawamura-agree-to-two-year-24-million-contract-pending-physical-report.html

So, minus about $800K, and we saved $1.4M and whatever Beni would make in an Arb, next year minus Cordero's salary.

...and guys like Kinsler can be picked up mid season pretty easily, although Buttrey turned out better than expected. We also have Munoz & Arauz and Downs as a possible late season arrival.

I was assuming no more additions, but I actually agree with your point. I've been saying for a while, our team looks better with EHern in CF, and I'm not sure Cordero over Beni changes that. (Neither would look very good in CF.) It's what I'd prefer, but I posted what I think will happen- not what I want to happen.

I'm thinking with no more moves made, these players will see the most time at these positions (2nd most): C: Vaz (Plawecki) 1B: Dalbec (Chavis) 2B: Hernandez (Arroyo) 3B: Devers (Arroyo) SS: Bogaerts (Arroyo) LF: Renfroe (JD in NL parks-Cordero) CF: Cordero (EHern-Verdugo) RF: Verdugo (Renfroe) DH: JD (Chavis) Any disagreements?

The big plus would be moving EHern to CF and improving 4 positions defensively.

Assuming we will be straddling the line or going over, this year, yes, mostly.

Yes, overpaid while having a very good year that looks like it might have been an outlier. He's not getting younger and has already seen his defense slip.

Yes, we save $2.2M on the Lux tax, but $3.8M in actual dollars. His contract is $6.6M, so KC is paying $3.8M. The $5M is the lux tax cost, which doesn't affect KC.

I still don't see a JBJ signing, here. Too much money. Too many years.

Thanks for the long list. Some of these names might work out. The higher priced ones would need some cash included or a prospect thrown in to sweeten the deal. I'm thinking Bloom would be looking for long term solutions on the younger side.