moonslav59

I really think we pull off a trade for a somewhat costly CF'er who plays plus defense (Kieremaier, Inciarte, Cain) and use the salary dump aspect of the trade to also get a RP'er or starter or maybe a 2Bman or a farm upgrade. I'm thinking Chavis and or Chatham may be part of that deal, but maybe I'm dreaming. If we pull of a deal like this, we can use all our financial resources to add pitching.

So, it's more like 3-6% have done anything substantial.

I can't see us signing him, unless we think he's healthy. I like the idea, but his health concerns make it very risky. We already have 3 questionable SP'ers: Sale, ERod & Eovaldi. If we only have $20-25M to spend, this summer, is spending half on Kluber the best we can do? I'm not saying "no," but this idea scares me.

"Get things done" as in what? Compete for a wild card slot and maybe miss out? We likely will spend less than half of what was spent before the 2013 season. We may have more high need areas than that team had going into the previous off season. I can't see us getting highly competitive on a $15-25M spending budget. I can't see us trading away the future to get better for just now. Unless Henry approves us going maybe $19M over the tax line for 2021, I'm thinking 2nd place may be wishful thinking.

Dalbec certainly has not proven he's here to stay, but decent 1Bmen are usually easy to acquire, mid season, if needed, so we'll start the season with Dalbec (and some Chavis) at 1B, IMO. We may also roll the dice on Arroyo, Munez & Co. at 2B before looking elsewhere. I doubt Chatham makes the opening days roster, unless we add no infielders and there's an injury. I think CF is a position we have to add to, this winter. I do not think Duran will be ML ready by opening day. Duran or Chatham may become part of the puzzle at some point during the year. Basically, about 90% of our available resources should go towards pitching. Yes, both SP'ers and RP'ers. We will likely limit Houck's innings and maybe even his time on the big squad, so as to add a year of service to his tenure with the Sox. With ERod & Sale being question marks, and Eovaldi always one, we should add one durable innings eater and maybe another very good SP'er and/or 2-3 decent SP'ers that can fight for the remaining 1-2 jobs, if and when everyone gets healthy. I can see us trading for a closer and signing a decent #2 man. We may even add another 1-2 pen arms on top of those two.

Devers seems to be improving, despite the bad stretches. Pablito got worse and worse. Devers came up to the bigs a year earlier than Sandoval, too. UZR/150 first 3 years over 800 innings: Pablo (age 22-24) -5.7 -0.5 19.3 (then, all negatives, except for one year) Career -1.2 Devers -5.2 2.4 n/a in 2020 (-10.6 in 475 innings) Career -3.6 I'm hopeful Devers can be more like 2019 and even improve on it.

I mentioned something about following a similar path as 2013 on another thread, too, but we I doubt we have the spending budget of that winter. Maybe not even half.

Exactly. 90% of teams have done nothing significant or major.

I think Kluber is worth a shot, but we also need to get a durable innings-eater, too.

That is exactly the types of trades I envision and have been playing around with on the trade values site. You have to think the Rays would love to trade Kierimaier, but interdivisional trades can get problematic.

Casas may be 3 years away and is far from a sure bet. I expect Devers to stay at 3B- this is something I did not expect early in his career or after his first ML season. I also think he will likely have at least one season much better than 2019- YES, MUCH better.

Good point, and I was rather shocked to see Morton get $15M/1.

I'd give him at least another full season at 3B. If he looks sketchy, this year, on defense, he can start taking some reps at 1B, work out at 1B over next winter and maybe give 1B a try in 2022. He could always get some game in at 3B, too. He's actually looked better at 3B than I first expected, but he seems very streaky. He makes some plays very few third basemen make, but then he'll throw a ball away on an easy out.

I just listed like-skilled starters. I'd prefer the others over Tanaka, too, but he's not a bad pitcher.

+100

I'm not saying don't sign anyone until bargain basement time, but I do think the quality of players, including pitchers, leftover will be better than usual. I could see us signing a good mid ranged pitcher, like Ordozzi, Quintana, Tanaka or Paxton and maybe a decent CF'er or RP'er, then wait until near the end and swoop to sign 4-7 decent players.

I think a better quality "bargains" will be available late this winter- better than Perez & Plawecki.

That's that major reason, yes.

I wondered that about some on this list. I will say, Bauer seems more "worth it" than these guys, although the climate seems to have shifted on the value of draft picks.

They may, however, later be used in deadline trades to net us more prospects.

I hope he didn't get yours revving!

Maybe not any headliners, but maybe a couple.

My guess is there will be some decent, but maybe not great, players available near the end of the off season that will be great bargains. Watch Bloom wait and swoop.

There is a history of giving up a draft pick for a 1 year deal. The Sox lost a pick when signing Stephen Drew. Other one year qualifying offer FA singings for that year were Ervin Santana (ATL), N Cruz (BAL) & K Morales (MN). A few years later: Dexter Fowler- 1 yr with the Cubs, Ian Desmond with Texas. In 2018, Greg Holland (STL) & Lance Lynn (MN). Did the Braves lose a pick to sign Dallas Keuchel to a one year deal?

Teams that think they are one great pitcher away may think it's worth it. Others that have low picks may not value it highly. Others may feel that once they get him on their team, he'll want to stay- like Mookie did.