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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    It is a very nice thing about his signing with us, but the guy has shown he can hit better than many of the depth guys on the 40. While 2021 seems like a long time ago, Rodgers is only 29. 2021 was no tiny sample size either: 415 PAs and a .798 OPS. His .733 OPS in '22 was better than most seasons by several indfielders on our 40. Best seasons and 2 straight seasons: .917 ('19) .915 ('18-'19) Story (with BOS .741 in '25 and .740 '24-'25 in 760 PAs) .826 ('25) .786 ('24-'25 in 557 PAs) Romy .798 ('21) .761 ('21-'22 in 996 PAs) Rodgers .755 ('25) .655 ('24-'25) Monasterio .721 ('25) Durbin's rookie year .699 ('20) .677 ('20-'21) Kiner-Falefa .664 ('25) Campbell's rookie season .661 ('25) .656 ('24-'25) Sogard Career .819 Story (4460) .717 w BOS (1324) .729 Romy (796) .721 Durbin (506) .714 Rodgers (1957) GG winner .672 Monasterio (592) .664 KC (263) .660 I K-F (3370) GG winner .655 Sogard (190) .610 Eaton (268) .501 Seigler (73)
  2. moonslav59
    Sounds about right. Maybe we keep Seigler or Gapser, so we don't have to DFA someone to add Thaiss in an emergency. One can easily be DFA'd. Seigler had a nice year (300 PAs) in AAA, last year, but was under .740 at every other level. Was it a fluke? Maybe Brez wants some time to find out. Gasper is more of the known commodity.
  3. moonslav59
    Nieto is making $4M in his first arb year, and while that is more than Durbin, it's less than we paid I K-F. If by "cheaper," we mean more prospects needed to get him, that is true, but some "suspects" are worth holding onto. I'm guessing it's about what the Angels wanted in return vs the return he needed to part with to get Durbin, depth and a comp pick. Brez already parted with a lot of prospects and younger players to get Gray, Contreras & Oviedo. He might have felt he didn't want to overdue using the farm. That being said, I would have really liked seeing us get Nieto, but not knowing who they wanted makes it hard to judge this.
  4. moonslav59
    We have enough, but either they wanted too much or Brez was to stingy or just values his prospects highly (maybe not too highly.)
  5. moonslav59
    I'm not so sure Romy starts the season on the IL, but if he does, it's hard to know how our management orders the depth at each infield slot. We don't even know who the #1 3Bman and 2Bman are (Durbin or Mayer?) Kiner-Falefa might be the first infielder off the bench at SS, 3B and 2B. It's hard to know where they place returnees Sogard and Eaton among ... Monasterio- 3B, 2B, SS, 1B Seigler: 3B, 1B, C Rodgers (not on 40) GG winner at 2B
  6. moonslav59
    Great to see Sox players in uniform!
  7. moonslav59
    Durbin on the farm: PAs: 2B+3B/ HRs 433 AAA 30/12 224 AA 15/4 221 A+ 13/1 274 A- 16/7 AA+ AAA 45 & 16 in 657 PAs A+/A- : 29 & 6 in 495 PAs
  8. moonslav59
    That's the big "if" and there is also a big "if" on Story staying healthy. We don't need to play I K-F everyday to make him earn that $6M. Here were the innings at 2B-SS-3B in 2025: 2B: 472 KC, 402 DHam, 288 Romy, 165 Rafaela, 65 Sogard, 57 Mayer (Campbell will likely bs in AAA, DHam is gone, Romy is hurt & Rafaela should play FT CF as Cora pointed out.) 3B: 972 Bregman, 249 Mayer, 102 Toro, 73 Eaton, 39 Sogard, 2 Romy, 1 DHam (Breggie & Toro are gone.) SS: 1149 1371 Story, 69 DHam, 5 Sogard, 3 Mayer
  9. moonslav59
    The "small market team" that is a top 5 team in revenue.
  10. moonslav59
    We also can use Contreras, so I'm fine cutting Gasper. If we end up needing a catcher, we can add Thaiss to the 40.
  11. moonslav59
    Oviedo, Crawford or Sandoval will be the 5th starter. The other two might be in the pen. That's assuming the top 8 SP'ers are all healthy on opening day- which is unlikely. Assuming all healthy. We have to sure 4 RP'ers. 2 from Oviedo, Crawford and Sandoval Moran & Watson (AAA: Kelly & Samaniego) This keeps all options on the table, until we find out more about Moran and Watson. If we add someone like Wilson, I may start Crawford in AAA, if he's not sharp, or put Sandoval on the IL, so we can keep all options alive, for a while. Now, if Moran sucks in ST'ing, I'm fine with a DFA. I trust Cora & Brez to know if he looks promising or not.
  12. moonslav59
    Yes, so put off having to decide now. Keep Moran and one more option.
  13. moonslav59
    Agreed, but many teams probably have the same "if" scenario.
  14. moonslav59
    I was being sarcastic, but I do think $6M is a lot for a "small market team" to spend on a non starter.
  15. moonslav59
    I agree, but keeping Duran until or after ST'ing gives us one more pitching option. DFA'ing him lessons the choices.
  16. moonslav59
    I've always felt Moran might amount to something, but I've been wrong on those types of feeling enough to be able to let it go. He had that one nice season with MN back in '22. (1.78 FIP and 1.06 WHIP.) Lots of RP'ers have moments like that (40 IP) He's going to get a look in ST'ing, IMO. He won't be cut before that. IMO, Cheng is the first DFA guy. Gasper might be next, as Seigler can catch.
  17. moonslav59
    While $6M sounds like a lot, just don't call JH a high-spender.
  18. moonslav59
    With the addition of Durbin, fangraphs now has the Sox projected as 7th best in 2026 fWAR: 57.3 LAD 48.1 TOR 47.5 NYY 47.4 NYM 47.2 ATL 46.8 SEA 46.2 BOS 46.1 PHI 45.4 BAL 44.8 DET By position: 1st SP (Oviedo with the 5th most IP, then Sandoval & Crawford) 2nd LF (Anthony then Duran) 5th RP 7th RF (Abreu w some Anthony) 7th CF (Ceddanne) 12th 1B (Willson) 15th DH (Mostly Duran, then Masa, Anthony, Willson & Casas) 17th 2B (Mostly Durbin & Romy) 24th 3B (Mostly mayer but Durbin not far away) 25th SS (but don't bring up asking Cora to make a change) 26th Catcher (Narvaez at 1.9 Tied for 17th most)
  19. moonslav59
    RH'd DH and to save money. He also plays corner OF and there was talk we were seeking a RHB OF'er.
  20. moonslav59
    They are running low on white marble supplies.
  21. moonslav59
    It does depend on who they wanted, but this guys has some power and should gain more as he ages. At age 24, he was at a 650 PA HR rate of about 30. He had some serious mixed defensive metrics: Last 2 seasons: DRS +11 and +13 dWAR: 2.1 and 2.2 but OAA: -6 and -8 This was one guy I don't recall any of us mentioning in suggested trade talks.
  22. moonslav59
    Word is that DD is looking to offload Castellanos and his $20M/1 deal remaining. He's a RHB in serious decline, whereas Masa may still have a good year left in him. Castellanos last 3 years OPS+: 111>108>87. He turns 34 in a few weeks. (29 HRs>22>17) I doubt DD trades $20M/1 for $18M/2 (Masa,) but would you? If DD insiested on $9M or $18M paid in 2027, would that change your mind?
  23. moonslav59
    Or a statue of the future Sox all star, currently the Sox prospect we didn't trade for Neto?
  24. moonslav59
    Agreed, so basically our 7 & 8 guys in the pen are uncertainties at best and DFA material at worst. Maybe the plan is to use SP'er, but we will likely be adding a pen arm or two to the roster- maybe some on minor league deals. Could Justin Wilson return?
  25. moonslav59
    There is a little bit of an issue needing to keep Moran & Watson on the 26, but there is always the phantom IL stint to buy some time. Without using any SP'ers in the pen, it has very little depth, and the depth it has is concerning. We only have 8 pitchers considered RP'ers only. The sure 4: Chapman, Whitlock, Slaten & Weissert (if healthy) The 2 that can't be optioned to the minors: Moran & Watson The last 2: Kelly and Samaniego (both could begin the season in AAA.) We are heavily dependent on using SP'ers in the pen. Cora might have an idea on who fits best and may begin ST'ing with one or two in the pen, or he may decide during ST'ing who his starting 5 will be and work from there on who begins the season in the pen and AAA. The starters: The sure 4: Crochet, Suarez, Gray & Bello (if healthy) Houck on 60 Day IL. The 5th slot contenders: Oviedo, Crawford & Sandoval. My guess is the other two begin in the pen as long RP'ers. (Kelly & Samaniego begin at AAA.) Tolle and Early might get the SP first call over one of those pen arms.
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