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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. You hardly ever see trades made with an extension as part of it.
  2. If they know they will not pay Skubal, they are basically getting a comp pick for a 1 year window, in a year where they are unlikely to go large and long to build a top 4 contending team for that 1 year window. It does make some sense to rebuild, if you won't commit to Skubal. I mean guys like him don't grow on trees. They were dumb to not build up around him for the last 1-2 years and going into 2026. Now, is it worth it?
  3. Why ask me? You know as well as I do, JH has been stingy for several years. He cracked open his wallet a bit, last winter, then dumped Devers and watched Bregman and Gio bolt, so we are back to square one, again. We can and should be a top 4 spending team. The short answer why we are not is... John Henry.
  4. Marte has 5 years of control with an AAV at $19.4M. If Duran is part of the trade, the AAV net for 2026 would be about $12.7 for a big bat.
  5. I wish we'd pay like the big boys, but if and when we do, why would we give up players to do it? I'm not against paying for the best.
  6. BTV finds a Duran + Perales deal equal to K Marte. They might prefer Duran + Harrison. I think Abreu + Early comes close on BTV. (Add Sandlin and yes.)
  7. At this point, I'll take a top 30 SP'er to match up with Crochet, who is top 5, and in a sense, bump Bello to #3 and so on... I like to call #1's top 30, #2's 31-60 and so on... but of course, I'd prefer another top 5 over a top 30. The question is that with a restricted budget and a roster with several holes, how much of each do we want to invest in a 1 year ace with distant hopes he will extend. Most of us would go back and offer $28M x 12 for Yamamoto, not that he'd sign with us over LAD at $27.3M x 8, but let's say we did, we would probably not have signed Bregman and would have about $13-18M to spend this winter on 3B and 1B.
  8. Yes, indeed. I think we were pretty sure we could meet Crochet's price. I don't think we can be sure with Skubal, unless we go to absurd levels. My point is, if we are prepared to go to absurd levels, then just wait a year and trade for someone else who has 2- 3+ years of control, this winter.
  9. Okay, let's say we trade and then extend him for $40M x 8, and that's what the Mets would have paid. I'd rather we pay $45M x 8 next winter and still have the players we traded away- or trade them for KMarte.
  10. I wasn't the first to mention trading for K Marte. Maybe, instead of trading for Ryan or Lodolo, we sign Merrill Kelly to a short deal, trade for KMarte, then sign Alonso, Schwarber or the fallback Suarez. If we get Suarez at half of what we'd get Alonso/Schwarber for, we can sign a better pitcher than Kelly. I just don't like anyone all that much to go Large and Long on.
  11. We got a top tier pitcher by trading and extended him to a reasonable contract. While Skubal would probably not extend, unless it's at maybe $40M AAV+, someone like Ryan or Lodolo might extend. They aren't "top tier," but they do fall in or close to the top 30 SP'ers in several categories, assuming we define top tier as top 30.
  12. Yes, I never do this, if we don't spend every penny of the savings on a major upgrade or two, of a $15-18M extra signing or two at $9M each.
  13. To me, I don't see much of a step down replacing Yoshida with in-house solutions (like Romy) or a step up to Duran. The idea is this: we have about $40-45M to spend and need two $30M players. Adding the $18M from Yoshida, gets us there. If we don't spend it, then don't trade Yoshida. Losing the prospects I mentioned only make sense if it helps us get that second big bopper. One could argue the step up to Alonso ($30M) from Suarez ($15M) is not worth trading those prospects, and they might be right.
  14. No. I love his approach. It was the torn rib cartilage injury from 2024 that we were ever sure he recovered from fully, and it may be reoccuring.
  15. I'm not saying that's the reason they cut them. It may be one reason they wait to 2027 to add some back.
  16. I just don't see us offering Skubal NYM type money in an extension, and I don't see him signing for less. Why give up so many players to pay top FA market money for him. We can just pay top FA money for a pitcher and keep the players.
  17. 1. They don't have to pay them during a work stoppage. 2. They may realize the mistake they made by cutting them.
  18. Okay, I see $13.75M for Lowe, $1.8 for Devers, $7M more for other 40 man roster players and $750K more for player benefits. That's about $23M $47M-$23= $24M. Add Lowe and it's $38M, which is close to the $40M I have been using for over a month. I'm not sure why the $7M difference on 40 man roster pre-arb players (MLB & MiLB.)
  19. I get that, but if we pay NYM money, why couldn't we just do that after 2026?
  20. I have to think we could pay $6-10M of the $36M owed and at least save $3M a year.
  21. Thanks... So Yoshida + Perales + Cespedes + Sandlin for nothing. We save $18M on the tax line and can then easily sign two big contracts. Not that JH will allow it, but maybe if one is a 1-2 year deal, he'd agree.
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