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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Maybe they'll hire scouts back after the new CBA.
  2. moonslav59
    There is a good chance that if some sort of salary cap is agreed on after 2006, there will be grandfather clauses, so I doubt that worries big spending teams.
  3. moonslav59
    We are not sure Casas will be ready on opening day or even by May or June. Sure, it was his knee, but he has the other underlying health issue that is concerning.
  4. moonslav59
    The one downfall is that this trade kinda narrows the "window" to one year, but one could argue we still have a solid roster, if Skubla bolts after 1 year. We'd be losing 2 years of Duran, 5 years of Early & Sandlin. We'd gain some years from Stephen & Cozart. We'd sure look good for 2026, if we added two big bats on top of Skubal.
  5. moonslav59
    I fully understand that, but why would Skubla extend with us for less than what he'd get from the Mets (or Dodger?)
  6. moonslav59
    Maybe I'm missing the payments being made to ex Sox players, but I added it all up, and it looked like $42-46M under line 1. Who am I missing? AAV in $ Millions 28 Crochet 23 Story 18 Yoshida 16 Anthony 13 Chapman 10 Hicks 9 Sandoval 9 Bello 8 Duran 8 Campbell 6 Rafaela 5 Whitlock 1 Criswell 14 Arb estimates (no 12 for Lowe)- 4 Houck, 3 Crawf, 2 Romy, 1 Casas, 1 Wong, 1 Bernardino, 1 Wink & 1 Kelly+ Total 167 + 18 Player benefits + 4 Players with 0-3 years in MLB on 40 +3 Players with 0-3 years in MiLB on 40 +2 Arb Pool 197 Total, not counting payments to Bregman and other ex-players. That's $47M under. Again, who or what am I missing? This should not be rocket science, yet we see wild disparities listed everywhere.
  7. moonslav59
    DHam had a half a season of good play. I'm not sure we say he's "due"... I do think other teams might see him as a starter, but they are the cellar dwellers and low budget teams. They won't give up much to get him.
  8. moonslav59
    Anybody know what BTV give Sandlin for trade value?
  9. moonslav59
    How excellent? Arias? Clarke + ____? Sandlin + Cespedes & Romero? BTV says Yoshida is -25.2, which jives with my estimate that we'd have to pay about $25M out of $38M owed to break even. That means we'd have to add $25M in prospect value. According to BTV: I'd avoid these.... 29.5 Early 25.4 K Campbell 22.5 Tolle+ 2.4 Mullins 22.3 Arias + 3.3 Paez Maybe... (only if it helps us get 2 big boppers) 16.2 Clarke + 9.3 Cespedes or 8.3 Romero 17.7 Witherspoon + 8.3 Romero 16.1 Jh Garcia + 9.5 Harrison Yes... 16.1 Jh Garcia + 8.3 Romero or 9.3 Cespedes 11.6 Perales + 9.3 Cespedes + 3.3 Paez/5.5 Eyanson
  10. moonslav59
    Yes, so we will likely pass.
  11. moonslav59
    The logo seems pretty cool.
  12. moonslav59
    I doubt that stops many teams from offering the world to the best FAs, in fact they may see this as their last shot at it. (JH won't.)
  13. moonslav59
    My point was, why would skubal extend for less than what the Mets of Dodgers would pay? If he'd agree to an extension before the trade is finalized, I'd listen, but if the extension is an NYM prices, then why not just wait a year and offer a NYM salary?
  14. moonslav59
    Maybe more value elsewhere but it would be like worth $5-7M to another team and $4-5M to us. Since he's owed $18M x 2, we'd have to pay $11-14M a year or give up a prospect or player worth about that much. I'd do it, if we could find a taker. I'm not sure how much BTV says Fitts or Crawford is worth, but I id give one and might give both plus Yoshida for nothing. Maybe Fitts, Sandlin and Yoshina for bonus pool money or a comp pick. Next, I'd look to do the same with Hicks. If we could free up more budget space, maybe we could get 2 big boppers.
  15. moonslav59
    Could be a third team involved with Duran and prospects going to DET.
  16. moonslav59
    Mayer is our plan A at 3B, unless we add one, and he plays 2B.
  17. moonslav59
    Early added 1.1 fWAR in 19 IP, but to answer your question, no he did not,
  18. moonslav59
    Cots has us at $205, counting $12M for Lowe. Without him, we'd have $50M, according to them. Spotrac has $171M, counting $12.75M for Lowe, but not counting $18M for player benefits & the $8M for other costs, so maybe w/o Lowe it would be $185M, leaving $60M. By my own calculations, we have about $45M w/o Lowe. If we break even with AAV on our bid trade, we'd maybe have $30M for Alonso and $15M for Polanco, but again, I doubt we do that.
  19. moonslav59
    Hmmm, I git the names from an article.
  20. moonslav59
    No talk on K Marte. I just mentioned him as the type of trade we can look at. Yes, KMarte makes a lot, but make sure to subtract the $7.5M KC AAV and it becomes more reasonable. Duran makes $7.7M. Who goes to AZ might lower the AAV hit. (Including Hicks would be great.)
  21. moonslav59
    I doubt we sign two biggies, too, but if we are allowed to go near or over the tax line, the money is there to do it. One long and one short might be the best we can hope for. Add one big trade and getting 3 is possible, although not likely.
  22. moonslav59
    We can't be certain who the Mets and Dodgers will target and keep upping their bids. I agree, they will get who the want most, but there are 5-6 players we could target. I'd love to see us get two, and I think the Mets and Dodgers will leave 2-3 for us to outbid all the others on. My guess is Philly outbid us for Schwarber, so we may have just 2 left for us.
  23. moonslav59
    Major returning players from significant lost time due to injury: (I may have missed some key players) NYY: Cole, Stanton, O Cab, L Gil, Schmidt (TJS may miss much of '26) BOS: Anthony, Mayer, Crawford, Casas, Dobbins, Sandoval, Slaten, Abreu (Houck should miss all of '26) TOR: Manoah, Bichett, Varsho, A Bastardo (TJS) J Garcia & N Sandlin
  24. moonslav59
    bWAR 6.3 Crochet 3.8 Gausman 2.5 Bello 2,2 Lauer (some as RP) 2.1 Giolito 2.1 Bassitt 1.3 Berrios 0.7 Beiber 0.4 Dobbins 0.3 Harrison 0.2 Scherzer -0.8 Frances (14 GS) -0.9 Buehler (22 GS)
  25. moonslav59
    Fangraph's team fWAR SP leaders in the AL 1. TEX 15.0 2. KCR & DET 13.8 4. NYY13.5 5. HOU 13.0 6. BOS 11.6 7. SEA 11.0 8. TBR & MIN 10.8 10. CLE 9.8 11. TOR 8.5 12. BAL 8.1 13. CWS 7.5 14. LAA 6.1 15. ATH 5.9 Pitchers: **5.8 Crochet (205 IP) 4.1 Gausman (193 IP) 2.4 Bassitt (169 IP) **2.0 Bello (162 IP) **2.0 Giolito (145 IP) 1.5 Berrios (164 IP) **1.1 Early (19 IP) **1.0 Dobbins (53 IP) 0.8 Lauer (74 IP) **0.7 Newcomb (22 IP) 0.4 Yesavage (14 IP) & Scherzer (85 IP) **0,3 Harrison (9 IP) 0.3 Bieber (40 IP)
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