moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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The 20 game sample size by Duran is close to useless. I would demote Arauz for Munoz and DFA any one of 3-4 guys (Santana, Robles, Andriese or someone who will likely be DFA'd this winter- like Potts or Rosario- maybe.)
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Most articles written about CERA and OPS against numbers by catcher talk about not comparing catchers from different teams with these numbers and not looking at overall CERA/OPS against, unless both catchers catch almost all pitchers very evenly (highly unlikely).
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You don't get it. Let's say Vaz catches mostly Sale and Eovaldi, and Plawecki catches mostly Richards and Perez, so Vaz has the better overall CERA, however, Plawecki does better with all 4 pitchers (yes, it's possible), you still say Vaz is better? Example: Sale 2.50 w Vaz 150 IP 2.00 w Plaw 50 IP Eovaldi 4.50 w Vaz 150 IP 4.00 w Plaw50 IP Richards 4.00 w Plawecki 150 IP 5.00 w Vaz 50 IP Perez 4.00 w Plawecki 150 IP 5.00 w Vaz 50 IP Vaz would have the better overall CERA but do worse with every pitcher. You still want Vaz starting with every pitcher.?
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I know I never said we should trade Barnes, if we are in a playoff race. I have mentioned us possibly being buyers and sellers, but not to have a fire sale.
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$1.00 under is the same as $111M under.
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DD did that, and here we are.
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Don't need to DFA Arauz. Add Munoz- DFA Santana (maybe Andriese)
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4:10 start time. (Free game on MLBTV) Big game for Houck and the Sox. -
My bad. Kike: .739 from 2019-2021. Plawecki .722
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I think it is harder to do that in December, as all teams usually feel the rule 5 crunch, but of course those GMs look ahead, too.
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That's just not true. I did mention it was something to think about, if we were not in the playoff race or tried to be buyers aand sellers like the Rays do. (Yes, I mentioned Barnes, Ottavino & ERod but never said I wanted to trade them.)
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...and then all the data that shows Vaz is much better at pitch-framing and blocking balls in the dirt and throwing out base-stealers. However, it appears only I look at CERA and OPS against numbers pitcher by pitcher that slightly favors Plawecki.
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All I expected for guys like Arauz, Potts and Rosario are promising prospects that are not Rule 5 eligible, this winter- nothing all that great. I expected nothing for Richards or Perez but maybe $500K to $1M in salary relief, beyond the min wage replacement player. We are very tight with the tax line, right now.
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Casas does hit RHPs about 100+ points better, but he may not be ML ready until late 2022. Also, his numbers vs RHPs are not super. I think we sign a cheap 1Bman, this winter, to a 1 year deal- maybe someone to platoon with Dalbec. Maybe we trade Dalbec or keep him in AAA for a while, next year.
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I pointed this out earlier, and that sample size is bigger and more significant, but if you go back to 2019: .744 Vaz .722 Plawecki Who sets the time frame that "matters most?" Isn't 2019-2021 a bigger more significant sample size, in terms of size, or is recency the major consideration? My beef with Vaz is more about how he handles the staff, and I've always wanted his back-up to play more than once every 5 days, but I'm not ready to call for Plawecki to be the starter more games than Vaz. (It's getting closer to my thinking that, though.)
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I don't think players who have been around as long as Valdez have their confidence shattered that easily. If they are like that, maybe it's good we find out, so we can cut his ass, this winter. (We won't, because his confidence is just fine.)
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Very likely, even if we paid close to all their contracts minus min wage, but we don't know, if that was ever discussed. I was also thinking of players like Arauz, Potts, Rosario and the like- players likely to be squeezed by Rule 5 additions and FA signings, this winter.
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.419 Houck .524 Rios .653 Taylor .668 ERod .697 Pivetta .699 Eovaldi .716 Whitlock .726 Barnes .809 Valdez .835 DHern (IL) .838 Davis .853 Ottavino .936 Richards 1.028 Sawamura 1.127 Perez 1.232 Robles
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It's always fun to update the team OPS after a game like last night... .920 Devers (forevers- lock him up!) .895 JD (fliting with .900, again) .889 Bogey (Is the wrist better?) .788 Renfroe (going for .800) .787 Kike (going for .800) .772 Verdugo (back from PL) .676 Dalbec (Could he get to .700?) .639 Vaz (lost season at the plate) .573 Marwin (no business being 9th in PAs) Under 180 PAs: .896 Wong (14 PAs) .892 Arroyo (please come back healthy) .757 Plawecki (on fire!) .580 Duran (needs to fill the hole in his swing) .580 Arauz (probably not on the '22 40 man roster) .554 Santana (countdown to DFA) .549 Chavis (no longer here) .513 Cordero (miserable start to his Boston tenure) Last 28 days: .994 Devers .916 Plawecki .907 Kike .813 Renfroe .781 JD .777 Verdugo .715 Bogey .686 Dalbec .580 Duran .554 Vaz .550 Cordero .485 Arauz .473 Marwin
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Updated AL Standings. We still hold onto the 2nd WC berth. 69-45 TBR 68-46 HOU 67-48 CWS 66-48 OAK 66-50 BOS -1 WC1 (-4 ALE) 63-51 NYY -2 WC2 (1 in loss column) 62-51 TOR -2.5 WC2 (1 in L column) 60-55 SEA -5.5 WC2
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I totally agree, but I do think... Munoz > Arauz (Marwin ain't going anywhere.)
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I was joking, but earlier I did advocate selling a couple pieces that were not part of our longer term plans for prospects while also trading for pieces that could help this year and hopefully longer.
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The absurdity never ends.
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New Manfred rule: if you win by 19, it counts as 2 wins, and you get the next day off.
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Bloom & Cora agree. The real question is how they feel about Richards and Perez.
