moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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The book was likely closed, even without Shaw.
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Then, explain this: NL West vs AL West: 43-33 (.566) NL West vs NL East: 59-51 (.536) Kinda makes the NL East look better than the AL West, right?
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We lose 6 to free agency (or extend/re-sign): ERod Ottavino Marwin (already DFA'd) Santana Robles T Shaw We likely will not offer the options on these 3: Richards ($10M) Perez (6.0M) Andriese (3.5) Schwarber will likely refuse the mutual option, but JD will likely stay. That's 10 out of 43 (Bazardo, Brasier and Taylor are on the 60 Day IL or C-19 IL) My guess is, these guys go, too: Potts Rosario That makes 12. Bubble: A Davis Arauz Brasier R Hernandez Y Rios Maybe 13-15 total gone. We add 4-5 free agents and 5-7 Rule 5 guys. Bello Jimenez Winckowski Crawford Downs Maybe 1-2 from Santos, Dearden, Feltman, German, Granberg, T Reed, T Ward
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Who's next after Santana? Andriese?
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It's a straight DFA (waiver) and claim. Nothing goes back to MIL. It's not a trade.
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Woo was 2 hit, today, but Ockimey walked 3 times to bring his OPS to .809. He looks like a career AAA player, since the Sox chose Travis Shaw over him. Lopez hit a solo shot. Downs walked twice- his best game is a while. Seabold goes 5, allowing 3 hits, 2 runs and just 1 BB with 5 Ks. Brasier got lit up: 3H, 1BB, 3 ER in 1 IP. Rios let up 2H, 1BB, 1 ER in 1 IP. Portland won 10-5. Granberg making a push for Rule 5 protection by going 3-5 with a 2B & HR (.825 OPS). Cottam also went 3-5 with a 2B & HR (.938 OPS). Williams went 3-5, Casas 1-4 w BB. Potts 2-5 with a dinger. Greenville won 7-3 Dearden 2-5 w 17th HR, Davis and Groshams HR'd. Sogard went 3-5 Salem was shut out 5-0, but Wu-Yelland went 5 IP, 1 H, 3BB and 0 ER. T Reed went 2-4 (.820 OPS)
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You've gone 11-5 in the last 16 and 13-6 in your last 19. 23-12 since July 4th (G1 of 2 that day). The Sox have gone 19-20 since July 1st and 25-20 since June 25th. 6-11 the last 17. 15-19 the last 34. The Sox are 21-14 in one-run games. The Yanks are 19-12 in one-run games.
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Pivetta: 0.75 ERA since August 2nd. E- Rod: 1.10 ERA since July 30th. Eovaldi: 1.29 ERA since August 7th. Houck: 2.21 ERA since April 19th (2.08 career). C Sale: 3.60 ERA since April 1st.
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Clutch vs. choke - do these numbers mean anything?
moonslav59 replied to Bellhorn04's topic in Other Baseball
Clutch is real: it's just not a sustainable skill. It's still exciting as all hell. -
Even Nelson Cruz makes only $12M.
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Agreed. Even with tomorrow, Thursday and next Monday off, he should get rusty.
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They did add Berrios, but that's probably not enough. Their best chance is for the Yanks and M's to tank.
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Right now, he's taking Taylor's roster slot, and since we have 3 of the next 8 days off, maybe we go with one less pitcher for 8-10 days.
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Not worse enough to make TOR & NYY sub .500 teams. The A's have clearly had an easier record, so far. They still have SFG and CWS to play... both not in their division. Once the whole season is done, let's take another look, but I seriously doubt the AL E playing the NLW instead of the NLW would flip teams to losing recordsor ALW teams to winning ones. Why do mutual records vs ALC and NLC central not count in the equation?
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I'm not saying I am certain I want to keep both JD and Schwarber, and your points are very strong, but having Fenway's LF does allow for us to take certain liberties with one weaker defensive OF'er on the roster. It does hurt when we play in NL parks, but that rule may change, this winter. The fact that Kike can play CF and 2B well is a big plus. Arroyo is okay as a back up SS and Dalbec at 3B. Since Verdugo can play CF and RF well, we can get by with Schwarber and JD just fine, at least for one year, as long as we add a utility player better than Marwin. Cordero offers minor league OF depth and maybe 1B. We'd need an IF utility player. Agreed.
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I'm starting to lose the great respect I had for you, harmony. So, the A's play the NL West and we play the NL East. That does not outweigh the fact that we play the Rays, Yanks and Jays as much as the A's play the Astros, Mariners and Angels. Part of the schedule being unbalanced is based on playing way more games against your own division than others- not just inter league differences. The Sox have played 77 games vs 500+ teams. The A's just 53. The Sox have played 42 games vs sub .500 teams. The A's 64. How can anyone skew that to say the Sox benefited from the unbalanced schedule? You keep posting AL East vs AL West records like they matter more than everything else. The fact is, they matter very little. The only AL East team that could possibly have had a sub .500 record by playing the NL West not the NL East is Toronto, who is currently 8 games over .500. Are you suggesting that unbalanced schedule would have flipped them to sub .500?
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Shaw is that 1Bman everyone wanted at the deadline! He takes Taylor's slot on the roster, but who goes once Taylor returns? Santana? Andriese? Robles? Potts, Rosario or _____?
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We could see this, assuming we keep JD and Schwarber: 1B: Dalbec & Schwarber LF: Schwarber & Verdugo CF: Kike & Duran RF: Renfroe & Verdugo DH: JD & Schwarber 2B: Arroyo & Kike Essentially, that's 8 players playing 6 positions with Arroyo backing up SS and Dalbec backing up 3B. JD, Kike, Schwarber play FT (normal rest days) Verdugo & Renfroe get a tiny bit more rest than normal- Verdugo vs L/Renfroe v R Arroyo, Dalbec and Duran basically play 2/3 of the time + any rest anyone else gets- so maybe they all play close to 7 out of 10 games.
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We could also play Schwarber in LF, Kike at 2B (one year left) before deciding on who DHs beyond 2022. Or, we could sign Schwarber to play 1B (or keep him in LF longer term) and try to extend JD at a lower AVV to finish out his career as a Sox DH.
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We all knew Sale and Schwarber were coming. Seeing them do well out of the gate helps somewhat, but we all knew. We knew or should have known we had already played the toughest part of our schedule and other contenders had their toughest stretches going forward. We all know even the best teams go through tough stretches- sometimes prolonged ones and or very bad ones. I get the emotions, and the game threads bring out the worst of them, but how many times do some posters have to be "shocked" or "surprised" by the fact that players and teams don't always continue playing exactly like they have over the previous 7 to 14 to even 30+ day stretches? When we lose, we do look like crap. Because we look like crap, we cannot expect to ever win again. How many times does this line of reasoning have to go wrong, before people stop repeating it over and over? I guess that is what still surprises me. Not learning from repeated examples.
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To me, the biggest improvement Bl0om has brought to this club is not to the farm and not to the top 20 players or the 26 man roster. It's to the bottom 14-15 men on the 40 man roster and the bubble players beyond them. (Yes, some are prospects, but compare this winter's projected 26-40 men to the 2020 bottom of roster. My projected 27-45 roster players this winter: Seabold, Bello, Groome, Winckowski, Crawford, Mata Rios, Bazardo, Davis Wong, R Hernandez Downs, Arauz Jimenez, Rosario 2020's Covey, Kickham, Hart, Triggs Brice, Stock, Walden, Hall, Lever Grullon, Lucroy Chavis, Lin Puello Not to mention the #22-26 type guys like Mazza, Godley, Brewer, Springs, Peraza, Arauz.
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I'm not sure why it still amazes me how quickly attitudes can change on this site.
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Had Sevy come back and Kluber not went down, the rest of the injuries could have been overcome. You guys are still in it, but somethings need to go right. The very tough A's schedule gives you a good shot at a WC berth. Watch out for the Jays.
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Without Henry, where would we be? I can take some of the crap that has happened under and by Henry, because I went over 30 years wallowing in grief and frustration. Even many of the bad seasons we had since 2003 were years we went into the season thinking we had a shot at the playoffs. I think 2020 was the only one I had zero hope going into the season.
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The 9 games after the Yankee 3 games in 2 days series looks pretty easy, but we have to romp and stomp. 3 v TEX (pay them back) 3 vs MIN (not the same team as earlier, this year- they are wrose) 3 @ CLE (not easy, but we need to take the series) Then, TBR for 7 of the next 10 (CLE the other 3). Then, another very tough stretch on the road: 3 CWS+3 SEA. We end with 3 v BAL 2 v NYM 3 v NYY 3 @ BAL 3 @ WSH
