moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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No, never starting. I clearly said, "late inning defensive replacement for Schwarber."
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Agreed, but he plays it better than Cordero, and having the option of playing him there helps Cora with late inning flexibility.
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It's almost a perfect bell curve, if you throw out 2020's sort season.
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I never noticed Rios was sent down. He did okay for a bit.
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Clutch vs. choke - do these numbers mean anything?
moonslav59 replied to Bellhorn04's topic in Other Baseball
It seems like some people imply those who think it is not a repeatable skill deny even the existence of the concept. (Haven't heard that in a while, though, so maybe they have realized the folly.) -
He's gotta be better than Cordero & Schwarber on D and likely better than Dalbec at 1B. He can also play 2B and 3B. As of now, he's probably a better fit than Cordero or Santana, but that's not saying much.
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If he does well in 2022- not opting out, he will get a nice multi-year offer from someone. I wonder if 2020 scares him into doing a longer term deal after 2021 with the Sox. Does this show a trend that should worry JD and GMs? OPS by year .879 2015 .908 2016 1.066 '17 1.031 '18 .939 '19 .680 '20 (short season) .904 '21 To me, he is clearly showing decline from his fantastic 2017-2018 seasons. One would expect sub .900 in 2022 and maybe mid .800's by 2023 and 2024 with maybe .800 by .2024 or 2025. Players his age have dropped of cliffs, too. Very few continue at their current numbers or get better after 34 or 35 y/o. He knows this. His agent knows this. All GMs know this.
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Ort is at .722 with a 1.42 WHIP. I think we are stuck with what we have, and adding Richards and Perez is all we can expect. Barnes Ottavino Whitlock Richards Perez Davis Sawamura Robles Until Taylor and DHern return from the IL. On the 40: Rios, Valdez, Seabold, Brasier (rehab) & Andriese (rehab). Non 40 man choices: Ort Brennan Schreiber Brice Feltman Adams McCarthy Espinal, Crawford, Gonsalves, Hart
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Brice has a .607 OPS against with Woo!
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No. He'll be 35 after next season.
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If JD makes over $19M in 2022, would an offer to tear up the deal and take $42M/3 be an insult? It is basically saying, we'll add $23M/2 to what you already have, but it is Nelson Cruz money for 3 not 4 years. Would he take $56M/4 ($14M x 4)? That would knock $5M off our 2022 tax budget line. If JD takes the $19M/1, what would he get after 2022, assuming he hits .850 in '22? $36M/3? (That's what we'd have added onto his current deal, if we offer $56M/4 to replace the current deal. JD has to wonder what happens if he hits .790 in 2022 or something close to 2020's line.
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Our pen has been the rock for us all year until a couple weeks ago. Barnes was showing cracks before that, but I have faith the ship will right itself. It seems like every year, our pen exceeds expectations, so I've decided to expect more from them, and they have delivered most of the time. Bringing Richards and Perez to the pen may give it the boost Robles and Davis failed to bring, but we won't know that for a while. I'm not as worried about Ottavino as some here, but I am concerned. IMO, reports of Ottavino falling apart late in the season are greatly exaggerated. He hardly has any stats that show that to be true. He's had 3 bad outings out of his last 5 and 5 out of his last 8. That is troubling, but I still think he'll turn it around. Barnes holds the key.
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It's hard to put a new price on JD, and my guess is he will want way more than we offer. That may force him to test the FA waters- likely after 2022, when I hope we don't bid against ourselves and sign him to much more than he's worth.
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I'm thinking with 3 days off in the next 8, we go with an extra position player. Shaw may be a late inning defensive replacement for Schwarber at 1B.
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True. He hasn't played over 95 innings in the OF since 2018. 95 in 2019 0 in 2020 46, so far this year JD has played in the OF: 213 in '18 331 in '19 52 in '20 177, so far in '21
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If he does end up extending with the Sox, he may start with 2022 and help us reduce his hit on the lux budget by accepting a lower AVV. He might just not opt out and sign an extension beginning in 2023. Or not.
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Shaw takes Taylors spot for a while, but when Taylor returns, yes- for Shaw.
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Losing ERod and Ottavino will hurt, but the overall loses, including Richards, Perez, Andriese, Marwin, Santana & others is close to a net addition by subtraction in production value, alone. When you look at the budget savings and add Pedey's lost cost, we should be able to greatly improve this team by attrition. This one reason why I think we viewed this past trade deadline as a "don't make any moves that greatly impact the future of this team" philosophy. I also think Henry will give the okay to go over the tax line, if it looks like a big gain can be made to put us in high-contention status.
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The reverse seems true for the Sox. Were we playing way over our heads until a few weeks ago, or is this the real Sox? Gotta like the shorter sample size: 3 in a row and 4 out of 5, while you guys have won just 3 of the last 6.
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That's my guess, but I have been off quite a bit. I was projecting Wilson being DFA'd for quite a while, and when I stopped predicting it, he was then DFA'd.
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I'm not sure how it "turns off fans," since most ignore them or have never heard of them. Many of the ranking services have remarkable records of getting the rankings correct, and many times they end up being "wrong" is due, at least in part, by injuries. Sure, there have been huge misses not just by services, but by all teams' evaluation systems- see missed draft picks, mistakes made on prospects, left and right. Many fans are drawn to paying attention to the farm and its players. They like to know what non-team biased people think about those players. Those who don't want to know, can and mostly do ignore it all, until the kid is raking it in MLB or flopping. To each his own.
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These things seem to go in cycles. Recently, we were worried about the rotation or the bats. Maybe the pens picks it back up. They’ve actually been the most consistently good part of our team, this year. Keep the faith. If can get all 3 areas doing well, watch out!
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Barnes has been throwing less pitches per IP, so he's actually not headed towards a career high in pitches thrown in a season.
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3 way tie for 3rd best record in AL. 68-50 CWS 68-50 OAK WC 69-51 BOS (.001 down in win%) WC WC race -2.5 NYY 65-52 -4.5 TOR 63-54 -5.5 SEA 63-56 OAK goes to CWS Monday NYY plays LAA for 1 before playing BOS (2 on Tue and 1 on Wed) TBR plays BAL Mon HOU @ KCR Mon TOR @ WSH Tue SEA @ TEX Tue
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Cordero to AAA. Shaw is late inning defensive 1Bman for Schwarber.
