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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. Through 4, now. You did not jinx him, yet.
  2. I think it's the second time I ever visited this page. Strange a team like MN can drop 10% in a day.
  3. I'm looking at make playoff odds: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds
  4. So, the last slot teams on the outside looking in, as of now are... 39% MN 22% CLE 21% BOS The Rays are in the #6 slot at 61% I would not be surprised to see the Sox pass both these teams, by the odds, at some point this season, but then again, I would not be surprised, if we don't.
  5. That's about what I expected. Are we ahead of the O's?
  6. How many times do I have to say I get it? I know it's the same probability, but people win elections with 30%. As long as you beat everyone else, you are the winner (unless they have run-offs.) I'm just saying I'd rather be at 30% with no other team ahead of us than 30% with 2 teams having better odds. I'm not implying it changes the 30% probability.
  7. There are more and more guys who can hit and or get on base, but still K a lot. As long as they can sustain a decent offense, K's never bothered me. I get the move the runner over idea, and that does have value, but maybe less GIDPs balances some of that out. I'd love to see Fitzy get a chance, but I'm not ready to write off Arroyo, just yet, and I also think Cordero needs a long look, before giving up on him, too.
  8. Yes, but what's better? Team A 38% Tean B 34% Team Red Sox 30% or Team Red Sox 30% Team A 25% Team B 25% Team C 20% The second scenarion, we'd be the faves at making the playoffs. Yes, it does not change the 30%, but I'd feel better knowing the odds are we make it more than anyone else.
  9. Injuries Extended injuries Umps Slumps The mojo just ain't workin', just yet.
  10. Top OPS (65+ ABs) .997 Fitzy 8 HRs .983 Granberg .974 Duran .973 Refsnyder .955 Binelas 7 HRs .934 Northcut 13 HRs/ 25 hits! .934 Kavadas .916 Lugo .913 Cordero .895 Sanchez .879 Rafaela 7 HRs .853 Hamilton .819 Casas 6 HRs .813 Downs Notables Under 65 ABs 1.257 Mieses 30 ABs 1.080 Dalton 23 .863 mayer 61 .860 Hickey 52
  11. Some updated farm numbers: ERA Pitcher OPS Against 1.60 Bello .460 2.10 Murphy .530 2.29 Gonzalez .624 2.45 Uberstine .605 2.75 Winckowski .498 2.92 A Bastardo .605 2.93 Seabold .563 2.97 Walter .532 4.82 Groome .725 7.02 DHern .572 Some K:BB ratios 42:2 Walter 30 IP 32:5 Pannone 30 28:5 Van Belle 29 19:5 Winckowski 20 42:12 Bello 34 25:7 Santos 33 26:9 Seabold 31 21:9 Groome 19
  12. I don't recall hearing the fight song played, last night. perhaps, had they done so...
  13. Taylor has been one of our best RP'ers over the last few years. It's looking more and more like a snake bite year.
  14. If you are Babe, as Bell thinks you are, then I'm not so sure about who started it.
  15. No, but if the odds favor us more than any other team, it's not as bad as 30% looks.
  16. I did not say bell might or might not get banned, too. (I hope not.)
  17. Maybe for saying this... LOL, go f*** yourself you frustrated little man......
  18. That's what I was getting at. Let's say #6 team has a 31% chance, and we have a 30% chance, and everyone in between has less than 30%, are we really all that bad off, by the odds? We might be 1% behind the odds-on favorite of making the 6 slot.
  19. No. 9 twice 8 once (The Yanks did 4 times in a 5 game stretch, but that's it.)
  20. Coming from you, that's a vote of confidence.
  21. Okay, but maybe the 6th place team has a 30% chance or less, and the Sox actually have a higher chance than all but 5 teams and 6 make it. That was why I asked.
  22. No need. He's still got two arbs to go.
  23. "Flashes" means don't look at the whole. It also does not imply flashes of Cy Young. He had a decent 2021 season, which is quite a lengthy "flash," and he's done pretty well in his last 3 starts of 2022: 3.00 ERA/ 1.59 FIP/ .570 OPS Against 2021 eleven game "flash:" 3.77 ERA/ 3.27 FIP/ .657 OPS Against
  24. I was big on Stallings- mostly because of his D and reputation with pitchers. I must have proposed 10 trades with the Pirates on BTV. I was glad to see we were seriously pursuing him. Maybe we get our prize, this winter.
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