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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. We might still miss the playoffs. I'm not saying no, but ... Chapman is owed $25.2M x 4 more years after '26. He just turned 33 and will turn 37 in his final contract season. Adames is owed $31.1M x 5 more years. He turns 31 in SEPT and 36 during his final contract year. If I thought JH will spend more in the next few seasons, I'd say okay, but I doubt he will, so these two additions, even subtracting Yoshida ($18m x 2) and Story ($25M x 2) will mean no more big signings for a while.
  2. I think some players seem more likely than others. I'm not sold on Anthony being one, yet. Sale is still missing time every year. Story has had one full season since 2021 and one over 145 games played since 2018. Call it bad luck or whatever. The reasons matter little to me. I call Sale & Story "injury prone." Mayer may yet udo his label.
  3. No. I said, if he's healthy, he had a history that I felt justified calling him our #5 over someone like Bello, Oviedo and Crawford. I prefaced my rankings of starters based on the idea that all were healthy, except Houck, who we knew was out all year. Don't be surprised if Sandoval has a good year, if an when he gets healthy- most likely with another team. I also think Crawford can be good under healthy conditions. I don't know enough about Oviedo. I'm glad Tolle and Early seem to have won their slots. Bello's implositon all but assures they stay in the rotation, when Crochet returns. I've never been a fan of signing injured pitchers.
  4. Anybody can get hurt, but some players seem to always be hurt. The sample size on Anthony is small and not yet to the point where we can call him injury-prone. The others you listed have missed a lot of time and with multiple injuries.
  5. He's on pace for 30+ dingers and about 100 rbi with nobody getting on base in front of him. We can argue about what "great" is, but I call it a great move. He costs us about $20M and some second tier prospects.
  6. And nobody counted the kids as locks. either.
  7. Tolle will graduate soon. Early just did. Bennett might in 2026, too, and he shows some promise, but the other top pitchers on the farm seem more than a year away, as in mid 2027 at the earliest and maybe mid 2028 as most likely for some. Samaniego will graduate too. AA Eyanson 21 y/o A+ Witherspoon 21 & Phillips 21 (Valera 19 and our for the year) The next tier seem like longshots: AAA Uberstine 26 is on the IL & Bastardo 23 AA Holobetz 23 might surprise & Wehunt needs more innings. Mullins is 26 and Paez 22 shows promise. Ziehl and Monegro are 23. FCL: Delzine has a high ceiling but is 3-5 years away.
  8. SP Numbers (not including RP numbers) OPS Against (ERA) .502 Tolle (2.05) 31 IP .535 Suarez (2.44) 44 IP .672 Gray (3.18) 34 IP .689 Early (3.21) 48 IP .736 Bennett (4.35) 10 IP .818 Crochet (6.30) 30 IP 1.082 Bello (9.68) 31 IP 1.500 Moran -as an opener (13.50) 2 IP ______________________ RP OPSA (20+ PAs against) .396 Bello .432 Slaten .453 Chapman .536 Moran .612 Kelly, .613 Samaniego, .615 Whitlock .713 Anderson, .736 Coulombe .830 Weissert, .832 Watson
  9. I think going from being about the worst at 1B for several years to #4 is great... not good.
  10. Well, Duran could hit 200 points better and still not top his 2024 numbers. Durbin is about 200 points below 2025. Story, too. Expecting them to hit 200 points better should seem possible, but I'm not feeling it.
  11. Good question: 7 if you start with 2020. 5 if you start with 2022 (playoffs in 2021) 4 if you thought we'd be good in 2022 because of 2021 and didn't need to rebuild.
  12. He's #1 in 1B defense. He's #6 in wRC+ and OPS among 1Bmen. He's #4 in fWAR for 1Bmen (1.4) and is at a 1.6 bWAR. Couple these numbers with just how bad our 1B position has looked over recent years, and yes- a GREAT MOVE!
  13. I think with Paredes, we'd do one of the other deals: IKF or Durbin.
  14. I only see 2-3 players to protect: Garcia & Brannon- maybe Paez or Mullins. Ward might be added this summer, after the sell-off opens some slots on the 40.
  15. The thing is the Sox brass will never admit the rebuild will be more than 1-2 years, so maybe they see Whitlock as a key to 2028 or 2029.
  16. Looks right. While Whitlock has club options for '27 and '28, he could be trade bait, too.
  17. At some point, we need to start sweeping somebody or winning 4-5 series in a row. I have seen no hint that is about to happen, but one never knows.
  18. If we could have traded Duran for Paredes, we'd be a better team, but maybe not a lot better. With Paredes, we probably would not have signed IKF or traded for Durbin. With Crochet on the IL and bello sucking, along with Houck, Crawford & Sandoval missing the season, we kinda needed Ranger and Sonny.
  19. I'm not sure the NTC was the only Breggie deal breaker, but that is something that will keep some top players away from BOS.
  20. I also think Gray can bring back nice value, assuming he's healthy and still pitching well. Maybe we should trade them, now!
  21. Too bad Valera went under the knife.
  22. He may have high value even as a 2-3 month rental.
  23. Managers and GM, sure, but players will take the money, if we offer it. (Or with no trade clauses, if demanded)
  24. I do think we all knew the offense (and pen) might be major issues. We were relying on too much speculative value and not more known values you get with hardened vets. Even our two returning vets, Duran and Story, were hardly dependable and projectable in a positive manner. We have seen 4-5 players in very extreme decline, but even if they were doing 100 points better, our O would still stink.
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