moonslav59

I'm not ready to call the season over, but I'm about as far away from "optimistic" as I've been since 2020, so that says a lot.

I fixed it for you. (We all knew Ceddanne's CF defense was going to implode, this year.)

MVP, do you see Arias going to AAA mid season? I'm not sure it's much of a bigger challenge for Arias, and we want to keep Cheng ready, in case Story gets hurt, but I'd like to see how Arias does against older/better pitchers.

Yes, but unless you felt we were a 10-12 team in these areas to begin with, and they play like a 10-12 for the rest of the season, they won't finish 14th. We have played over 15% of the season. That is a SSS, but a lot of "making up" has to occur.

When it warms up, other teams will homer more, too, but we played a lot more games in the cold, so far, so maybe... We are 29th in ISO & HRs. We are 13 HRs away from #14. We are 30th in SLG and doubt we get to 14th. (.055 away)

Thanks for this breakdown. Very nice.

the 11th ranking is legit, but when you have so many pre-arb players and some who have been locked up but have low alary now, I find it to be misleading. It's still legit, though. Other teams have numbers influenced by heavy deferments, but that does not show up here, so that would tweak some numbers, too. I always go by the tax number as it represents the true AAV cost. https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/tax It's interesting to note we were 5th in spending in in 2021 at $187M. Now, we are at $193M and in 11th.

Which significant stats might we finish above #15? Maybe Runs, as playing half the games in Fenway might help. We are 26th at 92 and 20 runs behind #14. That can be made up rather quickly. wRC+ 29th at 78 (14th is 101) OPS 29th at .636 (.001 from 30th & .078 from 14th) wOBA 28th at .293 (14th is at .322)

2 of our top 3 prospects (Early & Tolle) look like they will graduate, soon. The other one, Arias, might be in the bigs earlier than anyone expected. Our non 1Bmen infielders have sucked, so far, so the need is already present. Our AAA prospects do not look very helpful, despite a few good numbers here: .939 Gasper .903 Cheng (slumping) .883 Capra (not on 40) .814 Sogard .739 Eaton .723 Campbell .708 Romero (not on 40) .536 Seigler

We are not middle third in spending. We are 6th.... just one away from your call for being top 5 in spending. Granted, moving to 5th would mean spending $25M more. While I agree we should spend more and don't want to sound like I'm defending JH, facts are facts: We were 11th in spending in 2024 at $220M. We are 6th now at $267. Here are the top 6 teams in 2026 spending and their percent increase in spending since 2024: 1. LAD +18% (353>416) Lost of hidden deferred money 2. NYM + 9.6% (348>381) 3. NYY +6.6% (316>337) 4. PHI +20% (264 #7 to 314) 5. TOR +24% (234 #10 to 291 6. BOS +21% (220 #11 to 267) It will be interesting to see if the uptick in spending increases, but it appears that how we spend the money seems like a bigger issue than not spending enough.

But the "bounce back" might be to hit mid tier the rest of the way and still end up at #15 or lower, at best- maybe.

It would have been nicer if these guts just made a sincere attempt at adding a second bat.

There is no quick fix. Firing Cor might light a fire under a few players, but the lack of power issue will not go away, even with one big trade. (Trades like what we need never happen in APR-May.)

Payton Tolled the bell, but the pen got rung.

Agreed. As you pointed out, Arias offers the best chance at helping, even if it's a long shot.

You gotta think Arias will rise in the summer rankings, unless he flops over the next month or two.

Well, at least we have something encouraging going on.

Woo won 10-4. Gamboa did not do well, but the staff had 13 Ks. Sogard 1-3 w 2BBs, Eaton 2-3 w BB & 3B and Capra 1-3 w 2BB & 2B. The Arias homer watch was a success. He homered in his last AB. (He also doubled.) His OPS is now 1.452.

Maybe...maybe not... AAV $42M x 2 Wheeler (36 years old) $30M x 5 Nola (33) $30M x 5 Schwarber (33) $27M x 8 Turner (33) $27M x 5 ('27-'31) Luzardo (29) $25M x 6 Harper (33) (They have 6 other players between $9 & 18M, including 35 year old Realmuto.)

I have and had no issue with that position. It has and had merit. You made your position known back then, forcefully, and I jumped to claim you were a Cora-hater. Once you called me out, I immediately apologized. You've brought it up dozens of times, since then as the singular event where I misrepresented what you said. There was a time a couple years back you mistook a post from someone else as something I said, and despite me pointing it out to you, you doubled down, tripled down, then instead of just saying you made a simple mistake like all of us have and apologizing, you called me a nitpicker. Your common deflection mecahanism. Of all the times you have claimed my position as being the opposite of what it was, assigned absurd motivations for my positions that couldn't be farther from the truth, and all the times I pointed them out, you have never once apologized to me. I could be wrong, but I think you have only admitted a mistake once, and that was like a week ago. I find it very interesting that years ago I said you were a Cora hater, despite you never saying it, and now you see it as a compliment. It does make me wonder, if I was wrong back then about your true feelings. I know I was wrong about what I said. I'll say I'm sorry again.

Some WOO OPS (listed in order of most ABs- 30+) .711 Romero .723 Campbell .677 Eaton .806 Sogard .620 Castro .982 Gasper .944 Cheng .859 Capra .778 Ward .939 Delay

I doubt JH would pay the Tatis contract (goes to 2034.)

1. Duran LF 2. Rafaela CF 3. Yoshida DH 4. Contreras 1B 5. Abreu RF 6. Story SS 7. Mayer 2B 8. Durbin 3B 9. Narvaez C I wonder if Anthony is available to PH.

You lead the league in coming to wrong conclusions over posts, and never admit it or apologize. So, now you see me calling you a Cora hater as a compliment. It makes me wonder, if I was really wrong back then.

I admited I jumped to a conclusion that you now claim was a compliment. Talk about behind a curtain. I apologized for being wrong- something you have never done, and you are wrong daily.