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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Fine. Does it equate to the brian Reynolds extension, though?
  2. moonslav59
    I figured everyone knew about inflation, but I should have mentioned it. Even with inflation, Devers is a top 2-4 signing, since and including Manny. (Manny, Price... AGon?) Story is still likely a top 10 signing, maybe top 12. Okay, Yoshida might fall to 20th or 25th, if you go back to 2000. (I'm not doing the math from that far back.) People point to our spending ranking to prove we are spending way less. IMO, much of that is because other teams are spending way more. Do the math, how much is our CBT number of $236M in 2022 compared to $192 in 2017? $178 in 2013? Even if it's less, I doubt we are looking like we are on a path to Pittsburgh. (BTW, I wrote $225 as Breslow's first year. It was 2023 and Bloom's final year. My bad.)
  3. moonslav59
    Luckily, we have very few, this year. (We lost Dugo, Arroyo and maybe more) 3 of 3 Pivetta $5.4M 3 of 3 O'Neill $ 5.0M >est $5.9M 2 of 3 McGuire $1.2 > est $2.0M 1 of 3 Schreiber $750K> est $1.5M
  4. moonslav59
    I agree, but think we'll be lucky to get 2 pitchers from this group as good as Bello & Crawford. (Most rate to be RP'ers, anyway.) It will take years for Breslow's group to be formulated, developed, promoted and then matured. In the mean time, there are precious few options at improving the rotation. FA blockbuster trade under-the-radar trade Rule5, Waivers, MiLFA are too rare to even consider Draft & IFA are for the next group: 3-6 or more years away.
  5. moonslav59
    I used to run a kiosk (4 employees + myself), when I lived in Mexico City. I also ran a small English as a Second Language class. I won't count day-trader as one.
  6. moonslav59
    Don't we hardly ever go to ARBs?
  7. moonslav59
    If you are still making money, hand over fist, you stay in the game. Maybe you hire someone to handle the BS, and maybe hit cruise control. Maybe I sell, as the asking price should be high.
  8. moonslav59
    I'm not happy with the direction of our budget, but let's not pretend JH has been anywhere near like some other owners. In the last 2 years, alone... 1. signed Devers to the largest contract in Red Sox history by over $80M! 2. signed Story to the 4th largest AAV in Red Sox history and to 6 years, a length not often given by him. (only 5 players at 6+ Devers, Price, AGon, CC, Story) 3. signed Yoshida and paid a fee that put the total cost over $100M, which I believe is top 10 in Red Sox history of money spent on one contract period. That's not "headed towards Pittsburgh." Final CBT Numbers since 2012: in 100Ms 178 (Ben takes charge) 178 (2013 ring) 186 199 204 (DD begins) 192 239 (2018 ring) 244 185 (Bloom begins- prorated for covid season) 208 236 (at 225, now, per cots) Breslo begins
  9. moonslav59
    That is terribly bleak, and for as much grief as DD got for "leaving the farm barren," guys like Bello and Crawford look way better than we can expect any two, in our system now, to ever become. (Yes, Bloom brought us Whitlock & Wink- maybe both not really starters- in other ways, but our pitcher development system has been broken. Maybe recent changes will help, but only a long time will tell.) Thus, the need to sign or trade for top SP'ers, while we wait to see.
  10. moonslav59
    Hardly any teams spend less than before, consistently. The Astros did from 2011 to about 2016-2017. The Brave, a little bit, for a little while, after they were sold. I'm not saying it happens, often, and we might not end up being like PIT, but the new owner could spend less or the same as JH, right?
  11. moonslav59
    Agreed. My point was, it will be hard for us to ever go up as much as some teams can, due to park size differences.
  12. moonslav59
    What if they sell to an owner like Pittsburgh's?
  13. moonslav59
    I hardly listen to any, except the soxprospects.com one and some random ones, here and there. On attendance from '22 to '23, our increase of 581 people per game ranked 21st, so we are not doing all that great. The small park does limit the amount we can increase. PHI went up 6.6K, CIN 7.9 and BAL 7.0. Our park could not hold such an increase.
  14. moonslav59
    You mean lower floor, as in 0-10 IP possible?
  15. moonslav59
    I've been all for trading for a longer term controlled 1/2 type SP'er, since I was 15. If they can get it done, now- pull the trigger. 2-3 year pitchers are no longer looking all that good to me. If we trade for Luzardo (3 yrs,) and we tank this year, we'll have to spend big, next year or hope a few rookies play like Lynn and Rice.
  16. moonslav59
    Not a lie, if I did not intentionally mislead anyone. I heard it on a podcast somewhere. I guess I passed on faulty information. My apologies.
  17. moonslav59
    Our list might look like this: Soler (Duvall as fall back) Paxton or YRod I went into this winter with zero expectations, but all this is less than zero.
  18. moonslav59
    Agreed. They may try to trade for a SP'er with 5 years of control, but even that risks losing 1 of those 5 years to a tank year 1.
  19. moonslav59
    He was probably hired for the opposite reason.
  20. moonslav59
    I was just thinking that, this morning.
  21. moonslav59
    That seems like the truth. They need to trade Yoshi and maybe even Jansen to sign Monty.
  22. moonslav59
    They are still making tons of money, but their NESN share has dropped from a high of 12 in 2007 to 3. While other teams saw attendance increase, last year, ours went down. Teams can still make money like this, but the old way was working, too. I'm not sure the value of the team will keep increasing like it has since JH & Co, bought it over 20 years ago for $750M. It's apparently worth about $4.5B, now, and these guys are tightening their belts, and hiding from the public eye. I'm calling them the "Sham Turtles," until they show me otherwise.
  23. moonslav59
    and a couple of F's
  24. moonslav59
    Apparently, other teams have plan Bs and Cs.
  25. moonslav59
    I think this team is all about 2025 or maybe even 2026, and while I am not as optimistic as I once was on JH "splurging," again, at some point, I do think he will spend more when he feels we have a better chance than we do now. I wish he'd just come out and called it a 5 year rebuild in 2020, had some massive sell-off and maybe we'd be in year one of top competitiveness, by now. The Gio signing just looks like another lame attempt at fooling the fanbase and keeping season tickets and NESN viewership from falling further. Sure, "it's early, still," but this is pathetic. Even a Stroman signing barely moves the needle, to me. Nothing short of a Monty or Snell signing or a top prospects trade for a solid #1 ot top #2 type SP'er is a punt. We should be able to do both and actually have a shot at 2024, without damaging our hops for 2025 and or 2026 and beyond. It's very hard to find a shred of optimism to grab onto, at this point, except maybe saying in January of 2024, "Wait until next year!" (Then, if nothing changes, next year, wait, again?)
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