Even if we trade Refsnyder, I can't see how Abreu and Rafaela get enough PAs to be on the 26, all year, if everyone is healthy.
O"Neill is not a platoon player.
Duran could be a platoon, but I think he earned a shot to play vs LHPs for a while- just to see if 2023 was a fluke.
Let's assume no Ref and no platoon of Duran:
LF:
Duran 82
O'Neill 80
CF
Rafaela 92
Duran 70
RF
Abreu 92
O'Neill 70
92 games is about 3 out of 5. Rafaela & Abreu need to play 9 out of 10, somewhere.
Let's say we platoon Duran and no Ref:
LF:
Duran 120 v RHP
O'Neill 42 v LHPs
CF
Rafaela 107
Abreu 55
RF
O'Neill 110 v RHPs
Abreu 52 v LHPs and some RHPs
This way, Rafaela and Abreu get 107 GS, each and maybe some late inning defense and PR chances. I'd say, that is still not enough.
This is why some think trading Duran for a SP'er makes sense, but if Rafaela or Abreu flame out, and Duran looks good, we'd never hear the end of it... well, maybe an Anthony call- up might make people forget Duran.