The break even point for stolen bases is typically from a 68% to a 75% success rate. To give you an example of how stolen bases are overrated, in 1982, when Henderson stole 130 bases, which added 22.2 extra runs to his team, he was also caught stealing 42 times, which cost his team 20.6 runs. For all of that running he did, he netted his team a whopping 1.6 runs for the season. You can take those stats to the bank.