Kimmi
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Everything posted by Kimmi
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No matter how you slice this up, the Red Sox are taking all of the risk with this deal, while really getting no benefit from having bought out 2 arb years. Mookie just had what could very well be a career year. What if Mookie is 'only' a 6 WAR player the next 2 years?
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The key words are bolded above. The premise of Theo's above statement was having a strong farm system and several cost controlled players filling key roles.
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The risk/reward with most minor league depth signings is pretty good. I say the more the merrier. Keep 'em coming.
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In other words, no.
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Fair enough. Now I'm almost hoping that the Sox come in last place this year. Just kidding, of course.
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Dombrowski has been paying attention.
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Yes, Henry panicked, as he's been known to do when things don't go well. I will ask you the same question. If the Sox come in last place this year, is that Dombrowski's fault?
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If the Red Sox finish in last place this year, is that Dombrowski's fault?
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It was a gamble, one that had a roughly 15% chance of working out once we made it to the playoffs. Dave was lucky!
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LOL Jack. Little known secret. He has always believed in the cliff.
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So, you're saying it's possible to be head and shoulders above the rest without spending like mad money?
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It might be big business, but it's not good business to spend like drunken fools year after year. I'm not asking Henry to become a tightwad. He spends more than enough money on the Red Sox, and he can keep the team highly competitive without handing out $300+ contracts.
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Mookie is terrific, but he alone is not going to make or break the team. Make him a reasonable offer, and if he declines, then you have to let him walk.
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You have gone off the deep end Moon.
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I am not fine with the cliff, but oh well. We have the ring.
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I disagree with this, but that's fine. Machado is not only unlikeable, but is he going to be that much better than Bogaerts or Devers? Is Harper going to be that much better than Beni or JBJ? Certainly not enough to warrant the difference in salary. Not to mention the risk of some clubhouse issues.
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No, they aren't always albatrosses. Mookie could be one of the exceptions to the rule.
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1. I think it's the first time DGalehouse and I have agreed on anything. 2. The Sox would be crazy to offer that deal and Mookie would be stupid not to accept. 3. Trading Betts next offseason is really not a bad idea. 4. The money saved from not signing Mookie to the mega contract could be put to very good use elsewhere.
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I will ask again, how are the Red Sox benefiting from the contract proposal Jacko gave? In that proposal, the Sox will be paying Mookie more in his final 2 arb years than they would going year by year. Additionally, they are still giving him a free agent contract of $35 mil a year for 10 years. Is that supposed to be a bargain? If they're going to offer that, why not just wait until he's a free agent and offer him the 10 yr/ $350 mil contract then?
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Players typically peak at about 27 years of age. They are already past peak at the age of 30. A 10 year contract that takes a player to age 37 is just insane. It's very possible that 2018 is Mookie's career year. I'm not saying he won't continue to be an MVP candidate for several more years, but he may not hit 10.4 WAR again.
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I get the sentiment for wanting to keep Mookie regardless of the cost. The first half of the contract will be great. Mookie might even end up being worth the contract overall because of his great play during the first part of the contract. But when those albatross years hit...
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Let me rephrase that. Mookie would be stupid to pass up Jacko's contract.
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There is no simple solution. Something has to give. Not to beat a dead horse, but this is what happens with the 'win at any cost' philosophy. Fortunately for us, it worked. Imagine if we were facing the same situation with no championships to show for it.
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That cannot be blamed on the GM.
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The GM in 2012, 2014, and 2015 did his job, which is to put together a contending team on paper. And when I say 'on paper', it's not just in the eyes of the computer models. It's also in the eyes of the 'expert analysts' and people who are or were very much involved in the game. I really like our chances of not only making the playoffs this year, but also of repeating as World Series champs. I think almost everyone agrees. If Mookie and JD hit a brick wall for some reason and the Sox don't make the playoffs, are we going to blame Dombrowski for doing a terrible job?
