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Kimmi

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Everything posted by Kimmi

  1. Kimmi
    Of course. And I'm not saying that everyone has to embrace the new stats. I'm really not. I firmly believe, though, that if one is going to debate on a baseball forum, being able to support one's opinion with numbers goes a lot further than anecdotal evidence. I do understand that not everything can be supported by data. I have made arguments that I cannot support by data. However, if someone showed me strong statistical data that went against my opinion, I would not brush the data off as being wrong or useless. I would rethink my opinion and consider that I might be wrong. It's okay if you don't embrace analytics. It's not okay, IMO, to say that you embrace analytics or see the value in them, use them when they support your opinion, but then blow them off as useless when they say something that contradicts your beliefs or opinions. And I don't mean 'you' personally.
  2. Kimmi
    I never watched Holliday play enough to know what kind of defender he was. The defensive metrics are not kind at all to him in his last 6 years. They were better for the 5 years prior to those. Maybe you are influenced on your overall opinion by the recency effect? And have you watched him play enough to really know? I'm not saying that the metrics are perfect, but looking at the consistency of the data for Holliday over a large sample size, I'm okay with accepting what the data says, that he was a good defender early on and not so good in his later years.
  3. Kimmi
    I agree. And JD Drew made plays look so easy because he almost never had to dive for the ball. Sometimes, that defensive 'flair', or lack thereof, can be deceptive.
  4. Kimmi
    IMO, Porcello is one of the most underappreciated starting pitchers. And this opinion has nothing to do with his most recent outings.
  5. Kimmi
    Again, I don't see Cora having trust issues with the pen. In high leverage situations, any manager is going to stick with the same 2-3 relievers that he always does, if they are available.
  6. Kimmi
    The pen pitched 8 innings yesterday and held a very potent Astros line up to 2 runs, not counting the starter Velazquez obviously. In the game before, Porcello and the pen held the same very potent Astros line up to 3 runs. IMO, the problem in our last 3 losses has been the offense's inability to get the big hit. Not our pitching, not our pen, not Cora. Also, Houston is simply on fire right now. Not only to they have the talent, but that talent is playing very well right now. Tip your hat to them and hope to win today's game.
  7. Kimmi
    The pen might still be a problem, I agree with that. That said, I am not getting that vibe at all from Cora about not trusting his bullpen. Porcello was cruising with a decent pitch count. Additionally, he knew that we had a bullpen day coming up the next day. I don't think he would push the starters to go deeper because he was concerned about using a relief pitcher. That is so against his philosophy.
  8. Kimmi
    Sale is pitching today. I haven't heard whether Leon is back yet or not. Regardless, Vazquez is a very good defensive catcher in his own right. It was never a matter of Leon versus Vazquez for me, but a matter of Leon versus Swihart. No contest, and I say that as a Swihart supporter.
  9. Kimmi
    Chavis has been holding his own at 2B so far. Good for him.
  10. Kimmi
    Sadly, it seems as though most people like stats, as long as they don't contradict one's opinion. If the stats do contradict one's opinion, then they are flawed or useless. I'm wondering if it's possible that perhaps the stats could be right?
  11. Kimmi
    Sometimes a player makes a play look really tough, thereby giving the impression that he made a great play when he really didn't, when another player can make the same play look routine.
  12. Kimmi
    Bingo. Pedroia returning, if he does, is not going to knock Chavis off the 25 man roster.
  13. Kimmi
    And apparently, the comment was entirely misinterpreted.
  14. Kimmi
    Amen, brother Notin. Personally, I'm pulling for him.
  15. Kimmi
    Leon will likely be on paternity leave for about 3 days. If we lose the series against the Astros, I don't think there can be any other explanation than Leon's absence. #Leongate And congrats to him!
  16. Kimmi
    This is how the Sox and the Astros match up since the Sox finally decided to start playing. Red Sox Notes‏ @SoxNotes 10m10 minutes ago The Sox and Astros begin a series tonight. MLB rankings since 4/29: Win % – BOS 1st (.800, 12-3), HOU 2nd (.750, 12-4) Run Diff – BOS 1st (+63), HOU 2nd (+59) Runs/Game – BOS 1st (7.3), HOU 2nd (7.1) OBP – BOS 1st (.382), HOU 2nd (.364) HR/Game – HOU 1st (2.4), BOS T-2nd (1.9) It should be a great series.
  17. Kimmi
    Here's where I'm getting at. As recently as when the Sox were getting ready to sign Adrian Gonzalez, I was a firm believer in line up protection. I remember making posts (on another site) about how much better Gonzalez could be in the Sox line up with all the protection he'd have around him, as opposed to the weak San Diego line up he was coming from. Then I read about how line up protection was largely a myth, with the statistical analysis to back up that claim. I changed my opinion on something I firmly believed in. Once upon a time, I also firmly believed in clutch, momentum, speedy base runner on first hurting the defense, etc. etc. etc. I have changed my opinion on all of those things based on analytics.
  18. Kimmi
    As do all stat geeks.
  19. Kimmi
    Was that a case where you believed something, and stats told a different story?
  20. Kimmi
    Sincere question for anybody who wants to answer it. When was the last time you let stats change your opinion about a player or about your view of some aspect of baseball, like batting order or line up protection? Or do we only think stats are useful if they support our opinion?
  21. Kimmi
    Here's the point about batting order that I have said over and over, but people seem to keep overlooking. It just doesn't make that much of a difference. It doesn't make enough of a difference to worry about little tweaks, like whether a guy bats 1st or 2nd, or whether a guy bats 3rd or 4th. It is more advantageous to put guys in a spot where they feel comfortable. Here is a great example of where analytics people favor the human element. Is that what Cora is doing? I don't know. But Cora, being the analytics guy that he is, knows enough to know that.
  22. Kimmi
    Good for him. I'm pulling for the guy.
  23. Kimmi
    Bell has become a full-fledged stat geek. Woot!
  24. Kimmi
    Apparently, that distinction now belongs to Sandy Leon.
  25. Kimmi
    The lack of hair has messed with his mojo, which affects everything.
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