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Kimmi

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Everything posted by Kimmi

  1. Kimmi
    It's about using your best reliever in the highest leverage situation, and about giving your team the best chance to win the game (best win probability). Because the 6th inning (and earlier) is still early in the game in comparison to the 7th, 8th, or 9th, it is not going to be as high leverage as the later innings, all other things being equal. What happens in the 6th inning does not have the same impact on win probability as the same thing happening in the 7th, 8th, or 9th innings. To put it another way, if the opposing team went up by 2 runs in the first inning, their win probability would be much, much smaller than if that team went up by 2 runs in the 8th inning. The leverage of a situation takes into account the inning of the game. Also, if the heart of the order is up in the 6th inning, they are guaranteed to get at least one more bat after that. If they come up in the 7th inning or later, and the relief ace can sit them down, they are not guaranteed to get another at bat in the game.
  2. Kimmi
    Over the past 21 games, the starting rotation has an ERA of 3.09. We are 7-3 in our last 10 games with a +36 run differential. Things appear to be moving in the right direction.
  3. Kimmi
    LOL I will post this picture after the Red Sox win the division this year!
  4. Kimmi
    What's your point Harmony?
  5. Kimmi
    Back to back to back to back.
  6. Kimmi
    There has to be a balance between winning games throughout the season and keeping our guys fresh enough to be able to win games in October. I trust Cora to know what that balance is.
  7. Kimmi
    He did this last year too. Early in the year, he did not even have a guy pinch hit in a key situation if he had given that player the day off.
  8. Kimmi

    Chavis

    Kimmi replied to bosoxmal's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk

    The Red Sox will not send Chavis down while he is hitting well and the team is winning. They will find a way to keep him on the roster.
  9. Kimmi
    If I needed consoling, I'd probably go with JD Martinez. He seems like the type who would be able to calm me down. If Papi were still on the team, it would be him by a landslide. The player I'd most like to give a hug to in order to console him is JBJ. Dude needs some love.
  10. Kimmi
    The Yankees should stick with their 4th string players.
  11. Kimmi
    I agree that we likely won't see the ace reliever pitching before the 7th inning. The thinking would be that there are still enough innings left for the offense to come back if the other team takes the lead.
  12. Kimmi
    I disagree with the 'only 30' argument. He is likely past his peak and in decline. No long term contracts for 30+ pitchers.
  13. Kimmi
    I would be okay with a 3 year deal, though my preference would be 2 years. I would not offer him more than 3 years. There's a big difference between giving a 26 year old pitcher a 4 year deal and giving a 30 year old pitcher a 4 year deal.
  14. Kimmi
    I am with you on that. I would love to have Porcello back. Porcello fans unite!
  15. Kimmi
    That's what Cora's whole "bring him along slowly" approach is all about. We shall see how effective Sale is come October. He looked really good last night.
  16. Kimmi
    I agree about the mound visits. Not saying that Brasier was rattled after the error and the hit, but it wouldn't hurt to have Vaz go out and just talk to him for a few seconds.
  17. Kimmi
    There is no point in saving your 'closer' for a save situation that might never come. Save the game when it needs to be saved. Don't lose the game with your best reliever sitting on the bench.
  18. Kimmi
    Sale would have improved over the beginning of the season one way or the other, but Leon is good for Sale. No question about it.
  19. Kimmi
    There are times when I am skeptical, but after last season, Cora deserves the benefit of the doubt. Also, the fact that he is so adamant about his approach shows how much conviction he has behind what he does. That's good enough for me.
  20. Kimmi
    Since Monday, I have been enjoying mid to upper 80s, sunny weather this week. It feels so good to go outside and enjoy the beautiful weather.
  21. Kimmi
    No such luck. The Twins just roll over for the Yankees, no matter how well the Twins are playing.
  22. Kimmi
    The opposing pitcher has a 6+ ERA. We better win handily tonight!
  23. Kimmi
    I think the way Cora has been handling the late innings so far has been good. I wouldn't change it based off of last night's heartbreaking loss, which I can't even blame mainly on Brasier.
  24. Kimmi
    I wouldn't, just because of his current age. I was all over his first deal with us.
  25. Kimmi
    I have no problem with Devers at 3B or with Chavis at 2B (outside of the PEDs thing). To date, Chavis has played a respectable 2B, and his offense might have provided a spark to the rest of the team. For those that are keeping track, that doesn't mean that making him our everyday 2B wasn't a panic move, despite the possibility that it could work out very well. FTR, I get more enjoyment out of watching our home grown players than I do watching our expensive free agents.
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