sk7326
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Everything posted by sk7326
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Cora's one of the best managers in the league - he doesn't have to prove anything there. For me, the watch item all season is going to be the defensive metrics. We are still in crazy small sample size theater so far, so nothing conculsive can be had. But on paper, this team should be more like "average or better" - which would be a huge upgrade over "Actively harmful" like they were last season. That alone could add a few wins ... and if it allows the pitchers to not worry about being super fine with hitting spots, so much the better.
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81-81 ... the team is much better defensively. Is that enough to turn this pitching staff into a playoff team. No. But it could be worth 2-3 wins - the defense was that atrocious. I just want to see whether there are leaps in pitching ... whether some of our pitchers with talent but a 10-20% likelihood of starting actually hit that.
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I sighed wistfully when I saw how ridiculously team-friendly the deals to Snell and Montgomery were. It would have been nice as a floor raiser. I don't really have a problem with their approach to the position players. There is a runway for some promising kids to take jobs. What configuration that takes up - or whether they have, say, 3 starting outfielders from this bunch, is an open question. At minimum, this should be more fun in the near term.
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If he can put up a .310 sort of OBP - he is going to be an immensely valuable player.
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The latter two have to prove they can play ... honestly, my bet might be Abreu.
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Wait and see is fine. My faith in Breslow is not because he has a ring with the Sox so much as that he was charged with reworking the pitching infrastructure with the Cubs, where there has been some success.
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I trusted Bloom until the evidence changed. Breslow there is no track record - but I like baseball and being alive, so I'll let him have the benefit of the doubt for now. As far as Cora goes - my trust hasn't wavered. He has always managed the most out of the roster more or less.
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Oh, he might bust ... but it's the sort of the deal the team has to make it they don't want to draft younger pitching. I think it was good process - hopefully the eval of the player is correct.
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Right. Now, a deal like the Schreiber deal, where Breslow dealt a useful middle reliever for the guy who is aruguably the best pitching prospect in the system - is a good sign. But that has to be the route if you are squeamish about using high picks on them.
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Absolutely. They should be fun. To me, the question is whether there is enough defensive improvement to help the pitching at least a bit. We had the worst of all worlds last season.
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The team's position that position players are just lower risk and easier to project than pitchers is obviously correct - but at the same time you need pitching and have to get it somehow. If the team wants to focus draft priorities on bats/gloves - then you have to rely on your pro scouting to make deals like the Eduardo Rodriguez one. But what you also need is for your own pitching development to help. That is a little bit why I am "wait and see" about Breslow - because clearly part of his charge is to rebuild the pitching development infrastructure. Like, if Gonzalez makes a leap this year or finds some consistency ... and you have some other triumphs like that, or if Bello makes a leap, then I'm more positive.
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One thing is his corner is that he has made adjustments at every level to get better ... he has the aptitude to improve.
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Holliday has to be the favorite if/when he comes up. I think Abreu could also get some love if the power is there. But he should be good defensively in RF and he has a good approach at the plate. Whether he is a .240 hitter or a .260 hitter will make a big difference there.
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The NICE version I think is .. They had a couple of premium targets they really wanted to sign - like Yamamoto. Once that didn't happen - they decided to keep the CBT powder clean and to try to give a runway for some young talent to take some big league positions. Giolito was supposed to be a floor raiser, and we see how that went. Breslow is taking inventory - but I think his biggest job is how to fix the pitching infrastructure in the org.
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Story has had a solid spring. The most important thing Rafaela has shown is that he is capable of not swinging from time to time - or at least some improvement therein. If he can be a .310 OBP with the power he can generate and the way he can play CF, he could make a serious Rookie of the Year run.
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He did not force the players to not sign. That said, during the CBA negotiations I kept wondering why the players were not getting more assurances for $$ visibility from the owners. I was floored when the players allowed the CBT tax lines to not be tied to revenue. All of the conditions that resulted in the players (likely) in baseball getting the smallest share of the pie of the major sportsball players groups were still there.
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Montgomery is not a superstar ... but you add him and suddenly the rotation looks like it could be above average. It is a big floor raiser.
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Yes. Both of the players were unique prospects. Shohei speaks for himself. Yamamoto is a 25 year old FA with #1 starter upside - those just don't get to market on the regular.
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There is plenty of evidence they should keep developing him as a starter.
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coincidence
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What is useful is that Dalbec is a good athlete and can play the other corners passably. Between DH, LF, 1B (sometimes) there is plenty of specialist RHB at-bats if Dalbec can earn them.
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It's Boras. Owners in baseball have been getting stingier anyway compared to their bretheren in other sports.
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It's not a great distinction - but the team needed to add quality arms, and Sandlin qualifies. I think the deal was a no-brainer.
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Right. But can Wikelman just get his motion fixed so he knows where the ball is going (at least more often). Can Perales find enough consistency even with just two pitches to be a twice through the order guy. Again, the probabilties of both are low - but Breslow's job is to organizationally figure out how to help convert those probabilities.
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The real task for Breslow is how to get the "best case" outcomes for Perales and Wikelman.