FredLynn
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Everything posted by FredLynn
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Lester's BABIP tells me that a lot of the balls that opposing players are hitting off him are being hit hard, though not for HR. I know exactly what Babip means. For BTR, who is becoming very narrow minded and arrogant about this, here is the link for proof that I am not talking about something about which I know nothing: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Batting_average_on_balls_in_play I do not think that this is a particularly useful statistic. Its pretty far down the list for me. But hey look-keep using it and keep quoting it if you feel that its valuable. Since there is no one right answer (did you know that while the Red Sox use sabermetrics many teams in MLB do not put nearly the emphasis on it that we do?) I will keep on quoting the statistics that I believe are useful (#1=ERA, then WHIP, K/BB, ERA+ etc) and you can quote your stuff. As I said, I DO know what this stuff is; I just haven't been convinced that it beats ERA as a prime indicator of a pitcher's effectiveness. As I said, baseball is a simple game.
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Balls that are hard hit (ie on a line) tend to find the ground or a wall before a glove. Lester tends to groove balls that may not go over the wall but are hit hard enough to become base hits, thus increasing his ERA. Good pitchers either strike out a hell of a lot of guys or do not allow solid contact or both. ERA rules.
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He can also control hard hit balls by not tossing the 'ol baseball right down Main Street. I still like ERA and for now I see no reason to change. I also understand that other intelligent baseball fans prefer to use other stats to assess a pitcher's performance.
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Sorry. Lester has SUCKED. It has nothing to do with luck. He has thrown too many fat pitches and lacks a real out pitch. His ERA is nearly 5. He might improve, but so far this season, he has struggled.
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He makes his own luck.
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There is no single statistic that accurately defines how well a pitcher is pitching. IMO the single best stat is ERA; there is a good arguement for ERA+ as well. WHIP and K/BB ratio are also important. The others IMO are of secondary importance.
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Many in the baseball industry have been skeptical of the stock sports writers and baseball management seem to put in the randomness of BABIP. Any casual baseball fan understands that some hard hit balls end up being outs and some bloopers end up as hits, but, to the naked eye, there also seems to exist a direct relationship between how hard a ball is hit and the odds of it becoming a base hit. Baseball players are human beings, not machines, so there stands reason to suggest that players would have some good performance years or outings as well as some bad ones. When a player’s BABIP fluctuates, it does not necessarily mean their luck is migrating to or from the mean, but instead they may be in a legitimate slump or on a legitimate hot streak in which their performance is actually changing. If this is the case, a bad BABIP year should not necessarily be considered randomly unlucky and conversely a good BABIP year should not be considered randomly lucky.
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Four runs allowed in seven innings is a QS?
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Which HR? He gave up two. You give up four runs in seven innings and your ERA is over 5. Thats not good enough.
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Fractured ankle. Miss 6 weeks at least.
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Thought you had a pediatrician visit during today's game....
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Fukked Innings Pitched? Today, three.
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Time for the bullpen to take over.
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Lester gets through this inning and his ERA for the game is just...........5.14
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Time to get someone up in the pen. Ten runs is not enough runs with Looster on the mound.
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Lester still sucks. Four runs in six innings.
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McDonald is incredibly useless. Little League play there
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Royals 4, Rays 0 now.
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Not you. The other MVP. You are innocent.
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MVP had prematurely called the game. Only one person here calls games over.