Bellhorn04
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Everything posted by Bellhorn04
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Cool names.
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Gonzo's meager career .732 OPS vs. RHP tends to belie that premise.
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He will.
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He is.
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That would be the Worst. Plan. Ever. It would be like the way I used to play chess - looking three and four moves ahead and getting checkmated before we made it that far. I was a lousy chess player.
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Right. But then there's the old golf adage - 100% of putts that are short of the hole don't go in...
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Absolutely. They were all-in for 2019. Then everything went sideways.
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I'm with you all the way. It seems like there's a golden opportunity for us to increase our chances in 2021, and with Odorizzi, also put another good piece in place for 2022/2023. Like you, I'm starting to wonder about Odorizzi's medicals...
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Right, and here's what MLBTR predicted for contracts: Springer 5/125 JBJ 2/16 A big gap between first and second...
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Jackie's market price is set more by a guy like Pillar.
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Kike's OPS+ for last 4 seasons: 92 117 87 83 Doesn't really suggest he's getting better.
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I read a funny comment by a Yankee fan about why Cashman keeps signing Gardner. His theory was that Gardner bears physical a resemblance to Cashman, and for Cashman it's like one of those video games where you format a player to look like yourself.
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Yeah, Kike feels like a small overpay. I think 12/2 would be about right for him, so it's hardly worth quibbling about. Bloom obviously likes him and was willing to step it up a bit. Fine with me.
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OK, now let's look at 2021 projections, which bake in all that history. Kike Depth Charts 427 PA/0.9 WAR Steamer 405/1.3 ZiPS 436/0.6 Avg 423/.93 Per 650 PA 1.44 JBJ Depth Charts 553 PA/1.4 WAR Steamer 504/1.1 ZiPS 525/1.5 Avg 527/1.33 Per 650 PA 1.64 Based on projections, JBJ at 12/2 is the better deal.
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I know, but I also looked at WAR per game. I always try to do that now.
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Jeter Downs.
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I'm looking at career WAR, recent WAR and projected 2021 WAR. Those are about the only objective measurements.
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I would much rather have JBJ at 12/2 than Kike at 14/2, and I'm not really down on Kike. I just can't see any way he's a better player, WAR-wise, than JBJ.
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Tony Larussa Bruce Springsteen Johnny Damon Jeezus, boys, you're all rich enough to afford a chauffeur. Use your heads...
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You're right, the revelations aren't new.
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It's a good point.
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No, we know some other things too, that are being mentioned in this last little flurry of posts.
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Plus E-Rod. And with our thin pen, you can even add losing D-Hern and Taylor. Plus swapping Cora for Roenicke. A perfect shitstorm indeed.
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No doubt. But as I've said before it was a perfect time to just flat-out tank.
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That may be how you see it. To me it's kind of a silly notion. If 2020 was a 162 game non-pandemic season I might give it a little more credence.
