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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    Depends how you look at it, I guess. One is clearly better than the other, and small differences can be big in MLB. There can be small differences between the guy who's good enough to play MLB and the guy who's not. BA is not a great stat in isolation, of course. I'd rather use OPS+ any day.
  2. Bellhorn04
    The Orioles have been doing much better since they changed managers.
  3. Bellhorn04
    He made it back to the ALCS in his third season with the team. That said, I think it's obvious to everyone that right now his job security is at a low point.
  4. Bellhorn04
    .280 vs. .300 in how big a sample size, though?
  5. Bellhorn04
    Yes, we're all biased observers when it comes to our own team.
  6. Bellhorn04
    Chapman has a 1.2 bWAR. For a reliever at this point in the season that's excellent. WAR is a counting number like strikeouts or RBI, and relievers only pitch about 1/3 as many innings as starters, so I always multiply by 3. That would be 3.6, which projects to about 8 WAR for the season, which is elite level.
  7. Bellhorn04
    And the Rabbit Hole Era.
  8. Bellhorn04
    It's a new one. I assume higher on the list is better LOL.
  9. Bellhorn04
    Sure. It's just a conglomeration of other numbers. How much emphasis is placed on each number is where the differences in the systems come in. As long as they stay consistent with their calculations, you sort of have an idea what you're looking at. WAR is being very good to Rafaela. It's showing that even though he's been a below average hitter, he's been a well above average player.
  10. Bellhorn04
    Or viewing licenses for units overlooking the park.
  11. Bellhorn04
    Your post was good until the obligatory Cora crucifixion part, which once again seems totally gratuitous. You're criticizing for batting Abreu higher in the order than Rafaela?
  12. Bellhorn04
    Cashman must have the lifetime deal, with only 1 title in his last 24 years as CBO.
  13. Bellhorn04
    Did OK against them in 2018 and 2021 postseason though.
  14. Bellhorn04
    All else being equal, which of course it never is, Top 12 is the hypothetical cutoff point for making the playoffs - or Top 6 in the AL might be more relevant.
  15. Bellhorn04
    Top 15? That's an interesting cutoff point.
  16. Bellhorn04
    True. I will modify. Breslow seems pretty decisive. He has pulled some triggers. Not always with favorable outcomes, but I like that he's aggressive.
  17. Bellhorn04
    He's one guy I'm quietly crossing fingers on. Seems to have an A+ attitude. Here is where the Sox hitting coaches need to show us if they're any good or not.
  18. Bellhorn04
    Is Cora also to blame for Rafaela's recent red hot streak?
  19. Bellhorn04
    Breslow seems much more decisive than Bloom.
  20. Bellhorn04
    iortiz sometimes uses different words, but I always know what he means.
  21. Bellhorn04
    If Brez makes this trade it's to get Anthony in the lineup, so it doesn't really fit the profile of a deadline trade. More like something that could happen very soon or not at all.
  22. Bellhorn04
    I'm not a fan of the 'just the #9 hitter' argument, pretty sure I've never used it.
  23. Bellhorn04
    Somebody has to ask this one: Was trading Priester a great idea? His peripherals are unimpressive but he's been getting guys out, with several decent appearances in a row.
  24. Bellhorn04
    At this moment in the history of the universe, it feels like Abreu is the guy we would prefer to trade. But it's not a surprise there's some significant interest in Duran right now.
  25. Bellhorn04
    OK. Little Raf's fWAR is at 1.7. That projects to about 4 for the season. So both systems have him way above average. I think he's showing he has the game to be the full time CFer going forward. But yeah, that's predicated on him being able to keep the OPS around .675-.700.
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