Go look at the standings on August 1 and the teams that were ahead of us. The Yankees, Astros and Jays were the only teams that were more than 6 games over .500 and had a run differential of better than +28. The Rays were 54-48 with a differential of +18.
The facts are these:
-They were 3 games out a Wild Card spot at the deadline.
-Players on the IL at the time but expected back included Sale, Story, Kike and possibly Paxton.
Obviously many of us felt the team was "going nowhere". But management of the Boston Red Sox doesn't have the luxury of thinking that way. They've got fans paying a lot of money to answer to.
Hard disagree. We still had a shot.
Frankly, the 2021 team's chances at a ring didn't look much better at the deadline than the 2022 team's.
The 2021 team was incredibly lucky to get into the playoffs. And then look what happened.
I think Cora and the Sox are doing a decent job being fair to everyone while also getting a look at some guys. It's one of the reasons I still think Cora is a good manager.
Maybe so, but go back and look at some good Red Sox teams of the past, even World Series champs, and you'll find that the #3 starter usually did not have great numbers.
Believe it or not, Pivetta has been an average pitcher, ERA-wise, with the Red Sox, with an ERA+ of 102.
An average starter is, by definition, a #3 starter, on an average team.
On a good team, probably a #4.
And yet his 2022 OPS+ is exactly 2 points lower than his 2019 OPS+.
You have to keep in mind that the baseballs are not juiced now like they were a few years ago, and offense is down period.
Some numbers for Bogey for 2018-2022, leaving out the shortened 2020:
OPS+
2018 135
2019 139
2021 129
2022 137
wRC+
2018 133
2019 141
2021 130
2022 139
fWAR
2018 4.4
2019 5.9
2021 4.4
2022 5.9
Conclusion: amazingly consistent and not in decline.
Devers and Bogaerts both have higher OPS+ than 2021. I keep pointing this out to moon. He keeps agreeing, and then going back to saying they've declined.