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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. And how exactly do you know the sample size, including 2022, is too small, considering the size of the variances? As far as I know there is no actual reference material for this, but I'd be happy to see it.
  2. It's not what the guy said at all. He said that OPS, like ERA, is defense-dependent. His calculation attempts to eliminate the defense factor.
  3. All I can really say to that is that the Red Sox have a better shot than some of the last place teams.
  4. OK, but if we apply it to baseball, a small variance in a small sample size doesn't mean the sample is large enough. The determination of whether the sample size is large enough is always going to be an inexact science. Just ask any baseball manager LOL
  5. That doesn't make any sense. Small samples are small samples, regardless of variance.
  6. We could certainly do a sig bet.
  7. And even with that he has the highest bWAR of any of our starters.
  8. Scherzer in a sticky situation. Maybe Girardi's freakout was justified.
  9. You guys keep talking about sample size with McGuire and Wong. But variance size matters too, and the variance size is enormous. And as the sample size gets bigger the variance is supposed to get smaller. That ain't happening.
  10. Did you read the whole article?
  11. Didn't like his last start with Wong?
  12. Article in the Athletic today about the Sox catching issues, and Cora talking about Vaz and how much he has grown as a player. Cora's words had a "wistful" tone, you might say.
  13. There are too many things with this team to get into a furor about. Some of them get buried in the mix for a while.
  14. And Sale's...and as many others as possible...
  15. I'm going to need a lot of puffs to get through this season, that's for sure.
  16. The problem is that objective pre-season projections had us at about a .500 team at best...
  17. Read the article moon. Whether it's misuse is strictly a matter of opinion. This is not an exact science.
  18. Yeah, but Bloom said he was going to acquire a starter with "leadership, innings and UPSIDE". Kluber has about as much upside as the Titanic. It's a complete joke that Bloom would say something like that and follow it up like that. But we're not laughing.
  19. Good thing you're not a betting man.
  20. If Kluber and Yoshida both continue to suck, that pretty much has to be it for Bloom, seriously. The guy seems to be throwing darts, and too often missing the board completely.
  21. Of course it may well be that our big starting pitching acquisition Kluber is fully washed up, and yet another blunder by Bloom. Certainly can't rule that out. Various troubling scenarios in play.
  22. No, as the article says, it was thrown out the window before that. Big difference. The big article by Woolner discrediting CERA was written in 1999.
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