Bellhorn04
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Everything posted by Bellhorn04
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Not sure how that applies to baseball. A zero-sum game is like when you play poker for money with your friends.
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Trivia notes and questions (some of which may not be answerable)
Bellhorn04 replied to Bellhorn04's topic in Other Baseball
The Red Sox are now over .500 but still in last place. Since MLB expanded from 4 to divisions to 6 divisions, no team has ever finished over .500 and in last place. But the 2005 Nationals came close, finishing 81-81 and in last. After that the best record by a last place team is 78-84. It's been done 3 times, twice by, you guessed it, the Red Sox, in 2015 and 2022. -
Cora is a really good manager and a big reason this team is staying afloat, IMHO.
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We're now 3-6 in McGuire starts. But, he got pinch-hit for in the 6th inning, and the CERA gap increased. Yes, I have become a bit obsessed with this, but I'm convinced that Cora and the team are paying a lot of attention to it too.
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Bogey tends to be a fast starter with the stick.
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Yes. Also, we're playing the Brewers, but we don't get bogged down by details here.
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Very.
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Jeez, what is this, school?
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It just might.
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People can talk about whatever they want to talk about.
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8-4 with Wong. 2-6 with McGuire. Sometimes you just have to go with what seems to be working.
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This I agree with 100%
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All the conventional numbers seem to show McGuire is fine. So what do you think they're looking at?
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Hugh, if they were staying with anything like a platoon Wong would not have started 2 of 3 games in the Twins series with the Twins starting righties. That's pretty obvious to me.
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Because those records, while not as bad as vs. the Jays, were still pretty darn bad...
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Don't have the answer.
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I'll be against McGuire if the results continue as they have been. But you're certainly right, someone else has to catch 50 games or so.
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I'm just reporting on the facts, notin. At this point I'm not sure how anyone can't see they're favoring Wong, and why that might be... Plus, your first sentence makes no sense whatsoever to me...
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No s**t!
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6-13 vs Yanks 7-12 vs Rays
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The real question going forward is, are there any starters at all who should be matched with McGuire? 3 starts with Sale - all bad 3 with Kluber - all bad 1 with Bello - bad 1 with Pivetta - good Maybe it will be Pivetta.
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What about yesterday? Maeda makes it 4. It's pretty obvious the team is favoring Wong now, isn't it?
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Here are a few other facts to consider: 1. McGuire seemed to be installed as the # catcher after the trading deadline last year, and I'm fairly sure most people here expected him to be the #1 this year. 2. McGuire has much better offensive numbers than Wong. 3. Wong has started 12 of the last 18 games, including games against RH starters. So maybe, just maybe, the team has somewhat rapidly adjusted its thinking on which one is the better defensive catcher. Regardless of what the conventional stats are showing.
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There are no actual guidelines on any of this that are agreed on. That article took a radically different stance from the oft-mentioned one by Woolner. I have some interest in statistics because I'm an accountant and I've worked on audits where you select samples of records to review for errors. In auditing the principle is that if you find an error in a small sample, there are likely to be plenty more and you have to expand the sample, and it's usually always the case that there are major errors. The thing that can't possibly be measured is the comfort level a pitcher has with the catcher. That's where we get the "binky" word from, of course. I think that's real.
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But again, I think you also have to factor in the size of the variances. I wouldn't be bringing this up if the differences between McGuire and Wong weren't gigantic in both 2022 and 2023.
