Breslow's recent moves don't really say that IMO, because he's added some bullpen arms too (Campbell, Weissert, Luetge).
I think this offseason's plan will become official when JM signs with us or not.
That's not exactly how it works though. A team that's projected for 90 wins +/- 10% would have a range of 81-99. You'd much rather have that projection.
I'm only guessing that they use 10%, maybe it's lower than that.
I think the consensus of all the pre-season projection systems is about 80 wins for us. And it's a perfectly reasonable number. With an error range of about 10% on either side, I assume.
Meanwhile our objective friend Mr. Projections just sits there saying they're an 80 win team, and nothing can budge him...outside of signing a quality starter.