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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. At this point I have to say Nava shouldn't be going anywhere. I mean, 306/445/506... And I think this team has been a much more energized group since Middlebrooks and Nava got here...
  2. Caring is great. Caring and providing is even better. :thumbsup:
  3. Nava has been a lot of fun to watch. And his OBP is still at the sick level.
  4. The Nava man is contributing again tonight.
  5. Holy crap, one of those pitches called a ball on Nava was right in the middle of the strike zone.
  6. Baseball fans were treated today to a matchup between Dickey and Wang.
  7. First 27 games Pujols had a .505 OPS, 0 HR and 5 RBI. After a day off, in the 30 games since, .900 OPS, 8 HR and 26 RBI.
  8. Major league managers seem to think a day off can sometimes be beneficial to a guy in a major slump. Even the mighty Pujols got one this year. And he did come out of the slump after that.
  9. Having gone back and re-read all the posts on BABIP, my understanding is that what Dojji is saying is that Nava fits the profile of someone with a higher-than-normal BABIP because he swings hard and hits a lot of line drives. A side result of the swinging hard is more strikeouts. Thus, in Nava's case, a relationship between strikeouts and BABIP. But that's a hypothetical, isn't it? Is it something that's borne out by comparing the stats for a lot of hitters with similar profiles?
  10. Personally I think the correct statement is this: 'the batting averages of two players who have identical BABIP's will vary based on how frequently they strikeout relative to each other'. The strikeouts affect the batting averages, not the BABIP's.
  11. I think you have to pinch hit for Byrd there. There are 2 runs in scoring position. It's the game on the line.
  12. Why the hell didn't BV put him in there for Byrd? Strange under the circumstances.
  13. Kind of questionable pinch running and bunting to put the key at-bat in the hands of a Mendoza Man like Byrd.
  14. Beckett is dealing but we have got to put some runs on the board.
  15. One of the two, Salty or L-Way, has to become trade bait, don't they?
  16. Look Dojji, I completely understand the math. But I think you may be misinterpreting what BABIP is intended to measure. I read a fair amount about it in relation to Buchholz's 2010 season. He had a very low BABIP that year, an unsustainable BABIP, which indicated that he was very likely to regress the following season. It was all about the number of balls that got put in play against him and how relatively few of them ended up as hits. That is the percentage it measures.
  17. I would turn that around and ask how the hell strikeouts can have any effect on BABIP when BABIP only measures batting average on balls put in play? The whole point of that formula is to remove strikeouts from the equation.
  18. It does preclude certain trades, any that involve taking on a bigger salary. I agree that he hasn't done anything really notable yet.
  19. I'm assuming he was extremely limited in what he was allowed to spend.
  20. With Andrus, Feliz and Matt Harrison. Teixeira brought a nice package to Texas.
  21. Ross, Shoppach, Podsednick, and Padilla have all had positive contributions.
  22. But ORS, the formula is just a mechanism to convert from total AB's into the actual data you're measuring. You could get the data differently, by actually counting each at bat that the ball was put in play. If you did that you would obviously not count strikeouts. But since you already have the AB's and K's being measured the formula is just a shortcut. I have to agree with User Name, strikeouts have no effect on BABIP. They just reduce the sample size.
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